Today’s PrizePicks MLB plays picks center around Cincinnati Reds infielder Elly De La Cruz and Cleveland Guardians southpaw Logan Allen in an entry with a 3.5x multiplier.

 

 

 

PrizePicks MLB Picks Today: Monday, August 5th

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Elly De La Cruz PrizePicks MLB Pick: More Than 0.5 Stolen Bases

Elly De La Cruz has been a standout in the stolen bases category, leading the league with an impressive 57 swipes this season. His speed on the base paths has made him a nightmare for opposing pitchers and catchers, and today's matchup against the Miami Marlins presents a prime opportunity for him to add to his total.

The Marlins are starting Roddery Munoz, a pitcher who has had notable struggles against left-handed hitters. Munoz's alarming .670 slugging percentage and .436 weighted on-base average (wOBA) against lefties are significant red flags. These statistics suggest that left-handed batters not only get on base frequently against Munoz but also hit for power, increasing their chances of extra-base hits.

De La Cruz, as a switch-hitter who often bats left-handed, should have a favorable matchup. If he can reach base, his speed makes him a strong candidate to steal. Given Munoz's struggles, the probability of De La Cruz getting on base and subsequently stealing is high. Hence, picking De La Cruz for higher than 0.5 stolen bases seems like a solid pick.

 

 

 

Logan Allen/Zac Gallen PrizePicks MLB Pick: More Than 0.5 1st inning Runs

This play is less about Zac Gallen and more about Logan Allen and his matchup against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Logan Allen's season has been a roller coaster, with a 5.67 ERA through 18 starts before being sent down to AAA. His struggles have been pronounced, particularly against potent lineups, and today's opponent, the Arizona Diamondbacks, is among the best in the league against left-handed pitching.

The Diamondbacks rank third in wOBA and first in batting average versus lefties. These statistics underscore their ability to hit left-handed pitchers hard and consistently. Allen's track record this season doesn't inspire confidence either. Given the Diamondbacks' prowess against lefties and Allen's struggles, it seems likely that Arizona will score early and often.

Total Multiplier - 3.5x

 

 

 

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