On Monday, October 7th, we have a solid two-game MLB DFS main slate kicking off at 4:08 PM ET. 

There is a great mixture of aces, back-end starting pitching, and elite offensive options for the second day of the MLB Division Series round in the American League for today's MLB DFS picks.

 

 

 

MLB DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator Today

This Playbook is your go-to guide for making awesome MLB DFS picks. Check out our expert tips and suggestions, and make sure to look at today’s MLB DFS projections, MLB DFS ownership projections and our dedicated MLB lineups page! 

You can seamlessly combine all this info with the MLB DFS Lineup Generator to secure your Core Plays and whip up winning lineups in no time! Here’s a sample lineup for today’s games:

 

 

 

MLB DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, October 7th

Recommended MLB DFS Starting Pitchers

Top Options For Strikeouts

Odds For A Win

Bullpen ERAs (September/October)

 

 

 

Core MLB DFS Pitchers

I’m going to rank the four starting pitchers on tonight’s slate:

1) Tarik Skubal, Detroit Tigers

In his playoff debut, Tarik Skubal looked as good as ever against the Astros and the soon-to-be Cy Young winner needs to help his team steal Game 2 in Cleveland. Skubal has the best odds for a win, and strikeouts and the Guardians have the lowest implied team total on the board. He only faced the Guardians once this year and held them to one run over seven innings. Cleveland is a top-10 offense in the league against southpaws this year, for what that’s worth.

2) Carlos Rodon, New York Yankees

There’s a bunch to like about Carlos Rodon here. First and foremost, he’s the cheapest pitcher on the slate – cheaper than Matthew Boyd. First is the price, but the matchup is fantastic. The Royals have not hit lefties well this year ranking 24th in OPS, 25th in wOBA, and 26th in wRC+. Rodon has been an elite pitcher at home this year and has had the Royals' number in the two starts against them this season.

3) Cole Ragans, Kansas City Royals

I think Cole Ragans has been more consistent than Carlos Rodon, so if you want to rank him second that’s fine, but his matchup is infinitely harder. The Yankees are in the top 10 in wRC+ and wOBA against the southpaws this season. Ragans is a pitcher consistently going deep into games, pitching six-plus innings in five straight outings.

4) Matthew Boyd, Cleveland Guardians

I don’t mind getting to Matthew Boyd if you think the Tigers are wearing down and if you think Boyd can pitch deep enough into this game to pick up a win. The Guardians are a team that is VERY quick to go to their bullpen and Boyd’s xFIP and SIERA are over a run higher than his ERA. That said, Detroit is 26th in OPS against left-handed pitchers. They were actually one position worse since the All-Star break too. I like Boyd, I’m just worried about the length of his start here.

 

 

 

Recommended MLB DFS Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals 

Core MLB DFS Hitters

Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals

I like Bobby Witt as the top spend-up of the slate. He's been great against left-handed pitching and has gotten quite unlucky against them too. He has a .180 ISO and .359 wOBA; yet, his .235 xISO and .394 xwOBA are significantly better. Right-handed power has given Carlos Rodon fits this year and over the last 30 days, righties have a .250 ISO against him.

Aaron Judge, Juan Soto & Gleyber Torres, New York Yankees

The Yankees top three is very good against left-handed pitching. Torres included, and he's the cheapest of three by a mile, has a .190 ISO and .353 wOBA against lefties this year. Soto has a .272 ISO and .413 wOBA against lefties, and he needs more luck. Aaron Judge has been ELITE against southpaws posting a .424 ISO and .500 wOBA

Matt Vierling & Spencer Torkelson, Detroit Tigers 

I like Torkelson a lot, especially from a power standpoint. He has a .272 ISO against left-handed pitching this season. Vierling should lead off and maximize at-bats. I'm slightly interested in punt plays like Justyn-Henry Malloy and Andry Ibanez as well but understand both of them will be pinch-hit for. 

Jose Ramirez & David Fry, Cleveland Guardians

Nobody will play any Guardians and that'll be the contrarian route on today's slate. They're the top two players on Cleveland against southpaws as Ramirez has a 1.081 OPS and David Fry sits at .996. Fry had a big Game 1 and should slot into the two-hole once again and will go unowned despite having elite eligibility. Amongst all the top spend ups on the slate, he'll be the lowest owned by a mile.

Tommy Pham, Kansas City Royals

Throughout his career, Tommy Pham has excelled against left-handed pitching. He has an .817 OPS, .179 ISO, and .353 wOBA against southpaws this year. His expected numbers of .171 xISO and .338 xwOBA against lefties and Carlos Rodon allow a ton of power to right-handers.

 

 

 

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