Welcome back to another round of MLB Best Bets Today as the 2025 baseball season rolls on. 

Sunday’s slate is loaded up with 16 games on the baseball schedule. We have every team in action, a doubleheader, and the lone Sunday Night Baseball game on tap as we target winning MLB predictions and picks. Let’s focus on two games for our MLB best bets today before dishing out a few baseball player props to consider. 

Keep in mind, some of these odds or lines could move before first pitch. All bets below are for one unit unless otherwise noted. Without further ado, let’s dive into our MLB Best Bets Today.

 

 

 

MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 4/27

Our MLB Best Bets Today start with an AL matchup featuring two playoff teams from last year. The Astros vs. Royals showdown should be an entertaining one – if you’re a fan of pitching. 

We’ll also dive into the Orioles vs. Tigers series finale with Tarik Skubal on the mound. Check out the MLB predictions to make as you enjoy Sunday’s baseball action.

 

 

 

Astros vs. Royals Predictions: Sunday, April 27th

The Houston Astros and Kansas City Royals wrap up their three-game series on Sunday afternoon. The starting pitcher matchup in this one immediately points to a low-scoring battle. Let’s lean into that with a pair of underwhelming offenses involved as well. 

Astros starter Hunter Brown has been dominant this season with a 1.16 ERA and 0.74 WHIP through five starts. He’s thrown 24 consecutive scoreless innings and looks unhittable more often than not right now. The advanced metrics back up the strong start as well. Brown has a 2.03 FIP and 2.50 xERA to go along with a 33.5% chase rate (85th percentile), 27.4% hard-hit rate (93rd), and .212 xBA (77th). 

Brown should keep the struggling Kansas City lineup in check today. The Royals rank 29th in the majors in runs per game (3.19) and have poor splits against right-handed pitching. They have a .274 wOBA (30th), 73 wRC+ (29th), .222 batting average (27th), and .612 OPS (30th) vs. righties this season. 

It doesn’t get much better than this matchup for the right-handed Brown, who’s been lights out lately. He had a 2.17 ERA and 2.81 FIP over his final nine regular-season starts last year and has carried that over to this 2025 campaign. It’s hard to imagine the KC offense getting to Brown in this spot.  

Meanwhile, Royals starter Kris Bubic boasts an impressive 1.45 ERA and 2.38 FIP through his first five starts. The left-hander was a full-time reliever last year but has transitioned well to the KC rotation. Bubic ranks in the 95th percentile in Pitching Run Value (per Baseball Savant) with a 30.5% whiff rate (79th percentile) and solid advanced stats. 

Bubic has four quality starts in his five outings so far, and the southpaw can be effective in the right matchups. The Astros fit that profile today. Houston is averaging only 2.9 runs per game on the road with a .266 wOBA (28th in MLB), 72 wRC+ (28th), and .211 batting average (24th) in away contests. The ‘Stros are also below-average against lefties this year (.290 wOBA, 89 wRC+, .218 BA). 

Furthermore, both bullpens can maintain a low-scoring matchup after Brown and Bubic hold down the early innings. Houston’s relievers have a 2.53 ERA this year (3rd in MLB) while Kansas City’s pen has a 3.45 ERA (10th). 

Grab the under for the full game and the first five innings as we enjoy a pitcher’s duel. The first two games of this series were both 2-0 wins for Kansas City. No matter who wins today, it’ll likely be dominated by the pitching on both sides. 

 

 

 

Orioles vs. Tigers Predictions: Sunday, April 27th

As the Detroit Tigers host the Baltimore Orioles today, the starting pitchers on both sides immediately point us in one direction. We have Tarik Skubal on the mound for Detroit while Dean Kremer starts for Baltimore. Let’s break down why the Tigers are the safe bet. 

After a shaky start to the season, Skubal has returned to dominant form for the Tigers. The reigning AL Cy Young winner has lowered his ERA to 2.83 after allowing only two total runs over his last three starts. Skubal also boasts a 2.89 FIP and 2.99 xERA so far this year. 

The Detroit left-hander boasts some elite advanced stats as well. His 4.3% walk rate (88th MLB percentile), 32.9% hard-hit rate (82nd), and 31.5% chase rate (75th) are encouraging moving forward. Skubal should keep it going at home today. He had a 1.99 ERA and .171 batting average allowed in 10 home starts last year. 

More notably, Skubal’s matchup is a very favorable one. The Orioles are frankly terrible against left-handed pitching. When facing lefties this year, the O’s have a .224 wOBA (30th in MLB), 44 wRC+ (30th), .167 batting average (29th), and 26.1% K rate (26th). It’s been profitable to fade Baltimore against southpaws all season, and the offense is showing no signs of improvement in the split. 

Meanwhile, the Tigers should provide just enough run support in their own matchup. Kremer has an ugly 6.84 ERA and 1.60 WHIP through five starts this year. He’s allowed 5+ runs in three of five outings and has an 8.24 ERA across four road starts so far. Kremer’s underlying metrics are pretty bad, too. He has a 14.7% K rate (12th percentile), 16.1% whiff rate (4th), .297 xBA (11th), 5.43 xERA (17th), and 11.7% barrel rate (23rd). 

Detroit isn’t some juggernaut offensively, but we can safely fade Kremer here. The Tigers are a top-10 offense at home (.339 wOBA, 126 wRC+) and solid enough against righties (.314 wOBA, 107 wRC+). The team has also won 12 of its first 15 home games entering today. 

Back the Tigers to lead after the first five innings and cover the runline en route to a victory. They won both games of yesterday’s doubleheader and can finish off the sweep today. As a bonus, Detroit’s 2.70 bullpen ERA (5th in MLB) is notably better than Baltimore’s 4.48 ERA as a pen so far. 

 

 

 

Best MLB Player Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 4/27