For all the top MLB Best Bets and Prop Bets, stay locked in right here at Fantasy Alarm.

 

 

 

The Tuesday MLB slate is jam-packed with a full 15 games and they’re all starting after 6:40pm ET so there is no daytime baseball to worry about. We also have quite a number of fantastic pitchers on the slate – Shota Imanaga takes on the crosstown rival Chicago White Sox, Corbin Burnes faces AL East rival Toronto Blue Jays and this battle in Pittsburgh between Pirates rookie Jared Jones and Los Angeles Dodgers ace Tyler Glasnow should be exciting. 

We’ll study the Vegas odds and lines across the books and find the best bets in which to invest for tonight and remember to always check our MLB weather report (might be some issues in Chicago) as well as our MLB lineups page for batting orders.

MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 6/4

This is an important night for us as yesterday’s MLB predictions were about as unkind as you can get. Kyle Tucker over 1.5 total bases at plus-odds was looking like a steal after a hit in his first at-bat, but then he left during his second one after fouling a ball off his shin. Brutal. 

Andrew Abbott threw 66 pitches through the first three innings, well on his way to a predicted early exit and then needed just 19 more pitches to blow past the fifth inning. And then when Matt Waldron can’t clear 4.5 strikeouts at -200 (we got it at -120), you know something is up. We’re in the hole now, but ready to take it back. We dust ourselves off and we attack this slate.

  • Yesterday’s Record: 3-8-1
  • Season Record: 181-167-5
  • Bankroll: -4.26 units

 

 

 

Rays vs. Marlins Prediction: Tuesday, June 4

We’ve got an interesting battle down in Florida today as we get two pitchers I really like facing two offenses who continue to struggle to get by. I’m definitely favoriting the Tampa Bay side of things in my MLB best bets today, at least from a pitching-prop perspective as Ryan Pepiot works his way back into mid-season form following a short stint on the MLB injured list.

Jesus Luzardo has been strong, but the lines seem a little juiced up for me right now; definitely getting better value on Pepiot right now. You can bet the under for the full game total here if you can’t bet first-five innings, but I’m always nervous about bullpens, even though both pens have been solid as of late. Just a matter of personal preference, but I don’t mind the full-game bet. 

Neither offense is potent, and both are posting a team wOBA under .300 over the last seven days. On the season, the Rays are posting just a .301 wOBA against southpaws and have a 25.2-percent strikeout rate while the Marlins are sitting on a .295 wOBA (seventh lowest in the league) against righties. Should be a fairly quiet one here. 

 

 

 

Mariners vs. Athletics Prediction: Tuesday, June 4

Now here’s a game I don’t mind using the full-game total instead of the first-five. Not because I have full trust in these bullpens, though both have been solid over the last week, but because I just don’t know what to expect from Oakland starting pitcher Mitch Spence. 

The Mariners have been weak against righthanded pitching, posting just a .294 wOBA with a mammoth 28.5-percent strikeout rate, but I’m just not sure how much I can trust him given that he does pitch to contact. Yes, he’s a ground ball pitcher but if the Mariners can sneak a few balls past the infield, it could spiral. Not enough to push that full-game over, but just enough to hurt us on that first-five run total. Maybe. 

On the other side, I’m going to back George Kirby. I understand he’s been a little inconsistent, especially on the road, but he’s back on the west coast here and facing a team that whiffs 26.5-percent of the time against righties and has a .291 wOBA with a 27-percent K-rate over the past week. I’ll add a talented pitcher of Kirby’s caliber to right the ship against a soft lineup like this to my MLB picks any day.

 

 

 

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Tuesday, June 4

It’s not so much about Corbin Burnes being on the mound and shutting down a Blue Jays lineup that has posted a .287 wOBA with just a .092 ISO over the past week and was disposed of by him just a few starts ago. It’s about the Jays throwing righthander Bowden Francis who owns a 8.59 ERA and is making his first start since landing on the IL back in late-April. 

I’m not sure how long he lasts against an Orioles team that has heated back up and has the highest wOBA (.357) over the past seven days and is doing it with power, as evidenced by the .190 ISO. To make matters worse, the Jays pen has been severely overworked this past week. Yes, they’ve posted a collective ERA of under 2.00, but they’ve also thrown 27.2 innings in that span which means these relievers are taxed. 

I think you can dive into a few hitter props if you like, though poor Gunnar Henderson’s lines are already juiced up, but the last of today’s MLB predictions will just stick with an early lead and the early team total for Baltimore.

 

 

 

Best MLB Props For Today, 6/4: Pitchers