Welcome back to another Sunday of MLB picks as we take a closer look at all of today’s games. Let’s dive into MLB Best Bets and Props as you enjoy the weekend action!

Our top MLB predictions today feature the Tigers vs. Blue Jays and the Brewers vs. Twins matchups. Plus, we wrap up our Sunday baseball betting card with some top MLB props. 

Enjoy the afternoon and night baseball as we cash our plays! 

 

 


 

MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 7/21

As always, be sure to shop around for the best Vegas Odds and Lines at different sportsbooks. The odds in this article below are accurate as of this writing. 

Without further ado, let’s check out my MLB best bets and props for Sunday, July 21st!

 

 


 

Tigers vs. Blue Jays Prediction Today, July 21st

Both the Detroit Tigers and Toronto Blue Jays are on the wrong side of the AL Wild Card standings, but that doesn’t mean Sunday’s game will be boring. This afternoon matchup could see plenty of runs scored based on the starting pitching matchup and two dangerous offenses.

Kevin Gausman starts for Toronto with a 4.50 ERA and 1.31 WHIP – his worst marks since 2019. The veteran right-hander has been up-and-down all year and has been shaky lately with a 4.89 ERA since the start of June (8 starts). Gausman has also struggled at home with a 7.19 ERA across 9 home outings. 

Gausman will face a Detroit offense that’s hammering right-handed pitching lately. Since the start of July, the Tigers boast a .362 wOBA, 136 wRC+, .221 ISO, and .843 OPS vs. righties. They also averaged 5.6 runs per game over the last 15 contests before the All-Star break. This could be rough for Gausman, who’s 5.18 xERA (10th MLB percentile), .275 xBA (12th), 11.5% barrel rate (5th), and 43.0% hard-hit rate (19th) are all worrisome.

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays should add to the total in their own matchup too. Tigers rookie starter Keider Montero has a 5.47 ERA and 5.25 FIP through 5 outings (4 starts). He just allowed 5 runs to the Dodgers last time out and is impossible to trust right now. Though Toronto isn’t the best offense vs. righties, the experienced lineup can still pounce on the shaky young arm of Montero.

Grab the over for both the full game and first five innings as we root for scoring of any kind in this American League battle. 

Expert Tigers vs. Blue Jays Picks

  • Over 8 Total Runs (-115 DraftKings Sportsbook)
  • 1st 5 Innings 4.5 Over Runs (-104 FanDuel Sportsbook)

 

 


 

Brewers vs. Twins Prediction Today, July 21st

Our second MLB pick for Sunday afternoon’s action features the Minnesota Twins hosting the Milwaukee Brewers. It’s an intriguing interleague series between an AL Wild Card contender and the NL Central division leaders. Let’s see how to bet the matinee. 

Twins starter Joe Ryan has a decent 3.53 ERA this season, but there are reasons for optimism. The right-hander has a 2.45 ERA over his past four home starts and gets a home matchup here. Plus, Ryan’s 4.1% walk rate (96th MLB percentile), 27.0% strikeout rate (80th), 3.07 xERA (86th), and .221 xBA (78th) are all impressive advanced metrics. Though he allowed 5 runs on the road at San Francisco last outing, Ryan had a 3.13 ERA across his 6 previous starts before that. 

The Brewers, meanwhile, have struggled against right-handed pitching over the past two weeks with a .280 wOBA, 79 wRC+, 31.2% strikeout rate, and .183 batting average. The offense was slumping a bit before the All-Star break and could be limited in this spot. Ryan can certainly take advantage at home.

Let’s also bank on Ryan getting run support from the Minnesota lineup in its own matchup. Aaron Civale will be making his third start with Milwaukee after being traded by the Rays a few weeks ago. He’s had a shaky season with a 4.94 ERA and 1.38 WHIP thus far. The right-hander has especially struggled on the road with a 6.23 ERA across 9 road outings. Civale also has a 5.25 FIP since the beginning of June (seven starts). 

Civale could have a rough day against a potent Twins offense that’s hammering righties. Over the past two weeks, they boast a .356 wOBA, 133 wRC+, .294 BA, and .813 OPS vs. right-handed pitching. The Twins also have arguably the best home offense in the MLB this season, leading the league in home wOBA (.343), wRC+ (126), BA (.268) and OPS (.791). 

Take the Twins moneyline to win on Sunday and grab them to lead the first five innings. The odds on the ML admittedly aren’t great, so the runline can be considered as well. 

Expert Brewers vs. Twins Picks

  • Twins Moneyline (-156 FanDuel Sportsbook)
  • 1st 5 Innings Twins -0.5 Runline (-115 BetMGM)

 

 


 

Best MLB Player Props Today, 7/21