Are we ready for a new week and a new edition of the MLB Best Bets and Betting Picks? The Fantasy Alarm team did a nice job over the weekend, so I am looking to start the week off on the right foot. We’ve got a nice eight-game slate for baseball betting with some very interesting starting pitcher match-ups. We’ve gone through all the latest MLB betting odds and checked out where we can find the best value, between money lines, run lines, over/unders, etc. I’ve also studied the latest MLB weather reports so we don’t lose any of our bets to postponements as we dealt with last week. So let’s get to it.

  • Thursday’s Record: 1-1
  • Season Record: 85-82-2
  • Bankroll: -6.23 units
 

MLB Best Bets for June 12 

San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals

We’ll start nice and easy here with a bit of a mismatch in pitching between Logan Webb and Matthew Liberatore. Now, the Giants do not hit lefties well, or at least they haven’t over the course of the season, but Liberatore has one good pitch he throws – his curveball – but everything else just seems flat. With the fact that the Giants hitters are fired up right now (.353 wOBA with a .181 ISO over the past week) and that their ability to hit southpaws has improved, we expect them to score some runs and take care of business tonight. Logan Webb is coming off a mediocre start at Coors Field but will round right back into form against a Cardinals team that keeps scuffling at the plate. He should be able to contain the Cardinals for the majority of his time spent on the mound and the Giants bullpen can keep the momentum in their favor.

Pick: Giants Money Line (-130 on Caesars Sportsbook)

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers

I was genuinely looking at a first-five innings bet for this game and don’t hate the Rangers run line, but with Dane Dunning on the mound, anything can happen. So instead, we’ll look at the Texas bats going up against Tyler Anderson. Texas has lost three of their last four and are very likely to take their frustrations out on the Angels southpaw. They’re crushing lefties with a .358 wOBA for the season and have a league-leading .371 wOBA at home which also comes with a .213 ISO. The Rangers team total odds have me waffling between playing it safe and taking the possibility of a push if I just go with the minus-120 for taking the over-5, but no guts, no glory, amirite?

Pick: Texas Rangers Team Total over 5.5 (+115 on Caesars Sportsbook)

Pick: Josh Jung over 1.5 hits + runs+ RBI (-140 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics

While Shane McClanahan gets all the love as baseball’s first 10-game winner, Zach Eflin is clearly becoming the most underrated arm in all of baseball. The guy is 8-1 on the season with a 2.97 ERA and a very impressive 0.96 WHIP. Now he squares off with an A’s team that has won five in a row and is considered the hottest-hitting team in baseball right now with a .380 wOBA over the past week. The irresistible force meeting the immovable object? Hardly. I have tons of confidence in Eflin to dominate in this match-up and I have complete faith in the Rays bats to do some early damage to A’s starter James Kaprielian. So much so that we’ve got two bets for it.

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays 1st 3 Innings -0.5 run line (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

Pick: Zach Eflin to record a win (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

**all bets are one unit unless specifically ,mentioned.