NFL DFS Week 7 Watch List: Top DraftKings Picks & Top FanDuel Picks
Published: Oct 21, 2023
UPDATED: Friday, Oct. 20 at 11:45am ET
Time to start our research for NFL DFS Week 7! We're going to get a shorter-than-usual main slate this week with six teams on a bye and no games being played in London. I love a nice 10-game slate, especially when the late games are where all the action could be. The Kansas City Chiefs/Los Angeles Chargers game is going to be incredibly popular. But on top of all of that, there is so much other stuff to sift through, given the rash of NFL injuries we've seen. We've got a number of back-up quarterbacks and running backs who will be on the table and, hopefully, we can still get them at some discount prices. There's no reason to waste any time, so let's start breaking down the slate and figuring out who might be our favorite DFS plays this week.
As always, I would like to welcome all of our new subscribers. I'm still seeing a lot of new screen names in Discord and I see a ton of new sign-ups for the All-Pro package (which I LOVE), so before we fully dive in to the NFL DFS Week 7 Watch List, please allow me to welcome all of the new members of the Fantasy Alarm #FAmily. There are a lot of you and we thank you for joining. Now it's up to us to help you cash consistently on your NFL DFS action and we are psyched to make that happen. Since you are new to the Watch List, allow me to share some thoughts real quick:
“If you give a man a fish, he’ll eat for a day. If you teach a man to fish, he’ll eat for a lifetime.”
We take this adage to heart when it comes to playing NFL DFS. The Fantasy Alarm Playbook isn’t just about handing you a list of players and a lineup to use each week. It is designed to help you learn to be a better DFS player. It’s about teaching you the process used in selecting which players to scout and, eventually, which ones to use.
Therefore, we will begin each week with the Weekly NFL DFS Watch List which is designed to keep tabs on marquee names, chalk plays and, of course, the weekly bargains who may not see the same coverage and exposure. This piece will be continuously updated throughout the week, based on the most recent news and injuries, which means you may see a name or two removed as we get closer to Sunday kick-off. You may also see a few late-week additions who pique our interest for some reason too, and by the end of the week, this Watch List will eventually become your Playbook. Again, it’s about teaching you the process.
So what exactly did last week's Playbook deliver? As always, we like to check in to ensure we remain on the right path.
Scoring The Playbook Week 6
It was a pretty low-scoring week across the board, as you can tell by the scores for the Playbook's optimal lineups. We did a fine job identifying the running backs and wide receivers toy needed to use for this week, but, like most other DFS players, the quarterbacks and tight ends were a different story. My biggest gaffe was getting catfished by the allure of a points bonanza in the Seattle Seahawks/Cincinnati Bengals game. Geno Smith and Joe Burrow both looked bad this week and that, obviously, trickled down to their receivers. Someone might chime in about Logan Thomas or Zach Ertz and, while that's fair – neither performed well – the process was right. It was for my expectations of the Bengals and Seahawks as well, but it just didn't work out as I had hoped. These things happen and that's another reason why I tell you not to use my Example Lineups. If you did, you cashed in your 50/50s, but with Burrow, Smith and all their receivers all struggling, you were dead in the water for GPP tournaments. But again, let me remind you – NO ONE wins GPP contests every week. No one. If someone says they are, ask for transparency and check their losses too. For us, we dust ourselves off and move on.
Let's get to the NFL Week 7 DFS Watch List players!
Pos (Click to sort ascending) | Player (Click to sort ascending) | Matchup (Click to sort ascending) | DK (Click to sort ascending) | FD (Click to sort ascending) |
---|---|---|---|---|
QB | Patrick Mahomes | LAC @ KC Sun 4:25 | 8300 | 9200 |
No real analysis needed here as Mahomes is an elite-level QB playing against a secondary that is so porous it actually made Dak Prescott look good on Monday Night Football. He may not have the best receiving corps, but he's got Travis Kelce, Rashee RIce and Kadarius Toney and that's probably all he needs against the Chargers this week. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
QB | Jordan Love | GB @ DEN Sun 4:25 | 5800 | 7800 |
The Broncos defense will try to make a stand this week, but even an inexperienced QB like Love should be able to pick them apart. Denver allows the third-most fantasy points per game to the quarterback, they allow the third-most passing yards per game and the 14 passing touchdowns they've given up is the most in the league. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
QB | Daniel Jones | SF @ MIN Mon 8:15 | 5600 | 7100 |
We'll have to see how his neck injury is healing and if he starts this week. I can't say that I would hate using Tyrod Taylor should Jones miss another game, especially given the shortcomings of the Commanders' pass-coverage. Washington is allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to QBs, they rank 27th in DVOA against the pass, allowing the sixth-most passing yards per game and they've allowed 12 passing touchdowns on the year. I don't want to say a nutless monkey could pass on them but… Game Type: GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
QB | Geno Smith | ARI @ SEA Sun 4:05 | 6000 | 7000 |
After watching last week against the Bengals, I too wanted to punch Smith in the face. What a disastrous performance in what should have been a smash-spot. But let's keep those thoughts fresh in everyone else's minds and let's focus on the bounce-back we should see against the Cardinals' secondary. We've watched Brock Purdy, Joe Burrow and Matthew Stafford carve them up. I don't see much reason not to believe Smith can do it too, especially with such tasty weapons. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Cloudy | ||||
QB | Baker Mayfield | ATL @ TB Sun 1:00 | 5300 | 6600 |
Baker failed to deliver last week as the Lions pass-rush routinely forced him into so throws he really wasn't ready to make The Falcons defense is strong, but they do not have the pass-rush Detroit has and that should help Mayfield find his targets downfield more. Mike Evans will have some tough match-ups with the outside corners, but Atlanta struggles to protect the middle of the field and that's where the Bucs should be able to do most of their damage. Game Type: GPP Weather: Partly sunny | ||||
QB | P.J. Walker | ARI @ SEA Sun 4:05 | 4800 | 6400 |
JUST ADDED: We'll have to watch Deshaun Watson's practice schedule before committing here, but I have a sneaking suspicion that Walker could be a very interesting pay-down for GPP tournaments. There's nothing spectacular about him, but he is a very serviceable quarterback with a very soft match-up against the Colts. The Indianapolis defense isn't what it used to be. Not only are their cover-corners struggling, but so is their front-seven. The Browns offensive line is strong and you'll see the Browns looking to establish the run early. Once they do, it opens up the play-action and should free Walker up to find his downfield targets. It's a dirty deep-dive, but one I'm not above trying out this week. Game Type: GPP Weather: Cloudy | ||||
RB | Kenneth Walker | ARI @ SEA Sun 4:05 | 7000 | 8800 |
The Arizona Cardinals are allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs and they've allowed an average of 133.3 rushing yards per game with eight rushing touchdowns allowed. You know Pete Carroll and Shane Waldron are getting him the ball and he's see most, in not all, the red zone carries. He's been incredibly reliable this season and should enjoy another highly-productive week against Arizona. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Cloudy | ||||
RB | Josh Jacobs | GB @ DEN Sun 4:25 | 7400 | 8000 |
The Bears defense is bad. Really bad. Don't let Minnesota's struggles last week fool you. That was all play-calling and Mattison actually bailed them out with a ton of check-down catches made. Expect the Raiders to lead with a power-run and look for Jacobs to see significant volume in this one. The research is still going down, but based on his talent level and the fact that the Bears are allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to running backs, he could be a lock-play for me in cash games and GPP tournaments this week. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
RB | Aaron Jones | SF @ MIN Mon 8:15 | 6800 | 7700 |
He's on the cover for a reason. The only thing standing in our way, so to speak, is the hamstring. Hopefully the bye week gave Jones ample time to rest because this is a fantastic match-up for him as the Broncos give up the most fantasy points per game to running backs, they allow the most rushing yards per game and they've allowed eight rushing touchdowns on the year. Even more enticing is that Denver ranks 27th in DVOA against running back pass-plays, allowing an average of 50 receiving yards per game to them. UPDATE: I'm not pulling back on anything here with the news of the James Robinson signing. He's a depth-play at best. The only reason he eats into carries is if Jones' hamstring is not fine and he doesn't paly. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
RB | Isiah Pacheco | LAC @ KC Sun 4:25 | 6100 | 7400 |
JUST ADDED: Based on our current DFS Ownership Projections, Pacheco is expected to be one of the highest-owned running backs which, at this relatively easy-going price, means he could be a cash-game lock for us. We all know the Chargers pass-defense shortcomings, but they also rank 24th in DVOA against the run and are allowing an average of 102.5 rushing yards per game with six rushing touchdowns allowed on the season. Andy Reid will keep him involved early to help open things up for the Chiefs passing game and he could be leaned on late should Kansas City have the lead. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
RB | Javonte Williams | GB @ DEN Sun 4:25 | 5400 | 6000 |
On the other side of this Broncos/Packers game, we will hopefully see Denver unleash Williams a little more for this match-up. The Packers rank 26th in DVOA against the run and they allow the fifth-most rushing yards per game to the position. Running back pass-plays? Yeah, they struggle there as well, ranking 26th. I've got him listed as GPP-only for now because of the involvement of both Jaleel McLaughlin and Samaje Perine, but we may be able to use him in cash if we get some positive practice reports this week. Game Type: GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
RB | Zach Evans | PIT @ LA Sun 4:05 | 4000 | 4800 |
You're going to hear a lot of buzz on Evans this week as he will be one of the hottest pick-ups in season-long fantasy this week. There is plenty of talent here and the match-up against Pittsburgh is super-tasty as they allow the ninth-most fantasy points per game to the running back position and the fourth-most rushing yards per game. The only concern, and we should have this sorted out by the end of the week, is whether or not he is a better pass-blocker than Royce Freeman who will likely be called up from the practice squad. If he can, it's wheels-up for Week 7. If not, we may have to make a pivot given how much the Rams love to throw. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
WR | Cooper Kupp | PIT @ LA Sun 4:05 | 9500 | 9700 |
This is your weekly reminder to figure out a way to fit his salary into both your cash and GPP tournament lineups. He's really good and this match-up is really tasty. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
WR | Davante Adams | 8200 | 8000 | |
Whether we use Adams this week or not is going to depend entirely on which QB is under center. My preference is Jimmy Garoppolo or Brian Hoyer. I worry if it's Aidan O'Connell. But the match-up lines up beautifully for Adams as the Bears rank 26th in DVOA against the opposing WR1 and they've allowed 13 passing touchdowns on the year. Now we just have to keep tabs on the quarterback news all week. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||
WR | DK Metcalf | ARI @ SEA Sun 4:05 | 6800 | 7700 |
The Cardinals rank 31st in DVOA against the opposition's No. 1 receiver and they're allowing an average of 112 receiving yards per game to them. On top of that, Arizona is allowing the seventh-most fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position. The Seahawks need a big rebound this week after such a disappointing performance against the Bengals and we know the Arizona defense is more than capable of making that happen. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Cloudy | ||||
WR | Amari Cooper | BUF @ NE Sun 1:00 | 6100 | 6800 |
Against this super-soft Colts secondary, I'm willing to give Cooper some love even with PJ Walker under center. The COlts push everything to the outside and their cover-corners really aren't that good. They rank 19th in DVOA against the WR1 and are allowing 97.6 receiving yards per game to them. The Colts are also allowing the 10th-most passing yards per game, so you can probably expect a little volume to come his way as well. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Mostly sunny | ||||
WR | Hollywood Brown | LAC @ KC Sun 4:25 | 5300 | 6700 |
Guess which team gives up the most fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position? If you answered with Seattle, then you already know to get Hollywood into your lineups this week. He's seeing a fantastic target-share and with the struggles in coverage we've seen from the Seahawks, Brown is the unequivocal leader in this passing attack. Even better is how DK and FD keep him priced down. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
WR | Chris Godwin | ATL @ TB Sun 1:00 | 6900 | 6500 |
While yes, Mike Evans is clearly Baker Mayfield's favorite target, you have to look at the coverage scheme for Atlanta. You know A.J. Terrell is going to be all over Evans and you know the Falcons will probably float some safety help over the top to ensure he doesn't break a long TD. That means Godwin against slot-corner Dee Alford and a very vulnerable middle of the field. I know we've preached Godwin in the past, but this time it should work! Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Partly sunny | ||||
WR | Zay Flowers | DET @ BAL Sun 1:00 | 5700 | 6300 |
I just love what this guy brings to the table each week. Clearly, he and Lamar Jackson have a strong on-field rapport and it looks like he's proven to be the preferred target to Rashod Bateman or Odell Beckham. The Lions are sitting in the middle of the pack in passing yards and fantasy points allowed to receivers, but they do rank 24th in DVOA to the Z-receiver which is usually where Flowers lines up. The price tag is extremely helpful, so don't overlook him. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
WR | Joshua Palmer | LAC @ KC Sun 4:25 | 4800 | 6500 |
JUST ADDED: First and foremost, yes, Keenan Allen is VERY MUCH in-play for this week, but Palmer's price tag and where he is on our most-recent DFS Ownership Projections puts him as a top choice for both cash games and GPP tournaments. He's averaged between seven and eight targets per game over the last three and should be leaned on substantially in this match-up. The Chiefs rank 16th in DVOA against the opposition's WR2 and with this game having tremendous shootout potential, he should produce value well ahead of his cost. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
WR | Rashee Rice | LAC @ KC Sun 4:25 | 4700 | 5600 |
We always say the cream rises to the top and it definitely has here with Rice becoming the preferred receiver for Patrick Mahomes. Yes, Kadarius Toney will always have some sort of a role, but in the targets pecking order, it's Travis Kelce and then Rice. He gets the red zone looks which is huge and he should have a REALLY strong effort against this horrendous Chargers secondary. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
WR | Kendrick Bourne | BUF @ NE Sun 1:00 | 4400 | 5800 |
If you didn't listen to Jon Impemba last week, you missed out on a 10-catch performance from Bourne who did not need to score a touchdown in order to exceed value based on cost. He remains dirt-cheap in this do-nothing (well, very little) offense the Patriots have going and he is the go-to receiver for all things short-yardage. It's a strong play in full-point PPR contests like DK, especially on a week like this one where everyone is going to be chasing the same guys on a shorter-than-usual slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Mostly sunny | ||||
WR | Darius Slayton | WAS @ NYG Sun 1:00 | 3700 | 5700 |
Borderline dart-throw here, but we did see Slayton provide some very nice production Sunday night against the Bills. Wan'Dale Robinson and Darren Waller handle most of the underneath work, but if the Giants are trying to stretch the defense vertically, then Slayton is someone worth looking at, especially in this match-up against a very vulnerable Commanders secondary. Washington allows the fifth-most fantasy points per game to the receiver position, so you know Slayton is going to be a slice of that. Game Type: GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
TE | Travis Kelce | LAC @ KC Sun 4:25 | 8000 | 8500 |
Derwin James vs Travis Kelce is a fantastic match-up to watch and lately, Kelce has come out on top. Everyone remembers the body slam James gave Kelce but do they also remember the three 100-yard games in the last four meetings between these two teams? What about Kelce's five touchdowns over the last three meetings. Just sayin'. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
TE | Mark Andrews | DET @ BAL Sun 1:00 | 5700 | 6900 |
We've been waiting for a MANdrews breakout all season long and this might just be the time we get it. The Lions may rank 13th in DVOA against the position, but they are also allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to the tight end. The Ravens are back from London and they're sleeping in their own beds all week. They should be ready for the visiting Lions. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
TE | Pat Freiermuth | PIT @ LA Sun 4:05 | 3900 | 5500 |
He's been a major disappointment, but we can take that as a potential positive for this week because that should limit his ownership. But the Rams are allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to the tight end, they rank 28th in DVOA against the position and they're allowing an average of nearly 70 yards per game. I wish he were a couple of bucks cheaper, but it's still an intriguing pay-down. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
TE | Luke Musgrave | GB @ DEN Sun 4:25 | 3300 | 5000 |
I mean….it's the Broncos! They're 31st in DVOA against the position, they're allowing an average of nearly 75 yards per game to them and they allow the most fantasy points per game to them. This is the stars aligning very nicely for our GPP bargains. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
TE | Trey McBride | ARI @ SEA Sun 4:05 | 2600 | 4600 |
JUST ADDED: If you read the TE Coach article from Andrew Cooper, you'll notice his value-play of McBride and how he cites the increased snap-count. With the NFL trade deadline approaching, there have been rumblings of Zach Ertz being dealt and they seem to coincide with an increased snap-count for McBride. Maybe that also had to do with the match-up against the Rams who are deficient when it comes to covering the tight end, but so are the Seahawks. In fact, Seattle ranks 30th in DVOA against the tight end position, so we could see his snap and target trajectories continue to rise. Game Type: GPP Weather: Cloudy |
Patrick Mahomes, QB | ||||
No real analysis needed here as Mahomes is an elite-level QB playing against a secondary that is so porous it actually made Dak Prescott look good on Monday Night Football. He may not have the best receiving corps, but he's got Travis Kelce, Rashee RIce and Kadarius Toney and that's probably all he needs against the Chargers this week. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Jordan Love, QB | ||||
The Broncos defense will try to make a stand this week, but even an inexperienced QB like Love should be able to pick them apart. Denver allows the third-most fantasy points per game to the quarterback, they allow the third-most passing yards per game and the 14 passing touchdowns they've given up is the most in the league. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Daniel Jones, QB | ||||
We'll have to see how his neck injury is healing and if he starts this week. I can't say that I would hate using Tyrod Taylor should Jones miss another game, especially given the shortcomings of the Commanders' pass-coverage. Washington is allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to QBs, they rank 27th in DVOA against the pass, allowing the sixth-most passing yards per game and they've allowed 12 passing touchdowns on the year. I don't want to say a nutless monkey could pass on them but… Game Type: GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
Geno Smith, QB | ||||
After watching last week against the Bengals, I too wanted to punch Smith in the face. What a disastrous performance in what should have been a smash-spot. But let's keep those thoughts fresh in everyone else's minds and let's focus on the bounce-back we should see against the Cardinals' secondary. We've watched Brock Purdy, Joe Burrow and Matthew Stafford carve them up. I don't see much reason not to believe Smith can do it too, especially with such tasty weapons. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Cloudy | ||||
Baker Mayfield, QB | ||||
Baker failed to deliver last week as the Lions pass-rush routinely forced him into so throws he really wasn't ready to make The Falcons defense is strong, but they do not have the pass-rush Detroit has and that should help Mayfield find his targets downfield more. Mike Evans will have some tough match-ups with the outside corners, but Atlanta struggles to protect the middle of the field and that's where the Bucs should be able to do most of their damage. Game Type: GPP Weather: Partly sunny | ||||
P.J. Walker, QB | ||||
JUST ADDED: We'll have to watch Deshaun Watson's practice schedule before committing here, but I have a sneaking suspicion that Walker could be a very interesting pay-down for GPP tournaments. There's nothing spectacular about him, but he is a very serviceable quarterback with a very soft match-up against the Colts. The Indianapolis defense isn't what it used to be. Not only are their cover-corners struggling, but so is their front-seven. The Browns offensive line is strong and you'll see the Browns looking to establish the run early. Once they do, it opens up the play-action and should free Walker up to find his downfield targets. It's a dirty deep-dive, but one I'm not above trying out this week. Game Type: GPP Weather: Cloudy | ||||
Kenneth Walker, RB | ||||
The Arizona Cardinals are allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs and they've allowed an average of 133.3 rushing yards per game with eight rushing touchdowns allowed. You know Pete Carroll and Shane Waldron are getting him the ball and he's see most, in not all, the red zone carries. He's been incredibly reliable this season and should enjoy another highly-productive week against Arizona. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Cloudy | ||||
Josh Jacobs, RB | ||||
The Bears defense is bad. Really bad. Don't let Minnesota's struggles last week fool you. That was all play-calling and Mattison actually bailed them out with a ton of check-down catches made. Expect the Raiders to lead with a power-run and look for Jacobs to see significant volume in this one. The research is still going down, but based on his talent level and the fact that the Bears are allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to running backs, he could be a lock-play for me in cash games and GPP tournaments this week. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Aaron Jones, RB | ||||
He's on the cover for a reason. The only thing standing in our way, so to speak, is the hamstring. Hopefully the bye week gave Jones ample time to rest because this is a fantastic match-up for him as the Broncos give up the most fantasy points per game to running backs, they allow the most rushing yards per game and they've allowed eight rushing touchdowns on the year. Even more enticing is that Denver ranks 27th in DVOA against running back pass-plays, allowing an average of 50 receiving yards per game to them. UPDATE: I'm not pulling back on anything here with the news of the James Robinson signing. He's a depth-play at best. The only reason he eats into carries is if Jones' hamstring is not fine and he doesn't paly. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
Isiah Pacheco, RB | ||||
JUST ADDED: Based on our current DFS Ownership Projections, Pacheco is expected to be one of the highest-owned running backs which, at this relatively easy-going price, means he could be a cash-game lock for us. We all know the Chargers pass-defense shortcomings, but they also rank 24th in DVOA against the run and are allowing an average of 102.5 rushing yards per game with six rushing touchdowns allowed on the season. Andy Reid will keep him involved early to help open things up for the Chiefs passing game and he could be leaned on late should Kansas City have the lead. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Javonte Williams, RB | ||||
On the other side of this Broncos/Packers game, we will hopefully see Denver unleash Williams a little more for this match-up. The Packers rank 26th in DVOA against the run and they allow the fifth-most rushing yards per game to the position. Running back pass-plays? Yeah, they struggle there as well, ranking 26th. I've got him listed as GPP-only for now because of the involvement of both Jaleel McLaughlin and Samaje Perine, but we may be able to use him in cash if we get some positive practice reports this week. Game Type: GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Zach Evans, RB | ||||
You're going to hear a lot of buzz on Evans this week as he will be one of the hottest pick-ups in season-long fantasy this week. There is plenty of talent here and the match-up against Pittsburgh is super-tasty as they allow the ninth-most fantasy points per game to the running back position and the fourth-most rushing yards per game. The only concern, and we should have this sorted out by the end of the week, is whether or not he is a better pass-blocker than Royce Freeman who will likely be called up from the practice squad. If he can, it's wheels-up for Week 7. If not, we may have to make a pivot given how much the Rams love to throw. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
Cooper Kupp, WR | ||||
This is your weekly reminder to figure out a way to fit his salary into both your cash and GPP tournament lineups. He's really good and this match-up is really tasty. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
Davante Adams, WR | ||||
Whether we use Adams this week or not is going to depend entirely on which QB is under center. My preference is Jimmy Garoppolo or Brian Hoyer. I worry if it's Aidan O'Connell. But the match-up lines up beautifully for Adams as the Bears rank 26th in DVOA against the opposing WR1 and they've allowed 13 passing touchdowns on the year. Now we just have to keep tabs on the quarterback news all week. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||
DK Metcalf, WR | ||||
The Cardinals rank 31st in DVOA against the opposition's No. 1 receiver and they're allowing an average of 112 receiving yards per game to them. On top of that, Arizona is allowing the seventh-most fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position. The Seahawks need a big rebound this week after such a disappointing performance against the Bengals and we know the Arizona defense is more than capable of making that happen. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Cloudy | ||||
Amari Cooper, WR | ||||
Against this super-soft Colts secondary, I'm willing to give Cooper some love even with PJ Walker under center. The COlts push everything to the outside and their cover-corners really aren't that good. They rank 19th in DVOA against the WR1 and are allowing 97.6 receiving yards per game to them. The Colts are also allowing the 10th-most passing yards per game, so you can probably expect a little volume to come his way as well. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Mostly sunny | ||||
Hollywood Brown, WR | ||||
Guess which team gives up the most fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position? If you answered with Seattle, then you already know to get Hollywood into your lineups this week. He's seeing a fantastic target-share and with the struggles in coverage we've seen from the Seahawks, Brown is the unequivocal leader in this passing attack. Even better is how DK and FD keep him priced down. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Chris Godwin, WR | ||||
While yes, Mike Evans is clearly Baker Mayfield's favorite target, you have to look at the coverage scheme for Atlanta. You know A.J. Terrell is going to be all over Evans and you know the Falcons will probably float some safety help over the top to ensure he doesn't break a long TD. That means Godwin against slot-corner Dee Alford and a very vulnerable middle of the field. I know we've preached Godwin in the past, but this time it should work! Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Partly sunny | ||||
Zay Flowers, WR | ||||
I just love what this guy brings to the table each week. Clearly, he and Lamar Jackson have a strong on-field rapport and it looks like he's proven to be the preferred target to Rashod Bateman or Odell Beckham. The Lions are sitting in the middle of the pack in passing yards and fantasy points allowed to receivers, but they do rank 24th in DVOA to the Z-receiver which is usually where Flowers lines up. The price tag is extremely helpful, so don't overlook him. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Joshua Palmer, WR | ||||
JUST ADDED: First and foremost, yes, Keenan Allen is VERY MUCH in-play for this week, but Palmer's price tag and where he is on our most-recent DFS Ownership Projections puts him as a top choice for both cash games and GPP tournaments. He's averaged between seven and eight targets per game over the last three and should be leaned on substantially in this match-up. The Chiefs rank 16th in DVOA against the opposition's WR2 and with this game having tremendous shootout potential, he should produce value well ahead of his cost. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Rashee Rice, WR | ||||
We always say the cream rises to the top and it definitely has here with Rice becoming the preferred receiver for Patrick Mahomes. Yes, Kadarius Toney will always have some sort of a role, but in the targets pecking order, it's Travis Kelce and then Rice. He gets the red zone looks which is huge and he should have a REALLY strong effort against this horrendous Chargers secondary. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Kendrick Bourne, WR | ||||
If you didn't listen to Jon Impemba last week, you missed out on a 10-catch performance from Bourne who did not need to score a touchdown in order to exceed value based on cost. He remains dirt-cheap in this do-nothing (well, very little) offense the Patriots have going and he is the go-to receiver for all things short-yardage. It's a strong play in full-point PPR contests like DK, especially on a week like this one where everyone is going to be chasing the same guys on a shorter-than-usual slate. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Mostly sunny | ||||
Darius Slayton, WR | ||||
Borderline dart-throw here, but we did see Slayton provide some very nice production Sunday night against the Bills. Wan'Dale Robinson and Darren Waller handle most of the underneath work, but if the Giants are trying to stretch the defense vertically, then Slayton is someone worth looking at, especially in this match-up against a very vulnerable Commanders secondary. Washington allows the fifth-most fantasy points per game to the receiver position, so you know Slayton is going to be a slice of that. Game Type: GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Travis Kelce, TE | ||||
Derwin James vs Travis Kelce is a fantastic match-up to watch and lately, Kelce has come out on top. Everyone remembers the body slam James gave Kelce but do they also remember the three 100-yard games in the last four meetings between these two teams? What about Kelce's five touchdowns over the last three meetings. Just sayin'. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Mark Andrews, TE | ||||
We've been waiting for a MANdrews breakout all season long and this might just be the time we get it. The Lions may rank 13th in DVOA against the position, but they are also allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to the tight end. The Ravens are back from London and they're sleeping in their own beds all week. They should be ready for the visiting Lions. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Pat Freiermuth, TE | ||||
He's been a major disappointment, but we can take that as a potential positive for this week because that should limit his ownership. But the Rams are allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to the tight end, they rank 28th in DVOA against the position and they're allowing an average of nearly 70 yards per game. I wish he were a couple of bucks cheaper, but it's still an intriguing pay-down. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
Luke Musgrave, TE | ||||
I mean….it's the Broncos! They're 31st in DVOA against the position, they're allowing an average of nearly 75 yards per game to them and they allow the most fantasy points per game to them. This is the stars aligning very nicely for our GPP bargains. Game Type: CASH & GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Trey McBride, TE | ||||
JUST ADDED: If you read the TE Coach article from Andrew Cooper, you'll notice his value-play of McBride and how he cites the increased snap-count. With the NFL trade deadline approaching, there have been rumblings of Zach Ertz being dealt and they seem to coincide with an increased snap-count for McBride. Maybe that also had to do with the match-up against the Rams who are deficient when it comes to covering the tight end, but so are the Seahawks. In fact, Seattle ranks 30th in DVOA against the tight end position, so we could see his snap and target trajectories continue to rise. Game Type: GPP Weather: Cloudy |