Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season is here and for our Underdog NFL picks this week we are looking to focus on favorable projections for Pittsburgh Steelers QB Russell Wilson, Cleveland Browns RB Nick Chubb and Green Bay Packers RB Josh Jacobs in an entry with a 5.6x payout multiplier. 

 

 

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Nick Chubb Underdog NFL Pick: Higher than 15.5 Rushing Attempts

I'm very bullish on Nick Chubb here today. The Browns are coming off of their bye week and sit as 1.5-point road favorites against the New Orleans Saints.

Chubb had 15 rushing attempts in a negative game script during the Browns blowout loss to the Chargers last weekend but in just his second game back he had 16 rushing attempts in the Browns win over the Ravens.

I'm expecting a positive game script where Chubb is fresh off of a bye week and ready to be more acclimated into the offensive game plan and a struggling run defense.

  • Underdog NFL Pick: Higher than 15.5 Rushing Attempts

 

 

 

Josh Jacobs Underdog NFL Pick: Higher than 16.5 Rushing Attempts

Another spot where I'm looking at game flow and past production. The Packers have not been afraid to give Jacobs all the rushing attempts he can handle with him totaling at least 18 rushing attempts in a game in three of the last five contests.

The Packers are 5.5-point road favorites against the struggling Chicago Bears and I'd imagine with an early lead that the Packers will look to take a run heavy approach as this game winds down.

  • Underdog NFL Pick:  Higher than 16.5 Rushing Attempts

 

 

 

Russell Wilson Underdog NFL Pick: Higher than 232.5 Passing Yards

The Ravens have allowed the most passing yards per game to their opponent at 294.9 yards per contest. We've seen Wilson throw for 264 and 278 yards in two of his three starts this season for the Steelers.

This is looking like the perfect matchup to take the over given the Ravens solid run defense but poor pass defense forcing Pittsburgh to throw the football.

  • Underdog NFL Pick: Higher than 232.5 Passing Yards

 

 

 

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