Underdog Fantasy NFL Picks Week 8 TNF: Stefon Diggs & Rachaad White Plays for Buccaneers vs Bills
NFL Week 8 kicks off tonight with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills matchup on Thursday Night Football. Let's break down some NFL Underdog Fantasy picks for this Buccaneers vs Bills TNF game. Our top NFL picks today feature Bills WR Stefon Diggs and Bucs RB Rachaad White. Enjoy these NFL Underdog top plays and Thursday Night Football picks as you watch tonight's game. As always, be sure to check out the latest NFL injury updates ahead of this TNF Buccaneers vs Bills showdown. If you're making more NFL picks tonight or making NFL DFS lineups, check out our NFL daily projections. Now, let's dive into the top NFL Week 8 picks on Underdog Fantasy for Thursday Night Football.
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NFL Underdog Fantasy Top Picks
Week 8 Thursday Night Football Buccaneers vs Bills Picks
Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills – HIGHER Than 85.5 Receiving Yards
In last week’s loss to the Patriots, Stefon Diggs was mostly held in check with his six catches for 58 yards and a TD. Let’s bank on a bounce-back performance for the Buffalo Bills’ star wide receiver in a much easier matchup at home on Thursday night. Diggs has 100+ receiving yards in five of seven games this season. He’s by far the Bills’ top receiving weapon this season and is locked into targets. His 78 targets, 55 receptions, and 678 receiving yards through seven games all lead the team by a big margin.
Diggs saw 12 targets last week and has double-digit targets in five of seven contests so far. It’s essentially only Gabe Davis and Dalton Kincaid as the secondary targets behind Diggs. We can get excited about Kincaid with Dawson Knox out, but the Bucs have been tougher on tight ends this season.
As for the matchup, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been shaky against the pass this season. The Bucs are allowing 246.7 passing yards per game, the sixth-worst in the NFL. Tampa Bay has also given up big games to multiple opposing WR1s: Justin Jefferson (150 yards), Amon-Ra St. Brown (124 yards), A.J. Brown (131 yards), and DJ Moore (104 yards) have all gone for 100+ yards against the weak Buccaneers secondary.
If you need any more convincing, check out this tweet from Diggs following last week’s subpar performance. Doesn’t this sound like a guy who’s motivated to ball out on national TV?
Rachaad White, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – HIGHER Than 46.5 Rushing Yards
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are sizable underdogs on the road for tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup against the Buffalo Bills. That might lead you to think Rachaad White’s rushing yards could be limited with a negative game script. However, this line is a touch too low when considering the Bills’ recent struggles against opposing RBs.
First off, White has only rushed for 50+ yards in two of six games this season. The track record isn’t great and White is averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. However, he’s also faced some of the better run defenses in the NFL. White’s opponents so far have been the Eagles (1st in rushing yards allowed per game), Lions (2nd), Bears (5th), Falcons (8th), Saints (12th), and Vikings (15th). Those are all matchups in the top half of rush defenses.
Tonight will now be White’s easiest matchup to date this year. The Bills are allowing 128.3 rushing yards per game (23rd in NFL) and they’ve struggled against opposing lead backs almost every contest. In seven games, Buffalo has allowed five opposing RBs to run for 70+ yards. Recently, the Bills’ run defense has especially struggled with linebacker Matt Milano out. Over the past three games since Milano went down, here are the stat lines for opposing backs: Travis Etienne 136 rush yards on 26 carries, Saquon Barkley 93 rush yards on 24 carries, Rhamondre Stevenson and Ezekiel Elliott 65 combined yards on 20 carries.
White is the Buccaneers’ main ball carrier when the offense looks to run the ball. His 83 carries this season are miles ahead of Ke’Shawn Vaughn (19 carries) and Sean Tucker (15). White has seen 13+ rush attempts in five of six games so far and should see a solid workload tonight. The Bills defense also has a couple of key injuries to monitor outside of Milano being out. DT Ed Oliver missed last week with a toe injury and is questionable to play tonight, while Von Miller has not been as effective this season coming off last year’s ACL injury and he only played six snaps last game.
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Other NFL Links:
- NFL Week 8 Thursday Night Football Showdown Playbook: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills DFS Picks
- NFL DFS Player Projections
- Fantasy Football Weekly Matchups
- Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings
Player News
Chargers placed WR Mike Williams on the PUP list.
Players placed on the PUP list ahead of camp can come off at any time. Williams was dealing with an unspecified injury before the start of camp and was believed to be on track toward playing once camp kicked off. Clearly needing more time to recover, Williams will join WR Jaylen Johnson, S Elijah Molden, LB Del’Shawn Phillips, and OT Savion Washington on the PUP list as they continue to ready themselves for camp.
Jets signed WR Garrett Wilson to a four-year, $130 million contract extension.
Wilson’s deal includes $90 million in guaranteed money and will keep him with the Jets through the 2030 season. The former No. 10 overall pick of the 2022 NFL Draft has churned out three-straight seasons of 1,000-plus yards to start his career and posted career-highs in receptions (101), yards, (1,104), and touchdowns (7) last season. Now reunited with former college teammate Justin Fields, Wilson hopes the Jets can put together his first winning season as a pro and the Jets’ first winning season since 2015. Wilson profiles as a fringe WR1/WR2, but will likely settle more in the WR2 range in 2025 due to the Jets’ emphasis on the run and Fields’ ability to take off and scramble on passing downs.
Raiders waived QB Carter Bradley.
Bradley joined the Raiders last offseason as a rookie UDFA and spent all of last season on the practice squad before being promoted to the 53-man roster in December. The former South Alabama Jaguar didn’t attempt a pass in his rookie season and will now look to catch on with another team ahead of training camp in hopes of battling for a roster spot. Bradley may be better suited for a spring football league where he would have an opportunity for more playing time.
The Athletic’s Chad Graff believes Stefon Diggs (knee) will “likely open camp by working on the side until he’s cleared from his injury.
Diggs suffered a torn ACL in Week 8 of last season, but surprised during spring practices when he took the field in a limited capacity with the team. While he’s yet to be cleared for full football activities, Graff believes the encouraging spring we saw from Diggs may lead to some limited work to the side in camp while leaving the door open for Diggs to eventually participate in full closer to the end of camp. While opening the season on the PUP list, which would require him to miss a minimum of four games, remains a possibility, Diggs’ involvement in camp will be worth monitoring as the Patriots aim to get their WR1 back on the field.
The Fort Lauderdale Police Department released a report detailing additional information regarding Quinshon Judkins’ arrest for domestic battery over the weekend.
The full report can be found at the link provided at the end of the blurb, but the details are quite disturbing. Arresting officer Steven Pohorence reported that the victim of Judkins’ alleged assault reported the incident the day after it occurred, alleging Judkins “punched her in the mouth/chin area with a closed fist” while adding he later struck her in the arm and thigh. The victim also showed pictures of her chin/lip area, with officer Pohorence noting in the report “the bruising was clearly evident.” Bruises could also be found on her arm and thigh. This situation is far from resolved and could have a direct impact on Judkins’ availability for training camp as he remains unsigned at this time.
The Athletic’s Matt Barrows reports Jauan Jennings “is expected to be on hand when the 49ers’ veterans report for training camp next Tuesday.”
This comes after it was announced that Jennings was seeking either a new contract or a trade before the start of this season. Jennings reporting to camp is good in theory, but as Barrows also points out, last year’s Brandon Aiyuk situation showed a player reporting to camp while in a contract dispute can be anything but beneficial. In recent years, players have resorted to “hold-ins” during camp to avoid fines for not reporting, which could be Jennings’ approach when he does report next week. We’ll likely get a better sense of where things are headed with this situation as camp draws nearer.