Underdog Fantasy NFL Picks Week 8 TNF: Stefon Diggs & Rachaad White Plays for Buccaneers vs Bills
NFL Week 8 kicks off tonight with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills matchup on Thursday Night Football. Let's break down some NFL Underdog Fantasy picks for this Buccaneers vs Bills TNF game. Our top NFL picks today feature Bills WR Stefon Diggs and Bucs RB Rachaad White. Enjoy these NFL Underdog top plays and Thursday Night Football picks as you watch tonight's game. As always, be sure to check out the latest NFL injury updates ahead of this TNF Buccaneers vs Bills showdown. If you're making more NFL picks tonight or making NFL DFS lineups, check out our NFL daily projections. Now, let's dive into the top NFL Week 8 picks on Underdog Fantasy for Thursday Night Football.
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NFL Underdog Fantasy Top Picks
Week 8 Thursday Night Football Buccaneers vs Bills Picks
Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills – HIGHER Than 85.5 Receiving Yards
In last week’s loss to the Patriots, Stefon Diggs was mostly held in check with his six catches for 58 yards and a TD. Let’s bank on a bounce-back performance for the Buffalo Bills’ star wide receiver in a much easier matchup at home on Thursday night. Diggs has 100+ receiving yards in five of seven games this season. He’s by far the Bills’ top receiving weapon this season and is locked into targets. His 78 targets, 55 receptions, and 678 receiving yards through seven games all lead the team by a big margin.
Diggs saw 12 targets last week and has double-digit targets in five of seven contests so far. It’s essentially only Gabe Davis and Dalton Kincaid as the secondary targets behind Diggs. We can get excited about Kincaid with Dawson Knox out, but the Bucs have been tougher on tight ends this season.
As for the matchup, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been shaky against the pass this season. The Bucs are allowing 246.7 passing yards per game, the sixth-worst in the NFL. Tampa Bay has also given up big games to multiple opposing WR1s: Justin Jefferson (150 yards), Amon-Ra St. Brown (124 yards), A.J. Brown (131 yards), and DJ Moore (104 yards) have all gone for 100+ yards against the weak Buccaneers secondary.
If you need any more convincing, check out this tweet from Diggs following last week’s subpar performance. Doesn’t this sound like a guy who’s motivated to ball out on national TV?
Rachaad White, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – HIGHER Than 46.5 Rushing Yards
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are sizable underdogs on the road for tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup against the Buffalo Bills. That might lead you to think Rachaad White’s rushing yards could be limited with a negative game script. However, this line is a touch too low when considering the Bills’ recent struggles against opposing RBs.
First off, White has only rushed for 50+ yards in two of six games this season. The track record isn’t great and White is averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. However, he’s also faced some of the better run defenses in the NFL. White’s opponents so far have been the Eagles (1st in rushing yards allowed per game), Lions (2nd), Bears (5th), Falcons (8th), Saints (12th), and Vikings (15th). Those are all matchups in the top half of rush defenses.
Tonight will now be White’s easiest matchup to date this year. The Bills are allowing 128.3 rushing yards per game (23rd in NFL) and they’ve struggled against opposing lead backs almost every contest. In seven games, Buffalo has allowed five opposing RBs to run for 70+ yards. Recently, the Bills’ run defense has especially struggled with linebacker Matt Milano out. Over the past three games since Milano went down, here are the stat lines for opposing backs: Travis Etienne 136 rush yards on 26 carries, Saquon Barkley 93 rush yards on 24 carries, Rhamondre Stevenson and Ezekiel Elliott 65 combined yards on 20 carries.
White is the Buccaneers’ main ball carrier when the offense looks to run the ball. His 83 carries this season are miles ahead of Ke’Shawn Vaughn (19 carries) and Sean Tucker (15). White has seen 13+ rush attempts in five of six games so far and should see a solid workload tonight. The Bills defense also has a couple of key injuries to monitor outside of Milano being out. DT Ed Oliver missed last week with a toe injury and is questionable to play tonight, while Von Miller has not been as effective this season coming off last year’s ACL injury and he only played six snaps last game.
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Other NFL Links:
- NFL Week 8 Thursday Night Football Showdown Playbook: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills DFS Picks
- NFL DFS Player Projections
- Fantasy Football Weekly Matchups
- Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings
Player News
Free agent Gabe Davis will visit the New York Giants.
Cut by the Jaguars after one season last week, Davis visited the 49ers on Monday. New York would be a reunion of sorts, as he played for Giants coach Brian Daboll in Buffalo. The G-Men already have several wideouts capable of stretching the field, but 26-year-old Davis could still be a decent role player in a strong offense. The problem, of course, is that the Giants profile as anything but, but rookie QB Jaxson Dart is comfortable throwing down the field.
Ravens S Ar’Darius Washington has been diagnosed with a torn achilles suffered during offseason training.
The fifth-year pro became a weekly starter for the first time last season, earning elite PFF marks in the process. He was a restricted free agent this spring but had yet to sign his $3.26 million tender. That’s a tough break, to put it mildly. Achilles timelines have shortened significantly in recent years, but Washington will probably still miss the entire 2025 campaign. The Ravens are protected in part by their first-round selection of fellow S Malaki Starks, but May is not the month you already want to be dipping into your depth. Going on 26, Washington’s career future is murky after he worked so hard to finally become a regular contributor last season.
Chiefs signed fourth-round WR Jalen Royals to a four-year contract.
Royals doesn’t have an obvious and open spot in the receiving corps to build short-term fantasy value with Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, and Rashee Rice operating in the opening 11-personnel package. He may or may not play his way into WR4 duties depending on how the team feels about JuJu Smith-Schuster. Royals has plenty of talent and Brown is on a one-year deal, so there is a future where Royals is more than a bit player for the Chiefs. It likely won’t happen in his first season without injuries in front of him.
Matthew Judon said he “probably” won’t return to the Falcons in 2025.
The Falcons, of course, drafted both Jalon Walker and James Pearce in the first round. In an exclusive interview with CardPlayer.com — not to be confused with our PokerNews.com James Cook scoop a few days ago — Judon said that his sack total was down because “I dropped (into coverage) on 60 percent of the plays. It’s hard to get a pick and a sack on the same play.” Judon also told Kyle Odegard that “a couple” teams had expressed interest in him but he was in no rush to sign.
Jets released P Thomas Morstead.
Austin McNamara and Kai Kroeger will compete for the Jets punter job this year. The 39-year-old former Saint was the league’s oldest punter last season. If he wants to keep punting, he can absolutely join the tryout circuit or a competition elsewhere. But this is probably a sign that the Morstead’s 16-year career is close to an end at this point.
Lions offensive coordinator John Morton said it’s “going to be a breakout year” for Jameson Williams.
Morton said he’d never “been around someone that fast,” then quickly corrected himself to note that Jhamyr Gibbs is also that fast. Williams came on strong last year with a 58/1001/7 receiving line, but offensive coordinator praise could mean even more targets are coming. It would likely come at the expense of Amon-Ra St. Brown’s production if Williams were to truly break out, though there’s plenty for St. Brown to give and still be a top-flight fantasy wideout. It’s risky to read too much into statements like this in the offseason, but the new offensive coordinator telling you he thinks it’ll be a breakout year for Williams is certainly noteworthy.