Underdog Fantasy NFL Picks Week 7 TNF: Chris Olave Headlines Top Plays for Jaguars vs Saints

NFL Week 7 kicks off tonight with the Jacksonville Jaguars vs New Orleans Saints matchup on Thursday Night Football. Let's break down some NFL Underdog Fantasy picks for this Jaguars vs Saints TNF game. Our top NFL picks today feature Saints WR Chris Olave and Jaguars safety Rayshawn Jenkins. Enjoy these NFL Underdog top plays and Thursday Night Football picks as you watch tonight's game. As always, be sure to check out the latest NFL injury updates ahead of this TNF Jaguars vs Saints showdown as Trevor Lawrence's status is still up in the air. If you're making more NFL picks tonight or making NFL DFS lineups, check out our NFL daily projections. Now, let's dive into the top NFL Week 6 picks on Underdog Fantasy for Thursday Night Football.
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NFL Underdog Fantasy Top Picks
Week 7 Thursday Night Football Jaguars vs Saints Picks
Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints – HIGHER Than 62.5 Receiving Yards
After leading the New Orleans Saints in receiving yards last year as a rookie, Chris Olave is well on his way to doing it again this season. The second-year wide receiver leads the Saints in receiving yards (414), receptions (32), and targets (53) through the first six games. Olave is averaging 69 receiving yards per game and has cleared this posted line in four of six contests so far.
Olave also has at least 86 receiving yards in four of six games with 10+ targets in those as well. The two outliers deserve some context as to why he didn’t perform well. In Week 4, Derek Carr was dealing with a shoulder injury that resulted in a bad passing day overall for New Orleans. In Week 5, Olave rolled his ankle pre-game and then the Saints just didn’t pass as much in a blowout win over the Patriots.
In every other game this season, though, Olave has produced and he’s going well over this receiving yards line. Expect him to show out tonight and take advantage of a favorable matchup. The Jacksonville Jaguars are allowing 270.3 passing yards per game, the second-most in the league. The Jags have also given up big games to multiple opposing wide receivers. Michael Pittman (97 and 109 receiving yards), Stefon Diggs (121), Gabe Davis (100), Tank Dell (145), and Skyy Moore (70) have all gone over this mark this season. The Jags also have the third-best rush defense in the NFL, so expect the Saints to go to the air more often and Olave will be Carr’s top target when they do.
Rayshawn Jenkins, Jacksonville Jaguars – HIGHER Than 6.0 Tackles + Assists
We’ve been hitting on these defensive player picks for Monday and Thursday Night Football, so let’s fire up another one. Jacksonville Jaguars safety Rayshawn Jenkins is second on the team in total tackles this season with 35, averaging 5.8 total tackles per game. Though he is notably behind linebacker Foyesade Oluokun’s 67 tackles for the team lead, Jenkins should still be plenty involved tonight. The Jags’ 3-4 defense calls for Jenkins, as the strong safety, to be one of the team’s top tacklers alongside Oluokun. He’s had 6+ tackles in three of six games this year, but this matchup should result in more opportunities than usual. Last year, Jenkins averaged 6.8 total tackles per game in this Jacksonville defense.
The New Orleans Saints have a balanced offensive game plan with a pretty even split of run and pass plays. As the Jaguars’ strong safety, Jenkins is in a great spot to rack up tackles no matter the play call. On runs, Jenkins will be in position to make tackles while playing closer to the line of scrimmage. On passes, the Saints don’t throw downfield too often with Derek Carr usually opting for shorter completions – which still keeps Jenkins around the ball.
Interestingly, the Saints’ offensive system has resulted in tons of tackle opportunities for opposing safeties nearly every week this season. Through the first six games, 10 of the opposing 12 starting safeties have had 6+ total tackles against New Orleans. There’s also been at least one opposing safety every game to have at least six tackles vs the Saints. These safeties are also usually among the opposing team’s leading tacklers each week. That plays right into Jenkins’ trend of being one of the Jaguars’ top tacklers each game.
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Other NFL Links:
- NFL Week 7 Thursday Night Football Showdown Playbook: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints DFS Picks
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Player News
ESPN’s Daniel Oyefusi reports Kenny Pickett “developed a strong on-field rapport” with Jerry Jeudy after training with the team’s top receiver this offseason.
At 27 years old, Pickett is the middle-aged member of the Browns’ four-person quarterback competition. Although he is perhaps the least discussed member of the bunch, Oyefusi notes, Pickett respectably went “14-10 as a starter in two seasons with the Steelers.” Developing rapport with the team’s top option could give Pickett an edge in training camp and the preseason, though Pickett is unlikely to produce even high-end QB2 results were he to win the starting job.
Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski is expected to return to the scheme he ran early in his Cleveland tenure “with more under-center formations that utilize play-action.”
The Browns employed a 24.9 percent play-action pass play rate last season, ranking 17th among NFL teams. In his first season at the helm in 2020, Stefanski ran play action at a sixth-ranked 28.7 percent rate. Increasing the fantasy-friendly play’s usage would be a boon to Browns pass catchers. They can use all of the schematic advantages they can get, given their team’s unsettled quarterback situation.
Jaylen Waddle said he is honing his hand-eye coordination this offseason while improving his chemistry with Tua Tagovailoa.
Per ESPN’s Marcel Louis-Jacques, Waddle viewed his hand-eye coordination as an area that “needed immediate improvement.” We agree. Although Waddle’s six drops last year tied for his career low, they led all Dolphins pass catchers and his 9.4 percent drop rate was just 0.2 percent under his career high. Louis-Jacques also notes, “these practices have also proven to be valuable reps for Waddle with Tagovailoa. Waddle is operating as the team’s No. 1 WR with Tyreek Hill (wrist) sidelined, which Tagovailoa said has allowed him and Waddle to “grow [their] chemistry.” Head coach Mike McDaniel adds that Waddle’s offseason performance is an “example of the culture the team is trying to build in 2025.” If Waddle can continue asserting himself as the team’s No. 1 WR in training camp and the preseason, a WR1 season-long finish is possible.
Bears signed GM Ryan Poles to a three-year extension through 2029.
Both Poles and head coach Ben Johnson are now under contract through the 2029 NFL season. Ownership was evidently pleased by the duo’s first offseason together and decided to keep the partnership intact for the foreseeable future. Poles still had two years left on his past deal, at the time of today’s signing.
The Athletic’s Jacob Robinson says to “expect an offense-heavy start” for Travis Hunter.
How the Jaguars will utilize Hunter’s two-way ability remains a mystery. Still, Robinson believes the No. 2 overall pick will see more than his fair share of snaps on offense after spending “the majority of minicamp lining up as receiver.” Robinson adds that Hunter is also adding weight after weighing in at 188 pounds at this year’s NFL Scouting Combine. Hunter caught 96 passes for 1,258 yards and 15 touchdowns during his final season at Colorado while averaging 13.1 YPR. He figues to be featured on most passing plays opposite Brian Thomas Jr. and could earn a significant role early in Liam Coen’s passing attack.
49ers FB Kyle Juszczyk said Christian McCaffrey looks healthy and “so explosive” ahead of training camp.
The buzz continues to build around McCaffrey, who battled through bilateral Achilles tendinitis last season and was limited to just four games after suffering a PCL sprain in Week 13. McCaffrey, 29, totaled just 348 yards from scrimmage and one touchdown last season, but totaled 2,023 yards and 21 touchdowns in 2023. Assuming he stays healthy this season, McCaffrey has the chance to be poised for another big season. The veteran running back has averaged 22.1 PPR points per game in 31 games with the 49ers since being traded to them midway through the 2022 season. He’s still a three-down threat who possesses elite pass-catching upside, and could see a workload similar to 2023, when he led the league with 339 touches. As McCaffrey’s ADP continues to creep higher into the first round, it sounds like there is little reason to fade him at this point in time.