Underdog Fantasy NFL Picks Week 7 TNF: Chris Olave Headlines Top Plays for Jaguars vs Saints
NFL Week 7 kicks off tonight with the Jacksonville Jaguars vs New Orleans Saints matchup on Thursday Night Football. Let's break down some NFL Underdog Fantasy picks for this Jaguars vs Saints TNF game. Our top NFL picks today feature Saints WR Chris Olave and Jaguars safety Rayshawn Jenkins. Enjoy these NFL Underdog top plays and Thursday Night Football picks as you watch tonight's game. As always, be sure to check out the latest NFL injury updates ahead of this TNF Jaguars vs Saints showdown as Trevor Lawrence's status is still up in the air. If you're making more NFL picks tonight or making NFL DFS lineups, check out our NFL daily projections. Now, let's dive into the top NFL Week 6 picks on Underdog Fantasy for Thursday Night Football.
If you haven't joined Underdog Fantasy yet, sign up now by clicking here or scanning the QR code below for an awesome offer. New users can get a 100% deposit match up to $500 with promo code “Alarm” at sign-up.
NFL Underdog Fantasy Top Picks
Week 7 Thursday Night Football Jaguars vs Saints Picks
Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints – HIGHER Than 62.5 Receiving Yards
After leading the New Orleans Saints in receiving yards last year as a rookie, Chris Olave is well on his way to doing it again this season. The second-year wide receiver leads the Saints in receiving yards (414), receptions (32), and targets (53) through the first six games. Olave is averaging 69 receiving yards per game and has cleared this posted line in four of six contests so far.
Olave also has at least 86 receiving yards in four of six games with 10+ targets in those as well. The two outliers deserve some context as to why he didn’t perform well. In Week 4, Derek Carr was dealing with a shoulder injury that resulted in a bad passing day overall for New Orleans. In Week 5, Olave rolled his ankle pre-game and then the Saints just didn’t pass as much in a blowout win over the Patriots.
In every other game this season, though, Olave has produced and he’s going well over this receiving yards line. Expect him to show out tonight and take advantage of a favorable matchup. The Jacksonville Jaguars are allowing 270.3 passing yards per game, the second-most in the league. The Jags have also given up big games to multiple opposing wide receivers. Michael Pittman (97 and 109 receiving yards), Stefon Diggs (121), Gabe Davis (100), Tank Dell (145), and Skyy Moore (70) have all gone over this mark this season. The Jags also have the third-best rush defense in the NFL, so expect the Saints to go to the air more often and Olave will be Carr’s top target when they do.
Rayshawn Jenkins, Jacksonville Jaguars – HIGHER Than 6.0 Tackles + Assists
We’ve been hitting on these defensive player picks for Monday and Thursday Night Football, so let’s fire up another one. Jacksonville Jaguars safety Rayshawn Jenkins is second on the team in total tackles this season with 35, averaging 5.8 total tackles per game. Though he is notably behind linebacker Foyesade Oluokun’s 67 tackles for the team lead, Jenkins should still be plenty involved tonight. The Jags’ 3-4 defense calls for Jenkins, as the strong safety, to be one of the team’s top tacklers alongside Oluokun. He’s had 6+ tackles in three of six games this year, but this matchup should result in more opportunities than usual. Last year, Jenkins averaged 6.8 total tackles per game in this Jacksonville defense.
The New Orleans Saints have a balanced offensive game plan with a pretty even split of run and pass plays. As the Jaguars’ strong safety, Jenkins is in a great spot to rack up tackles no matter the play call. On runs, Jenkins will be in position to make tackles while playing closer to the line of scrimmage. On passes, the Saints don’t throw downfield too often with Derek Carr usually opting for shorter completions – which still keeps Jenkins around the ball.
Interestingly, the Saints’ offensive system has resulted in tons of tackle opportunities for opposing safeties nearly every week this season. Through the first six games, 10 of the opposing 12 starting safeties have had 6+ total tackles against New Orleans. There’s also been at least one opposing safety every game to have at least six tackles vs the Saints. These safeties are also usually among the opposing team’s leading tacklers each week. That plays right into Jenkins’ trend of being one of the Jaguars’ top tacklers each game.
Sign Up for Underdog Fantasy Today and Get 100% Deposit Match
If you haven't joined Underdog Fantasy yet, sign up now by clicking here or scanning the QR code below for an awesome offer. New users can get a 100% deposit match up to $500 with promo code “Alarm” at sign-up. Get in on the fun today before the TNF matchup. Head on over to www.fantasyalarm.com/underdog and use code “Alarm" to take advantage of this $100 deposit match for new users.
Other NFL Links:
- NFL Week 7 Thursday Night Football Showdown Playbook: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints DFS Picks
- NFL DFS Player Projections
- Fantasy Football Weekly Matchups
- Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings
Player News
Chiefs signed fourth-round WR Jalen Royals to a four-year contract.
Royals doesn’t have an obvious and open spot in the receiving corps to build short-term fantasy value with Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, and Rashee Rice operating in the opening 11-personnel package. He may or may not play his way into WR4 duties depending on how the team feels about JuJu Smith-Schuster. Royals has plenty of talent and Brown is on a one-year deal, so there is a future where Royals is more than a bit player for the Chiefs. It likely won’t happen in his first season without injuries in front of him.
Matthew Judon said he “probably” won’t return to the Falcons in 2025.
The Falcons, of course, drafted both Jalon Walker and James Pearce in the first round. In an exclusive interview with CardPlayer.com — not to be confused with our PokerNews.com James Cook scoop a few days ago — Judon said that his sack total was down because “I dropped (into coverage) on 60 percent of the plays. It’s hard to get a pick and a sack on the same play.” Judon also told Kyle Odegard that “a couple” teams had expressed interest in him but he was in no rush to sign.
Jets released P Thomas Morstead.
Austin McNamara and Kai Kroeger will compete for the Jets punter job this year. The 39-year-old former Saint was the league’s oldest punter last season. If he wants to keep punting, he can absolutely join the tryout circuit or a competition elsewhere. But this is probably a sign that the Morstead’s 16-year career is close to an end at this point.
Lions offensive coordinator John Morton said it’s “going to be a breakout year” for Jameson Williams.
Morton said he’d never “been around someone that fast,” then quickly corrected himself to note that Jhamyr Gibbs is also that fast. Williams came on strong last year with a 58/1001/7 receiving line, but offensive coordinator praise could mean even more targets are coming. It would likely come at the expense of Amon-Ra St. Brown’s production if Williams were to truly break out, though there’s plenty for St. Brown to give and still be a top-flight fantasy wideout. It’s risky to read too much into statements like this in the offseason, but the new offensive coordinator telling you he thinks it’ll be a breakout year for Williams is certainly noteworthy.
Free agent CB Rasul Douglas is visiting the Seahawks on Tuesday.
It’s been a slow offseason for the veteran corner after a rough year with the Bills where he finished with just a 51.6 PFF coverage grade. The Dolphins have reportedly been in contact with Douglas, but this is the first known visit for him. He’d likely fit as a depth piece in Seattle, perhaps one that pushes Josh Jobe for a starting job outside in a best-case scenario.
Jets signed fourth-round WR Arian Smith to a four-year contract.
The good news for Smith is that he has a lot of depth chart runway. Garrett Wilson is the obvious No. 1, but neither Josh Reynolds nor Allen Lazard qualifies as a locked-in WR2 at this stage of their careers. Smith’s blazing speed has intrigued Aaron Glenn, who noted how fast he was in rookie minicamp over the weekend by simply noting “Arian has some juice.” The tough news is that as long as Justin Fields is the starter, it’s hard to believe he’ll be seeing many deep shots that aren’t schemed wide open. Still, Smith has some appeal in deeper leagues and could make an interesting dynasty stash.