Underdog Fantasy NFL Picks Week 4 MNF: Daniel Jones & Kenneth Walker Top Monday Night Football Picks
NFL Week 4 wraps up tonight with the Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants matchup on Monday Night Football. Before MNF kicks off, let's dive into top NFL Underdog Fantasy picks for the Seahawks vs Giants game. Our top NFL picks today include Giants QB Daniel Jones and Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker. As always, keep an eye on the latest NFL injury updates ahead of tonight's game with Saquon Barkley headlining the Seahawks vs Giants injury report. Enjoy these NFL Underdog top plays and Monday Night Football picks as you watch tonight's games. If you're making more NFL picks tonight or setting NFL DFS lineups, check out our NFL daily projections. Now, let's dive into the top NFL Week 4 MNF picks on Underdog Fantasy for tonight's games.
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NFL Underdog Fantasy Top Picks
Week 4 Monday Night Football Seahawks vs Giants Predictions
Daniel Jones, New York Giants – HIGHER Than 34.5 Rushing Yards
If you backed Daniel Jones’ rushing yards last week, then you probably don’t want to go back to that well. Jones had only five yards on two attempts in the Week 3 loss to the 49ers, finishing well below his projected rushing line. Let’s count on a bounce-back rushing effort from the New York Giants quarterback for Monday Night Football. Though he was almost nonexistent on the ground last week, this is still one of the top dual-threat QBs in the NFL who had 708 rushing yards last year. Jones had 43 and 59 rushing yards in Weeks 1 and 2, respectively, and can return to that level of running production. Jones had at least 35 rushing yards in eight of 16 regular-season games last year, with 34 yards in another.
Saquon Barkley is questionable with his ankle injury and we’ll have to see if he suits up, but it seems doubtful to play. With Barkley out last week, the Giants’ rushing attack got shut down by the vaunted 49ers defense. Matt Breida and Gary Brightwell combined for just 22 yards on eight carries. If Barkley is out again, Jones must be more active in the running game. The Seahawks rush defense has been good this season, but it also hasn’t dealt with a dual-threat quarterback yet. These are the other three QBs that Seattle has faced so far: Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff, and Andy Dalton. None of them are as mobile as Jones and none are even a threat to break off long runs.
Kenneth Walker, Seattle Seahawks – HIGHER Than 0.5 Rush + Rec TDs
When considering which players can find the end zone tonight, Kenneth Walker has the shortest odds to score a TD at most sportsbooks. The Seattle Seahawks running back has scored two touchdowns in back-to-back games coming into tonight. Even though Zach Charbonnet has started to eat into Walker’s carries, the latter is still seeing the bulk of touches in the red zone and near the goal line. Yes, Charbonnet could impact Walker’s rushing yards or overall snap share. Still, Walker is the guy when Seattle gets down close.
The New York Giants defense has struggled to stop the run this season. The Giants are allowing 138 rushing yards per game through three weeks (6th-worst in FBS). Plus, all three opposing lead running backs have scored a TD against the Giants so far. Tony Pollard ran in two scores in Week 1, James Conner ran for 100+ yards and a TD in Week 2, and then Christian McCaffrey had 100+ total yards and a score last week. Expect Walker to follow suit and get into the end zone tonight. You can also look at his rushing yards line if you want more action on Walker.
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Other NFL Links:
- NFL Week 4 Monday Night Football Showdown Playbook: Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Giants DFS Picks
- NFL DFS Player Projections
- Fantasy Football Weekly Matchups
- Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings
Player News
Dak Prescott said George Pickens is “more than a 50-50 catcher.”
Prescott in a Wednesday morning radio interview was effusive in his praise of Pickens, who was traded last week from the Steelers to Dallas in exchange for draft compensation. “You put the ball anywhere in his vicinity, very strong hands,” Prescott said of Pickens. “He’s more than a 50-50 catcher. ... I’m excited for him. I know that we need some help at that position.” Pickens, 24, who has 2,841 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns over three NFL seasons, is widely expected to see more single coverage in Dallas than he did as the unquestioned No. 1 wideout in Pittsburgh. Opposing coverage units won’t be able to shade safeties toward his side of the field with CeeDee Lamb threatening the middle of the field. Pickens shapes up as a volatile WR2/3 in 2025.
The Lions will play the Vikings on Christmas Day.
The Week 17 matchup between longtime NFC North rivals will be available exclusively on Netflix. Coming off a devastating Divisional Round loss to Washington last January, the Lions will be prominently featured by the league in 2025. Jared Goff and the Lions beat Minnesota twice during the 2024 regular season: A 31-29 Week 7 victory in Minnesota and a 31-9 Week 18 drubbing in Detroit. Goff combined to throw for 511 yards, three touchdowns, and no interceptions in those games. Justin Jefferson, meanwhile, was limited to ten catches for 131 yards and a touchdown in the Vikings’ 2024 games against Detroit.
The Eagles will face the Chiefs in Week 2.
The NFL’s trickle of 2025 schedule news includes a Super Bowl rematch in Kansas City, where Patrick Mahomes and company will look for a little revenge after getting bulldozed by the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX, 40-22. Philadelphia’s elite defense held Mahomes to a mere 226 yards on 32 pass attempts, with much of that production coming in fourth quarter garbage time. Jalen Hurts threw of two scores and ran in another as Saquon Barkley was held in check to the tune of 57 scoreless yards on 23 carries. If the Chiefs are to get back at the Eagles in Week 2, they’ll have to do a far better job of protecting Mahomes.
The Athletic’s Mike DeFabo believes RB Kaleb Johnson is a “schematic fit” for the Steelers offense.
Johnson, a third-round draft pick who last month was listed as a co-starter alongside Jaylen Warren on the Pittsburgh depth chart, was a hyper-productive back in Iowa’s zone-based rushing scheme, a system used frequently in Arthur Smith’s run-first offense. Only three college running backs in 2024 logged more zone rushes than Johnson. Johnson’s goals in offseason practices, according to DeFabo, “are to learn the playbook and earn the coaching staff’s trust with the hope of becoming an ‘every-down back’ sooner rather than later.” That might require Johnson to improve his pass blocking. The rookie said he’s worked on that with Warren — one of the best blocking backs in the NFL — in recent days.
The Chiefs will play the Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day.
The Week 13 matchup will bring Patrick Mahomes and the AFC champion Chiefs to Dallas for the day’s late afternoon game. It could be a shootout if key players on both sides are healthy. Dak Prescott heads into the season with George Pickens as a legit WR2 behind CeeDee Lamb, and Mahomes — who has talked this offseason about more explosive plays for the KC offense — will have Xavier Worthy, Travis Kelce, Rashee Rice, and Hollywood Brown at his disposal. Mahomes has faced Dallas once in his NFL career, a Week 11 win in 2021 in which he threw for 260 scoreless yards. The hope for both the league and fantasy managers is that the Cowboys are still in postseason contention by the end of November.
Free agent Gabe Davis will visit the New York Giants.
Cut by the Jaguars after one season last week, Davis visited the 49ers on Monday. New York would be a reunion of sorts, as he played for Giants coach Brian Daboll in Buffalo. The G-Men already have several wideouts capable of stretching the field, but 26-year-old Davis could still be a decent role player in a strong offense. The problem, of course, is that the Giants profile as anything but, but rookie QB Jaxson Dart is comfortable throwing down the field.