NFL Sleeper Top Picks & Plays for Sunday's Divisional Round
We’re one day down in the NFL Divisional Playoff round, but we have some great games going on today. The Baltimore Ravens steamrolled the Houston Texans yesterday, and the San Francisco 49ers barely escaped with their playoff lives, giving us all the excitement we’d want out of the playoffs. The fun’s not over yet, though, as we have the Tampa Bay Buccaneers face off against the Detroit Lions, then we get the Kansas City Chiefs traveling to Buffalo for the first road playoff game of Patrick Mahomes’ career.
As you may know, we’ve joined forces with our friends at Sleeper to introduce their Sleeper Picks feature. With Sleeper Picks, you can choose from a variety of players and stat lines, choose whether that player will have more or less than the given stat, and combine your picks for a chance to increase your payout. If you build enough, you can even multiply your entry up to 100x! Let’s go into some of Monday’s options and keep the good times rolling.
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Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
With the divisional round, we’re looking to cash quickly, so we’re not looking a gift horse in the mouth when we get a discounted pick. Allen’s yardage total has gone down from the low 200s to the high 180s, and that is something I’m definitely taking advantage of. Even with Gabe Davis out and L’Jarius Sneed on Stefon Diggs, Allen has too many weapons at his disposal to not hit this mark. It should be a pretty back-and-forth game, so Allen won’t have the luxury of taking his foot off the gas. Take advantage of this special pick before it’s gone.
Pick: Josh Allen more than 187.5 passing yards (1.77x)
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions
This game should be a shootout, and what better way to capitalize on that than going after Detroit’s top receiver. St. Brown has hit this mark in four of his last five games, and in the game that he didn’t hit, he was only off by two yards. Tampa Bay’s secondary was able to shut down Philadelphia last week, but they have some major issues in guarding the slot wide receivers with Christian Izien, an undrafted rookie, manning the coverage. St. Brown should be able to make him look silly, and in what should be a tight game, he’ll have plenty of looks thrown his way.
Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown more than 91.5 receiving yards (1.71x)
Jared Goff, Detroit Lions
Jared Goff hasn’t let us down at home yet, and I don’t think he’s starting now. We’re going to continue to roll with him in the comfort of his dome against a Buccaneers defense that has allowed an average of 1.4 passing touchdowns per game. We know they’re difficult to run on, so even with Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery, Goff is going to have to make plays through the air to score points. I think this game is very similar to what we saw last week, so let’s run it back one more time.
Pick: Jared Goff more than 1.5 passing touchdowns (1.45x)
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Player News
Dolphins signed No. 13 overall pick DT Kenneth Grant to a four-year contract.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Grant will sign his contract today. The former Michigan defensive tackle is expected to fill a major void left by Christian Wilkins, who left for the Raiders in the 2024 offseason. Grant totaled 32 tackles, three sacks, and seven TFLs in his final season at Michigan and excelled at stopping the run while also generating 27 pressures in his final season, per PFF.
Beat reporter John Hendrix reports that free agent WR Donovan Peoples-Jones is among the 16 players that the Saints will host for their rookie minicamp.
Peoples-Jones last played regular season snaps with the Lions back in 2023, when he caught 13-of-24 targets for 155 yards. He is highly unlikely to return to fantasy relevance at this point but could perhaps sign on as a special teams contributor.
Titans signed fourth-round pick WR Elic Ayomanor to a four-year contract.
Ayomanor will now begin learning behind Calvin Ridley. Although Ayomanor is unlikely to find a meaningful role in year one, dynasty managers should note his status as training camp gets underway this summer. The former Stanford receiver flashed big-play ability in his two college seasons.
Buccaneers signed seventh-round pick WR Tez Johnson to a four-year contract.
Johnson will serve as a rotational deep-threat option for Baker Mayfield. His thin frame (5'10/154) simply does not lend itself to the repeated hits one incurs in a full-time role. Johnson did earn 100-plus targets in his two seasons at Oregon, though. His big-play style make him a better fit in best ball for now, pending any major on-field breakthroughs.
Giants waived DT Casey Rogers.
Rogers was a 2024 undrafted free agent and logged 33 defensive snaps for the Giants in his rookie season. He is credited with zero tackles and/or sacks. He may find his way onto another roster as a practice squad option.
Vikings signed third-round pick WR Tai Felton to a four-year contract.
Felton is quietly in play to challenge Vikings No. 3 WR Jalen Nailor in training camp. Nailor (5'11/190) caught 28-of-42 targets for 414 yards and six touchdowns in his first season as a starter last year, with the latter category buoying his fantasy productivity. Felton (6'1/183), meanwhile, caught 96-of-143 targets for 1,119 yards and nine touchdowns while averaging 2.32 yards per route run in his final college season. Fantasy managers should monitor Felton’s training camp reports this summer, as he could have a matchup-based WR5 role if everything falls into place.