We’ve officially made it to the penultimate round of the playoffs, the showdown between a couple of heavyweights in the San Francisco 49ers and Baltimore Ravens, a perennial favorite in the Kansas City Chiefs, and an underdog team that has never even made it to the Super Bowl in the Detroit Lions. There’s so much excitement that I couldn’t sleep last night, but luckily, I had plenty of picks to browse through on Sleeper to keep me occupied! 

As you may know, we’ve joined forces with our friends at Sleeper to introduce their Sleeper Picks feature. With Sleeper Picks, you can choose from a variety of players and stat lines, choose whether that player will have more or less than the given stat, and combine your picks for a chance to increase your payout. If you build enough, you can even multiply your entry up to 100x! Let’s go into some of Monday’s options and keep the good times rolling.

 

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New to Sleeper Picks? Right now new users who sign up will get a 100% deposit match up to $100 when they use code VAULT3. You must take advantage of this offer on your mobile device so you can download the Sleeper App and participate in their Picks contests.

Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs

Although Travis Kelce destroyed the Buffalo Bills with two touchdowns last week, he’s in for a much more difficult task today against the Baltimore Ravens. During the regular season, the Ravens only allowed an average of 4.8 receptions per game to the tight end position, and when you look at it, Kelce hasn’t exactly been a big factor in the passing game recently. Over the last seven weeks, he’s only had six or more receptions twice, and with Noah Gray coming in occasionally to spell him, he may be in for another lackluster week. I think this game runs through Isiah Pacheco (no pun intended) and Kelce hits just below this stat. 

Pick: Travis Kelce less than 5.5 receptions (2.11x)

Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers

It’s hard to count out CMC in normal circumstances, but with Sleeper offering a discounted pick, it’s equally juicy. True, the Detroit Lions have been very good against the run all season long, only allowing an average of 87.7 rushing yards per game during the regular season, but McCaffrey isn’t your ordinary running back. He’s only hit below this mark in five games this season, one of which was Week 17 where he left early due to a calf injury, and in his most important game to date, I don’t think we see the 49ers take their foot off the gas. You may get a little nervous in the first half, as they try (and succeed) in selling play-action, but by doing that, they’re going to open up the run game in the second half, and that is where McCaffrey will shine. Don’t overthink this, no matter how bad Detroit’s secondary is or how good their run defense is.

Pick: Christian McCaffrey more than 69.5 rushing yards (1.8x)

Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

I’m not throwing any shade with this pick, as Jared Goff has been playing lights out all season long, and especially in the playoffs, but the fact remains that he plays much worse outdoors on natural grass than he does in a dome. When playing in a dome, he’s averaging 8.1 yards per attempt, ranking fourth among all quarterbacks, but when he plays on a grass field, that number drops all the way down to 6.5 yards per attempt, falling all the way down to 25th. There’s also the issue of the Lions offensive line without starting guard Jonah Jackson. San Francisco doesn’t blitz a ton, but they’re still very good at bringing pressure, and when pressured, Goff’s completion percentage drops from 70.5% to 53.1%. The 49ers have also only allowed an average of 213 passing yards per game on the season, and with all these factors working against him, I think Goff may be in for a long day.

Pick: Jared Goff less than 257.5 passing yards (1.83x)

 

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Whether you want to use our Sleeper NFL Picks above or build your own card for tonight, make sure you take advantage of the latest offer from Sleeper where new users who sign up from their mobile device and use promo code Vault3 can earn a 100% deposit match up to $100. Don't miss this offer from Fantasy Alarm!