NFL Saturday Best Player Prop Picks: Joe Mixon, George Pickens Wild Card Round

With the 2024-25 NFL Wild Card Round spanning three days from Saturday to Monday, there is non-stop action this weekend. That also means that with three separate slates to enjoy, we know that fans want to be covered from every angle. So, we’ve shared our best Wild Card Saturday player prop picks with you.
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Best NFL Wild Card Saturday Player Prop Picks
Having the Wild Card Weekend spread out over three separate slates isn’t the only reason fans will be preferring Wild Card Saturday player prop picks. Playoff matchups means that the pressure is on heightened, and with both a close matchup and blowout expected on Saturday specifically, trusting sides can be difficult.
That’s without mentioning that one of the matchups is a divisional rivalry game in the AFC North with the Steelers vs. Ravens game, which can be even more difficult to predict. We’ve got one of our Wild Card Saturday player prop picks for that game and the other in the earlier Chargers vs. Texans game, so let’s get into our best bets.
Chargers vs. Texans Player Props: Joe Mixon Over 69.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
The first of our Wild Card Saturday player prop picks is one that may be considered a bit against the grain based on year-long stats that we’ve seen from the Chargers defense, but we have reason to go against what has been considered arguably their biggest strength.
There’s no doubt that the LA defense has been their stronger unit, and their run defense specifically. However, it is not what it once was during the first half of the year, even falling outside the top 10 in terms of rushing yards allowed per game down to #14.
While they have performed admirably against lesser RBs, they have proven that they can be exploited when facing top-tier RBs. We’d consider Texans RB Joe Mixon in that category with how well he’s performed for his new team. He should also be as rested as ever since the team featured backup RB Dameon Pierce in Week 18 with the AFC South wrapped up.
When the Chargers have faced elite RBs like Ravens RB Derrick Henry (140 yards), Falcons RB Bijan Robinson (102 yards), Cardinals RB James Conner (101 yards) and even Buccaneers RB Bucky Irving (117 yards), they have struggled.
So, although they have had great numbers when facing lesser competition, we love taking advantage of that skewed success by starting our Wild Card Saturday player prop picks with Joe Mixon over 69.5 rushing yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Steelers vs. Ravens Player Props: George Pickens Over 3.5 Receptions (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
Moving onto the night game with our NFL Saturday player props brings us to the aforementioned AFC North rivalry. We won’t be targeting Henry, but rather a WR, and also the Steelers side of the rivalry.
Pittsburgh has struggled mightily down the stretch of the regular season, as they’ve lost their past four games, including the game against the Ravens on the Sunday prior to Christmas. While Baltimore is expected to win this matchup given the double-digit point spread, we can use that as a factor in our Wild Card Saturday player prop picks.
That would imply that the Steelers will be trailing and therefore forced to throw more often to catch up. Even if that isn’t the case, we’ve seen the Ravens secondary be their weakest unit this season. Although it has improved as of late, seeing star safety Kyle Hamilton injured in Week 18 is a massive blow.
We’re also getting incredible value on Pickens given his struggles last Saturday. While the numbers weren’t there, he’s still been targeted six and seven times in his two games since returning from injury. When he faced Baltimore the first time this season, he went off with eight catches on 12 targets for 89 yards.
You could even consider a huge +210 anytime touchdown scorer play, but we’ll stick with George Pickens over 3.5 receptions (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook) as the addition to our Wild Card Saturday player prop picks.
NFL Wild Card Saturday Player Props Player Prop Odds At BetMGM Sportsbook
You can also feel free to add to our best NFL Saturday player props with some other popular lines being targeted at BetMGM Sportsbook:
Passing Yards:
- Chargers QB Justin Herbert: Over 230.5 (-115) vs. Under 230.5 (-115)
- Ravens QB Lamar Jackson: Over 215.5 (-115) vs. Under 215.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards:
- Texans RB Joe Mixon: Over 69.5 (-115) vs. Under 69.5 (-115)
- Ravens RB Derrick Henry: Over 97.5 (-115) vs. Under 97.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards:
- Texans WR Nico Collins: Over 87.5 (-115) vs. Under 87.5 (-115)
- Ravens TE Mark Andrews: Over 46.5 (-115) vs. Under 46.5 (-115)
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Player News
Dolphins signed No. 13 overall pick DT Kenneth Grant to a four-year contract.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Grant will sign his contract today. The former Michigan defensive tackle is expected to fill a major void left by Christian Wilkins, who left for the Raiders in the 2024 offseason. Grant totaled 32 tackles, three sacks, and seven TFLs in his final season at Michigan and excelled at stopping the run while also generating 27 pressures in his final season, per PFF.
Beat reporter John Hendrix reports that free agent WR Donovan Peoples-Jones is among the 16 players that the Saints will host for their rookie minicamp.
Peoples-Jones last played regular season snaps with the Lions back in 2023, when he caught 13-of-24 targets for 155 yards. He is highly unlikely to return to fantasy relevance at this point but could perhaps sign on as a special teams contributor.
Titans signed fourth-round pick WR Elic Ayomanor to a four-year contract.
Ayomanor will now begin learning behind Calvin Ridley. Although Ayomanor is unlikely to find a meaningful role in year one, dynasty managers should note his status as training camp gets underway this summer. The former Stanford receiver flashed big-play ability in his two college seasons.
Buccaneers signed seventh-round pick WR Tez Johnson to a four-year contract.
Johnson will serve as a rotational deep-threat option for Baker Mayfield. His thin frame (5'10/154) simply does not lend itself to the repeated hits one incurs in a full-time role. Johnson did earn 100-plus targets in his two seasons at Oregon, though. His big-play style make him a better fit in best ball for now, pending any major on-field breakthroughs.
Giants waived DT Casey Rogers.
Rogers was a 2024 undrafted free agent and logged 33 defensive snaps for the Giants in his rookie season. He is credited with zero tackles and/or sacks. He may find his way onto another roster as a practice squad option.
Vikings signed third-round pick WR Tai Felton to a four-year contract.
Felton is quietly in play to challenge Vikings No. 3 WR Jalen Nailor in training camp. Nailor (5'11/190) caught 28-of-42 targets for 414 yards and six touchdowns in his first season as a starter last year, with the latter category buoying his fantasy productivity. Felton (6'1/183), meanwhile, caught 96-of-143 targets for 1,119 yards and nine touchdowns while averaging 2.32 yards per route run in his final college season. Fantasy managers should monitor Felton’s training camp reports this summer, as he could have a matchup-based WR5 role if everything falls into place.