NFL Saturday Best Player Prop Picks: Joe Mixon, George Pickens Wild Card Round

With the 2024-25 NFL Wild Card Round spanning three days from Saturday to Monday, there is non-stop action this weekend. That also means that with three separate slates to enjoy, we know that fans want to be covered from every angle. So, we’ve shared our best Wild Card Saturday player prop picks with you.
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Best NFL Wild Card Saturday Player Prop Picks
Having the Wild Card Weekend spread out over three separate slates isn’t the only reason fans will be preferring Wild Card Saturday player prop picks. Playoff matchups means that the pressure is on heightened, and with both a close matchup and blowout expected on Saturday specifically, trusting sides can be difficult.
That’s without mentioning that one of the matchups is a divisional rivalry game in the AFC North with the Steelers vs. Ravens game, which can be even more difficult to predict. We’ve got one of our Wild Card Saturday player prop picks for that game and the other in the earlier Chargers vs. Texans game, so let’s get into our best bets.
Chargers vs. Texans Player Props: Joe Mixon Over 69.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
The first of our Wild Card Saturday player prop picks is one that may be considered a bit against the grain based on year-long stats that we’ve seen from the Chargers defense, but we have reason to go against what has been considered arguably their biggest strength.
There’s no doubt that the LA defense has been their stronger unit, and their run defense specifically. However, it is not what it once was during the first half of the year, even falling outside the top 10 in terms of rushing yards allowed per game down to #14.
While they have performed admirably against lesser RBs, they have proven that they can be exploited when facing top-tier RBs. We’d consider Texans RB Joe Mixon in that category with how well he’s performed for his new team. He should also be as rested as ever since the team featured backup RB Dameon Pierce in Week 18 with the AFC South wrapped up.
When the Chargers have faced elite RBs like Ravens RB Derrick Henry (140 yards), Falcons RB Bijan Robinson (102 yards), Cardinals RB James Conner (101 yards) and even Buccaneers RB Bucky Irving (117 yards), they have struggled.
So, although they have had great numbers when facing lesser competition, we love taking advantage of that skewed success by starting our Wild Card Saturday player prop picks with Joe Mixon over 69.5 rushing yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Steelers vs. Ravens Player Props: George Pickens Over 3.5 Receptions (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
Moving onto the night game with our NFL Saturday player props brings us to the aforementioned AFC North rivalry. We won’t be targeting Henry, but rather a WR, and also the Steelers side of the rivalry.
Pittsburgh has struggled mightily down the stretch of the regular season, as they’ve lost their past four games, including the game against the Ravens on the Sunday prior to Christmas. While Baltimore is expected to win this matchup given the double-digit point spread, we can use that as a factor in our Wild Card Saturday player prop picks.
That would imply that the Steelers will be trailing and therefore forced to throw more often to catch up. Even if that isn’t the case, we’ve seen the Ravens secondary be their weakest unit this season. Although it has improved as of late, seeing star safety Kyle Hamilton injured in Week 18 is a massive blow.
We’re also getting incredible value on Pickens given his struggles last Saturday. While the numbers weren’t there, he’s still been targeted six and seven times in his two games since returning from injury. When he faced Baltimore the first time this season, he went off with eight catches on 12 targets for 89 yards.
You could even consider a huge +210 anytime touchdown scorer play, but we’ll stick with George Pickens over 3.5 receptions (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook) as the addition to our Wild Card Saturday player prop picks.
NFL Wild Card Saturday Player Props Player Prop Odds At BetMGM Sportsbook
You can also feel free to add to our best NFL Saturday player props with some other popular lines being targeted at BetMGM Sportsbook:
Passing Yards:
- Chargers QB Justin Herbert: Over 230.5 (-115) vs. Under 230.5 (-115)
- Ravens QB Lamar Jackson: Over 215.5 (-115) vs. Under 215.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards:
- Texans RB Joe Mixon: Over 69.5 (-115) vs. Under 69.5 (-115)
- Ravens RB Derrick Henry: Over 97.5 (-115) vs. Under 97.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards:
- Texans WR Nico Collins: Over 87.5 (-115) vs. Under 87.5 (-115)
- Ravens TE Mark Andrews: Over 46.5 (-115) vs. Under 46.5 (-115)
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Player News
NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reports Chargers RB Najee Harris is expected to be back on the field “sooner rather than later.”
Speaking on The Insiders on NFL Network, Rapoport relayed words from Harris’ agent that backed up previous reports that said the eye injury sustained by the veteran running back were superficial, adding that Harris is expected to be ready for the start of the regular season and should be back on the field “sooner rather than later.” Rapoport also stated that Harris is not expected to miss significant time. Even so, any missed time in camp could widen the expected snap rate gap between he and rookie first-round selection Omarion Hampton to start the regular season, something fantasy managers will want to keep an attentive eye on as the following weeks play out.
Chargers placed WR Mike Williams on the PUP list.
Players placed on the PUP list ahead of camp can come off at any time. Williams was dealing with an unspecified injury before the start of camp and was believed to be on track toward playing once camp kicked off. Clearly needing more time to recover, Williams will join WR Jaylen Johnson, S Elijah Molden, LB Del’Shawn Phillips, and OT Savion Washington on the PUP list as they continue to ready themselves for camp.
Jets signed WR Garrett Wilson to a four-year, $130 million contract extension.
Wilson’s deal includes $90 million in guaranteed money and will keep him with the Jets through the 2030 season. The former No. 10 overall pick of the 2022 NFL Draft has churned out three-straight seasons of 1,000-plus yards to start his career and posted career-highs in receptions (101), yards, (1,104), and touchdowns (7) last season. Now reunited with former college teammate Justin Fields, Wilson hopes the Jets can put together his first winning season as a pro and the Jets’ first winning season since 2015. Wilson profiles as a fringe WR1/WR2, but will likely settle more in the WR2 range in 2025 due to the Jets’ emphasis on the run and Fields’ ability to take off and scramble on passing downs.
Raiders waived QB Carter Bradley.
Bradley joined the Raiders last offseason as a rookie UDFA and spent all of last season on the practice squad before being promoted to the 53-man roster in December. The former South Alabama Jaguar didn’t attempt a pass in his rookie season and will now look to catch on with another team ahead of training camp in hopes of battling for a roster spot. Bradley may be better suited for a spring football league where he would have an opportunity for more playing time.
The Athletic’s Chad Graff believes Stefon Diggs (knee) will “likely open camp by working on the side until he’s cleared from his injury.
Diggs suffered a torn ACL in Week 8 of last season, but surprised during spring practices when he took the field in a limited capacity with the team. While he’s yet to be cleared for full football activities, Graff believes the encouraging spring we saw from Diggs may lead to some limited work to the side in camp while leaving the door open for Diggs to eventually participate in full closer to the end of camp. While opening the season on the PUP list, which would require him to miss a minimum of four games, remains a possibility, Diggs’ involvement in camp will be worth monitoring as the Patriots aim to get their WR1 back on the field.
The Fort Lauderdale Police Department released a report detailing additional information regarding Quinshon Judkins’ arrest for domestic battery over the weekend.
The full report can be found at the link provided at the end of the blurb, but the details are quite disturbing. Arresting officer Steven Pohorence reported that the victim of Judkins’ alleged assault reported the incident the day after it occurred, alleging Judkins “punched her in the mouth/chin area with a closed fist” while adding he later struck her in the arm and thigh. The victim also showed pictures of her chin/lip area, with officer Pohorence noting in the report “the bruising was clearly evident.” Bruises could also be found on her arm and thigh. This situation is far from resolved and could have a direct impact on Judkins’ availability for training camp as he remains unsigned at this time.