Titans vs. Colts Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 16, Sunday 12/22
If you’re like us, then you have the feeling that there is at least one AFC South rivalry every Sunday. Well, that’s exactly what we have at Lucas Oil Stadium this weekend with the Indianapolis Colts hosting the Tennessee Titans. Therefore, we of course have our best Titans vs. Colts predictions for the matchup.
Even if you have Titans vs. Colts picks that you prefer over the best bet that we’ll get into, you’ll be able to take advantage of the massive $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook new user bonus that we’ve also shared!
Titans vs. Colts Predictions For NFL Week 16, Sunday 12/22
Last Sunday, the Houston Texans wrapped up the AFC South for back-to-back division crowns. It was the expected outcome, but even still, it puts the sole focus for the Colts on the AFC Wild Card, but last weekend, they did themselves no favors.
Despite a strong first half against the Denver Broncos, a terrible second half led to a double-digit loss. Similarly, the Titans fell by 10 points at home to another team wearing orange - the Cincinnati Bengals. So, who will bounce back? Well, there’s no questioning that Indy is the more motivated team.
We’re expecting the deciding factors to be who can exploit the key components of each team - Tennessee needs to take advantage of the Colts’ weak run defense, while Indy QB Anthony Richardson needs to win the game with his legs given the Titans’ stout pass defense.
Tennessee Titans: Proven Pass Defense
Although the Titans have been among the teams in the NFL this season with the worst record virtually all year, they have had one thing to hang their hat on from the opening week - their pass defense. It has been absolutely elite, and it still ranks among the best even after facing QB Joe Burrow and the Bengals.
Of course, they have offensive passing struggles of their own, which is why it hasn’t equated to wins more often than not. It’s also worth noting that when these division rivals played back in Week 6, it wasn’t Richardson that the Titans pass defense faced - it was backup QB Joe Flacco instead.
Indianapolis Colts: Keeping Things Close
Coming off their recent loss thanks to the aforementioned second-half collapse, it may seem strange that this is the storyline in Indy, but that was much more the outlier than the norm for the Colts. For example, their two wins over the past four games have come by just a single point!
In fact, Indy has had just three games the entire season that were decided by more than six points, win or lose. That includes their win over the Titans earlier this season, which came by just a field goal. It’s been an interesting year for kickers, as we’ve seen some of the NFL’s best struggle, which you’ll see why that’s worth sharing as we get into the top pick from our Titans vs. Colts predictions.
Titans vs. Colts Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
Given what we’ve been breaking down regarding these teams, it’s not surprising to see the Titans vs. Colts odds at BetMGM Sportsbook having Indy as the home favorites around their margin of victory in Week 6:
- Point Spread: Tennessee Titans +4 (-115) vs. Indianapolis Colts -4 (-105)
- Money Line: Tennessee Titans (+165) vs. Indianapolis Colts (-200)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 42.5 (-110) vs. Under 42.5 (-110)
Titans vs. Colts Best Bet: Anthony Richardson Under 181.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
The best bet from our Titans vs. Colts picks likely won’t come as a shock after working through the key takeaways with these AFC South rivals. Indy has been as untrustworthy as it gets with their roller coaster outcomes, while Tennessee has a clear strength that they depend upon.
Even with Indy having what we’d expect to be the motivation advantage, these divisional matchups always seem to go haywire. With all that in mind, we’re going to target a player prop for the target of our Titans vs. Colts predictions. In that regard, it’s the QB the Titans are likely excited to face.
As mentioned, Richardson wasn’t on the field when these teams met for the first time this season. However, Flacco may be the backup, but he is the one that slings the rock, while Richardson runs with it. Even with that being the case, Tennessee held Flacco to just 189 passing yards in that matchup.
If that raw value didn’t impress you enough, consider the fact that Flacco was coming off a monster 359-yard, three-touchdown performance the week prior. Meanwhile, prior to Flacco stepping in, Richardson had back-to-back games throwing for just 167 and 71 yards.
Once again, if that wasn’t enough for you, his recent performances have been more of the same. Since his return from injury, Richardson has thrown for FEWER than 176 yards in every single game but one. By no means are we trying to overshadow his running ability, but this is to prove why we’re still comfortable taking an under on what is a relatively low value line.
Adding up everything above, and we’re locking in the best bet from our Titans vs. Colts predictions on Anthony Richardson under 181.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Titans vs. Colts Injury Report & Latest News
In terms of injury news for this AFC South clash, these teams are quite healthy after each having concerns with their QBs earlier in the season. For now, we’d say Indy’s DeForest Buckner and Tennessee’s Tony Pollard are the two to monitor. You can do just that thanks to the Fantasy Alarm NFL injury report!
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