Raiders vs. Chiefs Predictions, Picks & Odds: Black Friday, 11/29
Last year, the NFL had its first-ever Black Friday game to keep the Thanksgiving Day hype going, and we have another one to enjoy this year. This time, it’s an AFC West rivalry with the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Las Vegas Raiders. So, we’re here to provide you with our best Raiders vs. Chiefs predictions for the matchup.
We’ll work all the way through to the best bet from our Raiders vs. Chiefs picks and even provide a monster $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign up bonus to help set you up for the best weekend yet!
Raiders vs. Chiefs Predictions for Black Friday, NFL Week 13
Coming out of their bye a few weeks ago, the Raiders were already looking depleted in the RB department, but they still put up a solid fight against a different division rival - the Denver Broncos - on Sunday. However, after leading 13-9 at halftime, they still ended up losing by double digits.
Given what we saw from rookie QB Bo Nix in terms of taking care of the football, that is likely all that the Chiefs will need to do. After all, they just had a scare against the now 3-8 Carolina Panthers, so they shouldn't be trying to do anything out of the ordinary even with Las Vegas being just 2-9.
With that KC scare in mind while also dealing with a poor Las Vegas team, we’re going to be focused on a more specific market from the Raiders vs. Chiefs odds with our best bet.
Las Vegas Raiders: No More Minshew Mania
We noted that the Raiders were already depleted in terms of RBs that past few weeks, but they’ve at least had former Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah emerge as a solid receiving threat. Well, that may no longer be the case.
Starting QB Gardner Minshew suffered a broken collarbone in the Raiders loss to the Broncos, as if enough wasn’t already going wrong in the desert. That thrust young QB Desmond Ridder into the spotlight, who hasn’t exactly developed in the NFL as hoped. Their woes on the offensive side is why we’re going to focus on the other side of the ball for the top pick from our Raiders vs. Chiefs predictions.
Kansas City Chiefs: More Mahomes Magic
On the flip side of the Minshew injury is more Mahomes magic. The Chiefs continue to be in one score games - their eight such wins through the first 11 games are tied for the most in NFL history. It was a pivotal scramble from Mahomes that seemed to prevent the upset this past Sunday.
Regardless, the fact remains that it has taken far too many magical moments for the Chiefs to win games that they are clearly expected to this season. Their +52 point differential is the second-worst among any 10-1 team in league history. For perspective, the rookie-led 7-2 Broncos have the exact same point differential.
Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
With KC at home, it comes as no surprise that they’re clear favorites over Las Vegas, which you can see in the latest Raiders vs. Chiefs odds at BetMGM Sportsbook below:
- Point Spread: Las Vegas Raiders +12.5 (-105) vs. Kansas City Chiefs -12.5 (-115)
- Money Line: Las Vegas Raiders (+500) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-700)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 42.5 (-110) vs. Under 42.5 (-110)
Raiders vs. Chiefs Best Bet: Kansas City Team Total Under 27.5 Points (-120 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
For anyone that isn’t a Chiefs fan, the way that they somehow always find a way to win despite not playing clean football is among the most frustrating things ever. Regardless, at the end of the day, that’s what champions do, but as far as our Raiders vs. Chiefs predictions are concerned, their lack of domination despite winning is a major factor.
That’s why we're not going to focus on the point spread of this matchup, as KC simply isn’t blowing teams away. It isn’t just because of their recent win over the 3-8 Panthers on Sunday, either. We mentioned that they always seem to let teams hang around, even when they are clearly lesser opponents.
Along with their last-second victory this past weekend, their four games prior were a loss and three wins all by just one possession. Most importantly, one of those came against the very same Raiders team that they’re playing on Thanksgiving.
That was a matchup in which the Chiefs were 8.5-point favorites, and they let Las Vegas pull off the backdoor cover. Now, they face their division rival coming off an extremely physical performance. We should also see a fired up Raiders pass rusher Maxx Crosby, as KC’s offensive line continues to be an issue - even Carolina sacked Mahomes five times on Sunday.
We’re not saying that Las Vegas is certainly going to pull off the upset, but we are confident making the best bet from our Raiders vs. Chiefs predictions on Kansas City team total under 27.5 points (-120 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Raiders vs. Chiefs Injury Report & Latest News
The biggest injury news for this AFC West clash for the Chiefs is RB Isaiah Pacheco. He’s been eligible to return from his fractured leg already, but has yet to take the field. With KC in such a good position with a 10-1 record and on a short week, it wouldn’t be a shock for head coach Andy Reid to hold him out again.
As for the most recent injury news for Black Friday, we already took you through the lack of Minshew Mania for the Raiders. Check in on his status and many others with the NFL injury report from Fantasy Alarm.
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