Packers vs. Bears Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 11, Sunday 11/17
One of the most classic and long-standing rivalries in the entire NFL is the one in the NFC North between the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears. With how tough the division is this season, they are occupying the bottom two spots, but with such a great clash on deck, of course, we have our best Packers vs. Bears predictions.
Whether you end up liking the sound of the best bet from our Packers vs. Bears picks or have other ideas for the Packers vs. Bears odds, you’ll be able to claim the $150+ FanDuel Sportsbook welcome bonus we have for you!
Packers vs. Bears Predictions For NFL Week 11, Sunday 11/17
There’s nothing quite like a Packers vs. Bears NFC North rivalry, but it had been just a couple of weeks ago when the entire division had a winning record, it would feel even more thrilling. Regardless, it could be a make or break game for Chicago and one that could determine if Green Bay has to focus on the NFC Wild Card rather than the division.
We haven’t seen the Pack since their home loss to the Detroit Lions two weekends ago, while we’ve seen the Bears blow up the headlines early in the week. That was thanks to their decision to fire offensive coordinator and play caller Shane Waldron. That should have a Green Bay defense that did the same this offseason.
Even with that being the case, we’re actually predicting more fireworks than the Packers vs. Bears odds would suggest. However, the target of the top pick from our Packers vs. Bears predictions is on a different market with a fantastic trend!
Green Bay Packers: Getting Healthy
Before we get that far though, more about Green Bay given that we haven’t seen them in two weeks. As mentioned, that was a 24-14 loss to the Lions, but it was also with QB Jordan Love clearly not 100% healthy.
He had suffered a groin injury the week prior that caused him to exit the game, and if their game prior to the bye wasn't such an important one against Detroit, we’d expect that they would have rested him heading into the bye for the extra rest.
Obviously, that wasn’t the case, but since he was able to go the week following, the week off should not have him ready to rock.
Chicago Bears: Play Caller Swap
Things were already getting loud in the Windy City beginning immediately after they allowed the hail mary that resulted in the loss to the Washington Commanders. It culminated in the firing of Waldron shortly following their loss to the then 2-7 New England Patriots in which they scored just three points.
That was also at home where the Bears had been fantastic, even dating back to last year. Now, the concern is that the franchise is now going to do to rookie QB Caleb Williams what it did to young QBs Justin Fields and Mitch Trubisky. Of course, that remains to be seen, and this rivalry game could go a long way in deciding the direction.
Packers vs. Bears Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
We targeted the Packers vs. Bears odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to provide you with the best value for the best bet from our Packers vs. Bears predictions, and here are the lines:
- Point Spread: Green Bay Packers -5.5 (-105) vs. Chicago Bears +5.5 (-115)
- Money Line: Green Bay Packers (-245) vs. Chicago Bears (+200)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 40.5 (-110) vs. Under 40.5 (-110)
Packers vs. Bears Predictions: Green Bay -5.5 (-105 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
As previously stated, if you’re one who would prefer to avoid the point spread for this NFC North rivalry, we’re expecting more points than the oddsmakers suggest. Specifically, we see the Pack doing their part.
Many fans likely remember one of QB Aaron Rodgers’ final game in Green Bay in which he told the Bears fans that he “owns them.” That’s because Green Bay has had immense success in Chicago, and while Rodgers may no longer be around, the Bears seemingly haven’t changed much given the big news of the week.
Expecting Williams to adapt to a new play caller within days when he already seemed to be regressing is a tall task. After all, Chicago has scored just three and nine points in their past two games, and you’ve likely seen the dramatic stat of the week - the Bears haven’t scored an offensive touchdown in their past 23 possessions.
Along with their struggles is the trend that we referenced earlier as well. That would be the fact that favorites away from home this season are covering the spread at a whopping 70.7% rate (41-17). That’s the spot that Green Bay finds themselves in on Sunday, not to mention that they’re the ones coming off the bye.
Perhaps you could consider a teaser to lower the point spread and total for combination Packers vs. Bears picks, but as for the best bet from our Packers vs. Bears predictions, we’re taking Green Bay -6 (-105 at FanDuel Sportsbook).
Packers vs. Bears Injury Report & Latest News
We noted the Love injury, which is most certainly the latest news in that regard. Of course, as far as overall news goes, the Waldron firing takes the cake in that department. In addition to those points, both teams have had WR injury concerns this season, including Christian Watson of Green Bay and Keenan Allen of Chicago. Therefore, stay in the know with the latest NFL injury report right here at Fantasy Alarm.
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Player News
Panthers released TE Jordan Matthews.
Matthews converted to tight end a few years ago and hasn’t made much noise at the position. The change has, however, likely kept him in the league for a few more seasons. He appeared in four games with the Panthers last year but didn’t record any stats on offense. The Panthers also released or waived WR Dax Milne, C Andrew Raym, and TE Colin Granger.
Dolphins released LS Blake Ferguson.
The team also waived CB Ryan Cooper Jr., DT Neil Farrell and OL Chasen Hines. Ferguson has been the team’s long snapper for five seasons and earned a three-year contract extension just before the 2023 season. He should be able to find work snapping footballs farther than the average snap elsewhere in the league.
DetroitLions.com’s Tim Twentyman believes rookie WR Isaac TeSlaa “could make his earliest impact on special teams.”
It’s not much of a surprise, as most rookies cut their teeth with special teams duties. Twentyman mentioned return duties as a possibility, though the former Razorback never returned kicks or punts in college. At 6'4/212 with 4.43 wheels, TeSlaa is an explosive athlete who never translated his physical traits to on-field production at Arkansas. The Lions clearly saw potential for him to do so in the pros and traded two future third-round picks to move up to No. 70 overall for him. It’s going to be a slow burn for TeSlaa in the pros, making him a dynasty-only fantasy option.
Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell said the team does not “have any feelings on competition” when asked about the quarterback room.
O’Connell was asked about a potential quarterback competition on the Rich Eisen Show Wednesday and was unclear on whether J.J. McCarthy would have to compete to start. He said, “we’ve got an obligation as coaches to put our players in position to attack that competition phase.” O’Connell discussed first putting Brett Rypien and the newly acquired Sam Howell in a position to play before any competition would occur. He continued that McCarthy is “owning it” this offseason and is taking snaps from starting center Ryan Kelly. After missing last season with a torn meniscus, McCarthy has been ramping up workouts in the offseason and is the front-runner to start for the Vikings in 2025. As of now, Howell looks to be reinforcement at the backup spot in case it turns out McCarthy is not ready to start.
Texans re-signed DT Foley Fatukasi.
Fatukasi initially joined the Texans last offseason on a one-year contract. The 30-year-old was a rotational defensive lineman, tallying four tackles for loss and one sack. He returns to Houston for 2025, where he will be a part of a deep Texans front seven.
NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero reports Tyreek Hill’s second wrist surgery was part of the original plan and his timeline remains unchanged.
Hill announced the second surgery on social media and Pelissero quickly added some context to the situation. The speedy receiver suffered the wrist injury just before the start of the season and it lingered throughout the year, though he never missed a game because of it. If the second surgery truly is a non-story, an offseason to recover might be what Hill needs to return to form after a down 2024 season. On the other hand, Hill is 31 years old, played his worst football last year, and his offense prioritized targets for Jonnu Smith and De’Von Achane. As it stands, Hill might have the highest risk-reward split in fantasy drafts.