Commanders vs. Lions Predictions, Picks & Odds: Saturday, Divisional Round
Wrapping up the Saturday doubleheader of NFL Divisional Round action is the Detroit Lions hosting the Washington Commanders. It’s the only one of the four games this weekend that isn’t a regular season rematch, but not to worry - we’ve got our best Commanders vs. Lions predictions for you.
That also means that we’ll transition into a best bet from our Commanders vs. Lions picks, which will ultimately conclude in a guaranteed $200 DraftKings Sportsbook new user promo!
Commanders vs. Lions Predictions For Divisional Round Saturday, Saturday 1/18
With this NFC clash not being a rematch like the rest of the weekend, that means that we can’t pull from recent history to help make our Commanders vs. Lions predictions, as we have a rookie QB at the helm for Washington. What we do know is that a shootout is expected.
The Commanders vs. Lions odds have a massive total of 55.5 points, which is about as high as it gets for a playoff game. It doesn't take long to see why that’s the case, as these were two of the top five scoring teams this season on a points-per-game basis. So, should that be the target for the best bet from our Commanders vs. Lions predictions?
It’s certainly a consideration given a nearly double-digit point spread. However, we’re going to avoid such polarizing lines altogether and focus on the prop markets.
Washington Commanders: Defying All Odds
The only road team to win on Wild Card Weekend was the Washington Commanders, as they continue to defy all odds and preseason expectations. It had been a while since the franchise was among the best in the NFL, and with them starting a rookie QB in Jayden Daniels, it was difficult to imagine a successful season.
Not only have they surpassed that with flying colors, but they’ve made history in the process. Washington’s six game-winning scores within the 10 seconds of a game or overtime is tied for the most in a season since 1970. While many remember the hail mary over the Chicago Bears, that was far from the only last-second win.
Detroit Lions: Laying Low
While the Commanders have been giving fans roller coaster games, the Lions have been busy lying low with them having earned the bye week thanks to receiving the #1 seed in the NFC. Even during the regular season, Detroit was on the completely other end of the spectrum.
Rather than heart-pounding games, they largely cruised through teams en route to an incredible 15-2 record. That is perfectly illustrated by the fact that the Lions had a remarkable +222 point differential this season. For perspective, the next closest team was the Philadelphia Eagles with a +160-point differential.
How To Watch NFL Divisional Round Saturday 2025
You won’t be able to utilize our Commanders vs. Lions predictions or best bet coming up with knowing how to watch Commanders vs. Lions, so we’ve got the information for you below:
- Where: Ford Field in Detroit, MI
- When: 8 PM ET on Saturday, 1/18
- Watch on TV: FOX
- Where to stream: NFL+, YouTubeTV, FUBO
Commanders vs. Lions Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
We’ve already mentioned the polarizing lines for Saturday night’s game, and you can see the latest Commanders vs. Lions predictions at DraftKings Sportsbook below:
- Point Spread: Washington Commanders +9.5 (-115) vs. Detroit Lions -9.5 (-105)
- Money Line: Washington Commanders (+380) vs. Detroit Lions (-500)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 55.5 (-112) vs. Under 55.5 (-108)
Commanders vs. Lions Best Bet: Jayden Daniels To Throw An Interception (-135 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
The combination of the Lions roaring through teams this season and the Commanders being capable of pulling off improbable comebacks has us focusing our Commanders vs. Lions predictions on a player prop instead.
Given the Commanders vs. Lions odds, Washington looks likely to find themselves trailing, which in turn should lead to an abundance of pass attempts from Daniels. That means more opportunities for turnovers, and while the rookie has certainly been excellent, this is the biggest stage he’s been on thus far.
Even if Daniels does continue to exceed expectations and have a fantastic game, that doesn’t mean that an interception can’t be in the mix. Both things can be true, and with Detroit’s defense, it is far from unlikely. The Lions allow quite a bit of passing yardage due to teams often trailing, but they have also excelled at picking off the opposing QB.
That has been led by safety Kerby Joseph, who was deservingly named to the first team All-Pro team for this season. That was in large part thanks to the fact that he led the entire NFL with nine interceptions - only one player was within two interceptions.
As a team, Detroit also had the fourth-most interceptions this season, and the extra rest certainly doesn’t hurt their defense. Rather than sweating out a pick on a significant point spread or huge total, the best bet from our Commanders vs. Lions predictions is for Jayden Daniels to throw an interception (-135 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Commanders vs. Lions Injury Report & Latest News
This late into the season, no team is fully healthy, which has been true for Detroit virtually all year. While their ailments have been mounting, there is actual optimism surrounding RB David Montgomery, who headlines their injury news. As for Washington, we’ve seen RB Austin Ekeler battle injuries far more often than he would prefer.
So, be sure to monitor all injury news and updates for these teams with the Fantasy Alarm NFL injury report for this week.
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Player News
Dolphins signed No. 13 overall pick DT Kenneth Grant to a four-year contract.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Grant will sign his contract today. The former Michigan defensive tackle is expected to fill a major void left by Christian Wilkins, who left for the Raiders in the 2024 offseason. Grant totaled 32 tackles, three sacks, and seven TFLs in his final season at Michigan and excelled at stopping the run while also generating 27 pressures in his final season, per PFF.
Beat reporter John Hendrix reports that free agent WR Donovan Peoples-Jones is among the 16 players that the Saints will host for their rookie minicamp.
Peoples-Jones last played regular season snaps with the Lions back in 2023, when he caught 13-of-24 targets for 155 yards. He is highly unlikely to return to fantasy relevance at this point but could perhaps sign on as a special teams contributor.
Titans signed fourth-round pick WR Elic Ayomanor to a four-year contract.
Ayomanor will now begin learning behind Calvin Ridley. Although Ayomanor is unlikely to find a meaningful role in year one, dynasty managers should note his status as training camp gets underway this summer. The former Stanford receiver flashed big-play ability in his two college seasons.
Buccaneers signed seventh-round pick WR Tez Johnson to a four-year contract.
Johnson will serve as a rotational deep-threat option for Baker Mayfield. His thin frame (5'10/154) simply does not lend itself to the repeated hits one incurs in a full-time role. Johnson did earn 100-plus targets in his two seasons at Oregon, though. His big-play style make him a better fit in best ball for now, pending any major on-field breakthroughs.
Giants waived DT Casey Rogers.
Rogers was a 2024 undrafted free agent and logged 33 defensive snaps for the Giants in his rookie season. He is credited with zero tackles and/or sacks. He may find his way onto another roster as a practice squad option.
Vikings signed third-round pick WR Tai Felton to a four-year contract.
Felton is quietly in play to challenge Vikings No. 3 WR Jalen Nailor in training camp. Nailor (5'11/190) caught 28-of-42 targets for 414 yards and six touchdowns in his first season as a starter last year, with the latter category buoying his fantasy productivity. Felton (6'1/183), meanwhile, caught 96-of-143 targets for 1,119 yards and nine touchdowns while averaging 2.32 yards per route run in his final college season. Fantasy managers should monitor Felton’s training camp reports this summer, as he could have a matchup-based WR5 role if everything falls into place.