Colts vs. Jets Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 11, Sunday 11/17

Two teams clinging on to postseason aspirations right now are the Indianapolis Colts and New York Jets, so their matchup against one another this Sunday is essentially make or break for both sides. With such a pivotal clash on the horizon, we’ve broken it down to provide a top pick from our Colts vs. Jets predictions.
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Colts vs. Jets Predictions For NFL Week 11, Sunday 11/17
If there were two teams whose stock is on the decline, it’s the Colts and Jets. It was originally scheduled to be the Sunday Night Football game this weekend, but given the circumstances, they have been flexed out of that spot.
While it may not be the best football we see all season, that doesn’t mean we won’t be in for an interesting matchup. With one of the youngest QBs in Indy’s Anthony Richardson and an aging Aaron Rodgers in New York, who knows the wild plays that we’ll see.
We expect the Jets to lean even harder on their defense, specifically in the run game, as that will need to lead the charge for them as we also expect the Colts to rely heavily on star RB Jonathan Taylor. Along with New York RB Breece Hall, we wouldn’t be surprised to see this be a grind-it-out type of game.
Indianapolis Colts: Counting On Joe Cool…Nevermind
Just like he did in Cleveland with the Browns last season, QB Joe Flacco turned back time and led the Colts to some solid performances. Well, after back-to-back losses, questions were being asked. However, on Monday, the team announced that he would remain the starter.
However, in seemingly typical Colts fashion as of late, they then decided to change their mind on Wednesday and give that role back to second-year QB Anthony Richardson. It’s difficult for either gunslinger to find a rhythm with the back-and-forth decision making, but perhaps a 3-7 Jets team is the reason for taking the opportunity to do so.
New York Jets: The Pursuit For Pride
As is often the case, the biggest storyline surrounding New York comes thanks to the weekly Rodgers interview on the Pat McAfee Show every Tuesday. He always seems to have a theme for his messaging, and this week, it was about pride.
It’s something that every fan has heard before in terms of a team or individual playing for pride, and while that is certainly true, it is a message that is often reserved as a headline when things aren’t going well. That’s where the Jets find themselves with the playoffs all but out of their grasp.
Although it’s not an impossibility, Rodgers is leaning on his teammates to play for pride to get back in the win column.
Colts vs. Jets Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
Despite New York’s struggles, they are still rather significant favorites this Sunday, and you can see the latest Colts vs. Jets odds at BetMGM Sportsbook below:
- Point Spread: Indianapolis Colts +4 (-110) vs. New York Jets -4 (-110)
- Money Line: Indianapolis Colts (+170) vs. New York Jets (-210)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 44 (-110) vs. Under 44 (-110)
Colts vs. Jets Predictions: Indianapolis +4 (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
We know that the target of our Colts vs. Jets predictions may be a tough one to back, and truthfully, we normally wouldn’t love a midweek QB swap. New York has struggled greatly against mobile QBs this season, which very well may have played a part in the decision.
It’s also worth noting that our projections have New York squeaking away with a victory, but not by more than a field goal. Frankly, the Jets don’t deserve to be favored by more than that against any team, even at home.
Of their two wins, they were able to catch teams off guard on the short week thanks to Thursday Night Football, and in last week’s 31-6 blowout loss, they simply showed no signs of any fight. While Indy has been inconsistent themselves, they at least kept things competitive in their 30-20 loss to the Buffalo Bills.
Even without those recent performances, the Jets are tied for the most rushing touchdowns allowed to QBs this season, which is exactly what Richardson wants to do against opposing defenses. Along with the emergence of WR Josh Downs in his absence, he should have more balance to keep defenses from spying him more than usual.
Again, it won’t be the cleanest game we see this Sunday, but we’re still comfortable locking in the top pick from our Colts vs. Jets predictions on Indianapolis +4 (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Colts vs. Jets Injury Report & Latest News
Despite being just a season and a half into his NFL career, injuries to Richardson always need to be monitored and prepared for. Overall, however, injury news doesn’t headline this matchup, which is always a good thing. Taylor’s ankle seems to nag him at times, and you can get all the latest updates with the Fantasy Alarm NFL injury report.
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Player News
Panthers released TE Jordan Matthews.
Matthews converted to tight end a few years ago and hasn’t made much noise at the position. The change has, however, likely kept him in the league for a few more seasons. He appeared in four games with the Panthers last year but didn’t record any stats on offense. The Panthers also released or waived WR Dax Milne, C Andrew Raym, and TE Colin Granger.
Dolphins released LS Blake Ferguson.
The team also waived CB Ryan Cooper Jr., DT Neil Farrell and OL Chasen Hines. Ferguson has been the team’s long snapper for five seasons and earned a three-year contract extension just before the 2023 season. He should be able to find work snapping footballs farther than the average snap elsewhere in the league.
DetroitLions.com’s Tim Twentyman believes rookie WR Isaac TeSlaa “could make his earliest impact on special teams.”
It’s not much of a surprise, as most rookies cut their teeth with special teams duties. Twentyman mentioned return duties as a possibility, though the former Razorback never returned kicks or punts in college. At 6'4/212 with 4.43 wheels, TeSlaa is an explosive athlete who never translated his physical traits to on-field production at Arkansas. The Lions clearly saw potential for him to do so in the pros and traded two future third-round picks to move up to No. 70 overall for him. It’s going to be a slow burn for TeSlaa in the pros, making him a dynasty-only fantasy option.
Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell said the team does not “have any feelings on competition” when asked about the quarterback room.
O’Connell was asked about a potential quarterback competition on the Rich Eisen Show Wednesday and was unclear on whether J.J. McCarthy would have to compete to start. He said, “we’ve got an obligation as coaches to put our players in position to attack that competition phase.” O’Connell discussed first putting Brett Rypien and the newly acquired Sam Howell in a position to play before any competition would occur. He continued that McCarthy is “owning it” this offseason and is taking snaps from starting center Ryan Kelly. After missing last season with a torn meniscus, McCarthy has been ramping up workouts in the offseason and is the front-runner to start for the Vikings in 2025. As of now, Howell looks to be reinforcement at the backup spot in case it turns out McCarthy is not ready to start.
Texans re-signed DT Foley Fatukasi.
Fatukasi initially joined the Texans last offseason on a one-year contract. The 30-year-old was a rotational defensive lineman, tallying four tackles for loss and one sack. He returns to Houston for 2025, where he will be a part of a deep Texans front seven.
NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero reports Tyreek Hill’s second wrist surgery was part of the original plan and his timeline remains unchanged.
Hill announced the second surgery on social media and Pelissero quickly added some context to the situation. The speedy receiver suffered the wrist injury just before the start of the season and it lingered throughout the year, though he never missed a game because of it. If the second surgery truly is a non-story, an offseason to recover might be what Hill needs to return to form after a down 2024 season. On the other hand, Hill is 31 years old, played his worst football last year, and his offense prioritized targets for Jonnu Smith and De’Von Achane. As it stands, Hill might have the highest risk-reward split in fantasy drafts.