Bills vs. Jets Predictions, Picks & Odds: Monday Night Football, 10/14
As if the New York Jets weren’t polarizing enough with the likes of QB Aaron Rodgers, being in a massive media market and having several prime time games, they took over the headlines even more throughout this past week. More on that coming up, but overall, we’re here to get you set for their Monday Night Football game with the Buffalo Bills.
Beyond our best Bills vs. Jets predictions will also be a new $300 FanDuel Sportsbook sign up bonus, so be sure to check out everything below!
Bills vs. Jets Predictions for Monday Night Football, NFL Week 6
It’s safe to say that making Bills vs. Jets predictions for this week are as interesting as it’s ever been. They usually are given the nature of this AFC East rivalry, but some of the biggest news of the week have made it even more so.
Of course, nearly all fans know by now that New York fired former head coach Robert Saleh, and shortly thereafter, stripped offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett of his play-calling duties. It’s also not as though the Bills are without their scars, as they’ve been beaten the past two weeks.
Speaking of which, let’s get further into each team so that we can fully get into the best bet from our Bills vs. Jets picks.
Buffalo Bills: Bouncing Back From Back-To-Back Losses
As just stated above, the Bills are looking to avoid a three-game losing skid. That didn’t seem like something they would have to avoid all season given that they began the year on a three-game winning streak.
After looking like the most dominant team in the NFL, they were absolutely dominated themselves by the Baltimore Ravens, which was also in prime time on Sunday Night Football. That was followed up by a closer 23-20 loss to the Houston Texans, which has created the narrative that Buffalo struggles when facing other top competition.
New York Jets: Wholesale Changes
Well, at least Bills fans can lean on the fact that they aren’t exactly playing top competition. However, could that change starting this week? Of the two changes we mentioned, we’re actually more interested in the latter.
Firing a head coach will always get the attention, but Hackett was hand-picked by Rodgers. So, no longer allowing him to call plays is a massive deal. So too is the fact that he’ll still be in the building and on the sideline, which may certainly create some drama, tension and awkwardness.
Bills vs. Jets Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
We’ve also got the latest Bills vs. Jets odds at FanDuel Sportsbook for you, and we’ve found what we consider to be massive value in the lines below:
- Point Spread: Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-112) vs. New York Jets +2.5 (-108)
- Money Line: Buffalo Bills (-135) vs. New York Jets (+114)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 40.5 (-112) vs. Under 40.5 (-108)
Bills vs. Jets Predictions: Over 40.5 Points (-112 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Ok, here we go. The focus of our Bills vs. Jets predictions is going against the grain from everything that you’ll likely see as trends, so let’s just clear the air right now. Unders in prime time games are great, the Jets have a 4-1 record for unders this year and the past five meetings between these teams have stayed under the total.
So, why are we taking the over? First and foremost, each of the totals in those five recent meetings were listed at 43.5 points or higher except for one. More importantly, this is a play on what we consider to be a massive over-adjustment.
Prior to all the news swirling around the Jets this week, this total opened at 47.5 points! An entire touchdown move is likely to be the biggest line movement we see all season, and why? Are we to believe that Hackett had New York’s offense firing on all cylinders? Not in our eyes, especially in today’s NFL - they all but refuse to motion pre-snap.
On top of all that, the Bills have loved either lighting up the scoreboard or allowing others to do so. After a 34-28 Week 1 win, they’ve also either scored or allowed the opposition to score 31+ in three of their other four games.
Consider taking Buffalo’s team total as part of your Bills vs. Jets picks, but we’re comfortable making the best bet from our Bills vs. Jets predictions on the over 40.5 points (-112 at FanDuel Sportsbook).
Bills vs. Jets Injury Report & Latest News
There are certainly key names on both sides in terms of injuries, so here is the latest following Saturday’s practice:
BUF Bills:
- WR Khalil Shakir - LP
- RB James Cook - LP
- CB Taron Johnson - LP
- DT Austin Johnson - LP
NY Jets:
- CB Michael Carter II - DNP
- LB C.J. Mosley - LP
- TE Tyler Conklin - LP
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Player News
Bills waived TE Armani Rogers.
This is unfortunate. Rogers recently ruptured his Achilles tendon for the second time in three years. He showed promise as a 2022 rookie, earning a 65.3 PFF receiving grade and a 68.0 PFF run-blocking grade, but the injuries are taking their toll. The Bills also released DT Branson Deen.
Titans waived OT Nicholas Petit-Frere.
The team signed C Sam Mustipher and OT Oli Udoh in corresponding moves. Petit-Frere failed to meet expectations after the Titans spent a third-round pick on him in 2022, allowing 35-plus quarterback pressures in 2-of-3 NFL seasons.
Cowboys signed OL Hakeem Adeniji, formerly of the Browns, to a contract.
The former 2020 sixth-round pick last took regular season snaps in 2022. Adeniji spent the 2023 season serving as a part-time special teams player, and although he was technically on the Browns’ 2024 roster, he missed the full season on injured reserve. Adeniji will likely handle a deep-backup/special teams role in Dallas this year.
Free agent QB Aaron Rodgers said on The Pat McAfee Show that he is currently focusing on matters in his personal life while mulling his future in the NFL.
In a wide-ranging discussion with McAfee, Rodgers said that he is still contemplating whether to play in 2025 or retire this offseason, though he has settled on a $10 million asking price, should he choose to stick around. Rodgers repeatedly, yet ambiguously, emphasized that caring for troubled members of his “inner circle” has been his offseason priority. Rodgers spoke positively of his recent visit with the Steelers, praising head coach Mike Tomlin, OC Arthur Smith, GM Omar Khan, QB coach Tom Arth and WR DK Metcalf, whom he called “a specimen” and a “great dude.” Rodgers downplayed reports about pitching Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell on a union, saying much ado has been made about two old “friends” remaining in regular contact. The free agent QB also notably complimented Giants head coach Brian Daboll’s “beautiful football mind” but kept Giants-talk relatively succinct. Rodgers made clear that the rapidly approaching 2025 NFL Draft will have no bearing on his decision-making timeline, and he understands if the Steelers determine that they must move on without him. In short, it appears as though Rodgers will either sign with the Steelers or move on from football. The enigmatic quarterback gave few indications as to which direction he is leaning.
FOX NFL’s Jordan Schultz reports “interested teams believe Philadelphia would be open to future picks” for TE Dallas Goedert.
Goedert has become a popular trade candidate in the rumor mill. He is on the final year of his current contract and is undoubtedly looking for a new deal. The Eagles, on the other hand, haven’t made much noise about extending him and have generally tried to get out ahead of new contracts in recent years. The timing of this report suggests the Eagles are still trying to field offers for Goedert and the price may be dropping.
Browns GM Andrew Berry said Alabama QB Jalen Milroe has “rare physical talent.”
Berry continued with his praise of Milroe’s physical traits, saying he is maybe the only quarterback faster than Lamar Jackson. Milroe ran for 729 yards and a jaw-dropping 20 touchdowns in his final season at Alabama. Though the Browns don’t appear to be taking a quarterback with the No. 2 overall pick, they are up again at No. 33 and could even package that selection with another pick to get back into the first round. The Browns have held visits with all of the major quarterback prospects, including Milroe. They currently have Joe Flacco and Kenny Pickett on the roster, neither of whom is a long-term option.