They meet again. This will now be the fourth time that Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes will face off in the NFL playoffs. And the eighth time they have played each other in general. I know they don’t actually go one on one here - they play against the opposing defense. But it’s still a fun narrative.

And that’s not the only narrative at play. The Chiefs are attempting to go back to back to back in the Super Bowl. While the Bills fans, who once saw four consecutive Super Bowl losses, are hoping to end their curse. We’ll take those narratives, the stats, and the injuries into account for our Bills vs. Chiefs NFL Conference Championship round predictions!

Even if you just want to see the Bills vs. Chiefs odds and have Bills vs. Chiefs picks of your own, don’t forget to scroll down at the end to see how you can scoop up a $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign-up bonus!

 

 

 

Bills vs. Chiefs Predictions For NFL Division Round Sunday

As I mentioned, these quarterbacks have squared off eight times. In the regular season, Josh Allen has a 4-1 record against Mahomes. But the Chiefs have won all three playoff games which is obviously what matters most. This is a big one for Allen to get the monkey off of his back.

The Bills have now won 13 of their last 14 with their lone loss coming to the Los Angeles Rams, 44-42. The Chiefs only have two losses on the season, though it’s really just one loss if you exclude the Week 18 game vs. DEN when they rested their starters. That lone loss, however, came to this Buffalo Bills team 30-21 in November.

 

 

 

Buffalo Bills: A More Balanced Approach

The Bills for years leaned heavily on Stefon Diggs to carry the workload. He would routinely have 160+ targets and 60-70 first downs. This year, they spread the ball around for more with tremendous results. Josh Allen ended up being the only All Pro player on this team - which is how they drew it up. Khalil Shakir has been the leading receiver with a conservative 821 yards and 4 touchdowns.

On defense the Bills have been rock solid. FTN Fantasy’s DVOA stat has them graded as the 11th best defense in the league when adjusting for strength of schedule. They got a boost down the stretch as stud linebacker Matt Milano returned at just the right time to contribute.

 

 

 

Kansas City Chiefs: Taking The Easy Road

It might not be fair to call it “the easy road” as they both earned it and beat some tough teams. But there’s no arguing that the road that they did earn in the playoffs has been easy. The opted to rest their starters for Week 18 before a Wild Card bye, effectively giving them two weeks off. Then they had a home game against the lowest seeded team to advance where they dispatched the Texans in the divisional round. Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce look as sharp as ever.

In recent years the Kansas City Chiefs have transformed from a lopsided offensive team to a balanced organization. That’s in large part to pass-rushers like Chris Jones and George Karlaftis as well as star corner Trent McDuffie. Not everything falls on the shoulders of Patrick Mahomes these days.

 

 

 

Bills vs. Chiefs Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

As promised, the latest Bills vs. Chiefs odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:

 

 

 

Bills vs. Chiefs: Matt Milano Over 5.5 Combined Tackles (-118 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

Some folks might be hesitant with this one. Matt Milano has not had more than five combined tackles once this season.  But we have to consider the context from a couple different points of view.

First, Milano was hurt for the vast majority of the year. Upon his return he was not thrown back into a full-time role in every game. He only played 58%of the snaps in the Lions game and 56% in the Jets game, for instance. In the two playoff games he has now played 81% and 86% of the snaps.

One of his main jobs in this defense is covering tight ends. And he’s pretty darn good at it. So he should spend a good amount of the day keeping an eye on Travis Kelce. We normally would be the props on Travis Kelce receptions (and it’s still not a bad play) but they are set high at 6.5 (-118). What we are going to do here is bet on Milano to be there to take him down for a number of those plays on top of being an asset in the run stopping game. Matt Milano should be plenty busy this weekend. Especially with safety Taylor Rapp out.

 

 

 

Bills vs. Chiefs Injury Report & Latest News

Finally, let’s take a quick look at the projected starting lineups for both teams heading into tonight’s matchup:

BUF Bills

KC Chiefs

  • N/A

 

 

 

How To Bet On Bills vs. Chiefs At BetMGM Sportsbook & Claim Your $1,500 Bonus With Promo Code ALARM

Now that you’re armed with our Bills vs. Chiefs predictions, let’s take you through the aforementioned $1,500 BetMGM sign up bonus. You’ll just need the BetMGM promo code ALARM when creating a new account, but our links and banners should have it filled in for you.

So, just be sure to then deposit $10 or more. Then, place your first wager for at least $10 and up to $1,500 on anything, whether it’s Bills vs. Chiefs picks or something else. You can then be worry-free, as you’re guaranteed to receive something.

You’ll either see your winnings hit your account, or if it loses, a full refund will be issued in bonus bets. It’s the best way to take advantage of our Bills vs. Chiefs predictions, and you can click here to activate our exclusive BetMGM promo code ALARM now!