Who Will Win Super Bowl 58? Staff Picks For SF v. KC Outright Winner

The Super Bowl kicks off this Sunday, February 11, and the sporting world is already in a frenzy.
From a picks standpoint, it’s easy to be overwhelmed by the vast range of betting markets and props available. I mean, c’mon – Taylor Swift bets are popular. That speaks for itself.
We’re here to simplify things with our Fantasy Alarm Staff Super Bowl 58 picks & predictions - this time centered around one thing and one thing only: who will win Super Bowl 58?
2024 Super Bowl Predictions: 49ers vs. Chiefs Winner
These teams march into this matchup after solidifying themselves as their respective conference's top dogs. The teams are, on paper, quite evenly matched. San Francisco boasts one of the league’s top offenses, while Kansas City has a more balanced approach compared to years past.
Both squads obviously are undefeated in the postseason, but the Chiefs have looked like the much better team. The 49ers needed comeback wins in both playoff games to reach this point. While we need to take these games into account, it’s also important not to let recency bias get in the way of any our Super Bowl predictions.
The 49ers actually match up decently with the Chiefs from a general perspective, but it’s hard to say that any defense matches up well against Patrick Mahomes. At the same time, who on the Kansas City side can match up with Deebo Samuel or Christian McCaffrey? And what will Andy Reid conjure up with the extra week to prepare?
Overall, this shapes up to be an incredibly interesting, entertaining contest throughout.
We've shared our Staff's Super Bowl pick against the spread.
Who Will Win Super Bowl 58? Our Staff's Pick Is…
When in doubt, if you're trying to make Super Bowl picks, focus on the quarterback play. For as impressive as it is that Brock Purdy has led his team here in just his second season, he’s no Mahomes. Nobody is. That’s why it seems so staggering that you’re able to get the Chiefs as underdogs in this one.
And, that’s exactly what the Fantasy Alarm staff decided to do from an outright perspective, too.. There were 18 FA staff members that made picks for this game, and 14 of those believe that Kansas City will repeat as Super Bowl champions.
Whether you agree with us or not, our Staff is largely on the same page in picking the Chiefs as Super Bowl 58 winners.
Super Bowl 58 Winner Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs
49ers vs. Chiefs Winner: Staff Predictions
Howard Bender, Jim Bowden, Jon Impemba and Andrew Cooper headline our NFL analyst team, and all 4 of them are siding with KC to win the game. Take a look at our complete staff breakdown of our Super Bowl 58 prediction regarding an outright winner:
- Howard Bender: Chiefs
- Jim Bowden: Chiefs
- Jon Impemba: Chiefs
- James Grande: 49ers
- Andrew Cooper: Chiefs
- Dan Malin: 49ers
- Matt Selz: Chiefs
- Colby Conway: 49ers
- Iggy Gilbert: Chiefs
- Joe Gallina: Chiefs
- Ryan Kirksey: Chiefs
- Ray Kuhn: Chiefs
- Josh Wagner: 49ers
- Kevin Tompkins: Chiefs
- JB Barry: Chiefs
- Mike Iannone: Chiefs
- Chris Morais: Chiefs
- Andrew Phelps: Chiefs
Super Bowl History
How Many Super Bowls Have the 49ers Won?
The San Francisco 49ers have won 5 Super Bowls in their franchise’s existence, most recently coming back in 1994. This gives them a 5-2 overall record when playing in Super Bowls, which isn’t too shabby.
How Many Super Bowls Have the Chiefs Won?
The Kansas City Chiefs have won 3 Super Bowls since becoming a franchise. Two of those have come in the last 5 years (2019, 2023), which propelled their record to 3-2 all-time in Super Bowls.
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Player News
Chargers LT Rashawn Slater was not present at the team’s voluntary OTAs.
Slater is awaiting a contract extension as he enters his fifth season with the Chargers. The former No. 13 overall pick has made two Pro Bowls while starting all of his 51 games played over four years. He is the Chargers’ starting left tackle and is due $19.05 million this season on his fifth-year option. A lucrative extension would get Slater paid for the long haul while also reducing his potential cap hit for 2025. The Chargers have been in negotiations with Slater, and while we have not reached holdout territory, this is an extension situation to monitor for Justin Herbert’s blindside.
Chargers CB Cam Hart is not yet fully cleared to return after getting surgery for a torn labrum in January.
Hart was a fifth-round pick by the Chargers last year, starting six of fourteen games and tallying seven passes defended with a forced fumble as a rookie. He suffered a torn labrum against the Texans in the playoffs and underwent surgery in January. Though Hart won’t participate in OTA’s, he expects to be back for minicamp.
Jaguars WR/CB Travis Hunter has been “meeting with [the defense], as he’s needed to.”
Jaguars head coach Liam Coen made comments on Hunter’s practice status as a defender, saying the 22-year-old practiced with the defense last Wednesday for “fundamentals and techniques and communication.” He won’t practice offensively and defensively on the same day in training camp but Coen envisions that happening more in-season with “maybe a third-down day, in-season, where he’s playing receiver, but he has to go get some reps on defense...I don’t see us doing that any time soon.” The Jaguars head coach’s comments indicate Hunter will primarily be a wide receiver while slowly getting some time with the defense leading up to the season. As a defensive back, he may be used more situationally on third downs and other scenarios. Fantasy managers can pencil Hunter in as a wide receiver first, though there will be cases down the road where he will play defensively.
Panthers coach Dave Canales said TE Tommy Tremble (back) had surgery last week and is expected to not be ready for the start of training camp.
Tremble re-signed with the Panthers early this offseason after finishing his rookie deal out as mostly a blocking tight end. He’s expected to start camp on the PUP list. We’ll keep an eye on this one as August rolls around, but given the optimistic initial timeline, Tremble probably isn’t at risk of missing much time once the season starts.
D. Orlando Ledbetter reports Kyle Pitts is not at Falcons OTAs.
It wouldn’t be overly surprising if Pitts was rankled at heading into the fifth-year option of his rookie deal without an extension, but this is the first we’ve heard of him missing any time and so we shouldn’t jump to conclusions. Entering his age-25 season, Pitts is a low-end TE1 at best for fantasy purposes. Given how little time Michael Penix Jr. got with the starters last year, it would probably have helped Pitts’ cause to be working with the young quarterback as much as possible this offseason.
Lions signed LB Zach Cunningham.
Terms weren’t announced. The former Texans stalwart has become a journeyman, spending 2022 with the Titans, 2023 with the Eagles, and 2024 with the Broncos. He didn’t start any games in Denver last year. He’ll play a role for the Lions in camp as they deal with Alex Anzalone holding out.