The NFL Week 9 Best Bets got off to a real nice start as we not only hit with taking the Steelers against
the spread, but we also nailed the under and went 3-1 on our Thursday Night Football player props. But
now we look ahead to Sunday’s action and it starts real early with a 9:30am ET kickoff for the Miami
Dolphins/Kansas City Chiefs game in Frankfurt, Germany. It should be one of the better games this week
and we’ve got a few exciting match-ups. The question is…which ones do we want to bet?

 


NFL Week 9 Best Bets:
Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs (Frankfurt, Germany)

There is far too much talk of the Dolphins not beating a team over .500 since Week 3 of the 2022 season
and not enough of Tyreek Hill’s revenge-game narrative. OK, I’m just playing around, but the first part is
definitely true. People are bringing that little nugget to the forefront of so many conversations, that it
immediately tilts me towards taking Miami. But I don’t even need to be contrarian when you look at
what this Dolphins offense can do. The Chiefs defense has had its moments, but stopping the Fins is not
an easy task. On the other side, find a way to neutralize Travis Kelce and you’re basically cutting off one
of Patrick Mahomes’ legs. Can Vic Fangio figure it out? Yes he can.


Pick: Dolphins +1.5 (-110)

Seattle Seahawks at Baltimore Ravens

There are too many similarities between the Seattle defense and the Lions defense to not make you
think the Seahawks could be in more trouble than some think. Strict zone coverage in the secondary and
very little blitzing. That was how Lamar Jackson carved up Detroit two weeks ago. Arizona was in man-
coverage for at least half the dropbacks last week and that’s what jammed up the passing game. Of
course, who needs one when the Gus Bus is pushing it all across the goal line himself? Yes, Seattle has
Jamal Adams, Devin Witherspoon has been fantastic and they just added Leonard Williams, but a
quarterback of Jackson’s caliber should be able to work through a system regardless of the names on
the jerseys. We also really like the Ravens defense and dislike Geno Smith with his five INTs over the last
three games.


Pick: Ravens -6 (-110)

New York Giants at Las Vegas Raiders

When a team fires its coach midseason, more often than not, that team either wins outright or at least
covers the spread. For the actual data, our friends over at The Action Network did a little digging and
brought us this little nugget from October of last season: “32 teams have fired their coach during the
regular season since 2003. Those teams have gone 15-17 straight up (SU) and 17-15 against the spread
(ATS). A 46.9% SU win rate might not look great, but those teams had an 84-229-2 record (26.8%) prior
to the head coaching change. They also compiled a 116-193-5 ATS (37.5%) record prior to the coaching
change.” The Raiders are either gonna win one for their old coach because they loved Josh McDaniels or
they’re going to prove that he was the problem and not them. Either way…

Pick: Raiders -1.5 (-110)

Favorite NFL Week 9 Player Props:

*all lines & odds courtesy of BetMGM