NFL DFS Week 18 Dart Board: Top Value Picks for DraftKings & Top Value Picks for FanDuel
Published: Jan 07, 2024
If you have reached the NFL Week 18 DFS Dart Board. then I would hope you have already read my introduction to the NFL Week 18 DFS Playbook which should address the plays you are about to sift through. If not, go back and read it. If so, allow me to reiterate that I will focus on my cash game lineups more this week, because there are so many different directions to take with regard to GPP tournament lineups. People are going to go bonkers over some of the strangest plays this week and while some of those will be found here in the DFS bargain bin we call the Dart Board, keep in mind that you're going to see some seriously weird-looking lineups. That's great for us in cash games, because we know how to build zero-fat, high-floor lineups, but when the random plays start hitting – and some of them will – it's going to create havoc in the GPP universe. We constantly talk about good chalk versus bad chalk and that will be 100-percent on display here. For example, with what the NFL Week 18 DFS Ownership Projections are saying, San Francisco 49ers running back Jordan Mason is going to be highly-owned this week. That's fine for our cash game plays as his salary will help us fit CeeDee Lamb, but what is the ceiling for a thurd-string running back running behind an offensive line loaded with back-ups? Yes, he's facing a Los Angeles Rams team sitting all of its starters, but does this sound like someone we're expecting 100 yards and a touchdown from? I'm not so sure. So just keep all of that in mind when you're building your lineups. Cash games, play it safe. Have your fun with the GPP tournaments and invest in the right guys.
If you're new to Fantasy Alarm, the DFS Dart Board is an add-on to the Playbook that I started several years ago. It came about when I was building GPP lineups and realized I needed more salary relief. As I dug through my notes to see who stood out the most among those players at a more affordable price, it hit me. When I put players in the Playbook, I am thinking primarily about cash lineup plays -- guys with a high floor who I could conceivably put into my core-group and build a lineup around. After those players, I would mix in a handful of guys who had boatloads of upside and were in soft match-ups, but I wasn’t paying as much attention to their salary as I should have. And that's where the Dart Board came into play.
Occasionally you may see a min-priced QB or TE in here, but more often than not, this space is reserved for running backs and wide receivers who are below $6,000 on FanDuel or $5,000 or lower on DraftKings. Also, while we call this a Dart Board, keep in mind that every player has been carefully researched. We're not up here picking players all willy-nilly, desperately hoping they hit. We're looking for the cheapest bargains possible who still have the strongest potential to give you at least a 3-5x return on what you pay.
All set? Great. Let's get to it and while you do, maybe give a listen to this week's NFL Week 18 DFS Show with me & Jon Impemba!
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