NFL DFS Week 15 Dart Board: Top Value Picks For DraftKings & FanDuel
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Published: Dec 15, 2024
UPDATED: Sunday, Dec. 15 at 8:20am ET
NFL Week 15 is here and we are super-excited to start building some winning DFS lineups! The DFS Playbook is live, we've identified some of our favorite plays and now it's time to start mining for some value picks.
Welcome to the Week 15 NFL DFS Dart Board! We're not just looking for players who are sitting near the bottom of the pricing tiers. They also have to have high upside. We need strong opportunities on the field and maybe even a little under-the-radar vibe as well. If we want squeeze guys like Josh Allen and Derrick Henry into our lineups, we're going to need to find some legitimate pay-downs, so that's the focus of this piece.
NFL DFS Week 15 Dart Board Preview
Safe to assume that you've already read through the Playbook? I hope so. We have a number of injuries we are currently monitoring and while we never wish injury on anyone, I'm not going to thumb my nose at the potential value they can open up. Last week, Kenneth Walker was officially ruled out on Saturday, we locked Zach Charbonnet into all of our lineups and, well, you know how that worked out. We'll continue to monitor all the latest news and keep this piece and the Playbook fully updated.
Also, be sure to check in with the DFS Ownership Projections. Like I said, the Dart Board isn't just about price. If we can find a cheap “free square” for our cash lineups, you know that's the move.
Top Value DFS Picks – Week 15: DraftKings & FanDuel
QB Coach | RB Coach | WR Coach | TE Coach | DST Coach | Watch List | Dart Board
REMOVED: Tyjae Spears – Tony Pollard is expected to play, according to Adam Schefter
Pos (Click to sort ascending) | Player (Click to sort ascending) | Matchup (Click to sort ascending) | DK (Click to sort ascending) | FD (Click to sort ascending) |
---|---|---|---|---|
RB | Justice Hill | BAL @ NYG Sun 1:00 | 4800 | 5600 |
I know lots of people are still tying to make Keaton Mitchell a thing, but Hill has been the direct back-up to Derrick Henry since the season opened and should the Ravens go to their back-ups, I see Hill getting the majority of the close-out reps. If you wanted to go Mitchell, you certainly can as he is at the same price, but I'll side with the guy who is already up to speed. Game Type: GPP Weather: Cloudy | ||||
RB | Jaleel McLaughlin | IND @ DEN Sun 4:25 | 4700 | 5000 |
He's led the Broncos in carries in each of the last two weeks and while this backfield remains a hot mess, someone has to get the work. And no, I'm not buying Marvin Mims as a lead ball-carrier. If you are building 20-plus lineups, McLaughlin might be worth some exposure as the Colts are allowing the second-most rushing yards per game and have allowed 14 rushing touchdowns. They also rank 17th in DVOA against running back pass-plays. Game Type: GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
WR | Jalen McMillan | TB @ LAC Sun 4:25 | 3700 | 5500 |
His two touchdowns last week certainly put him on the radar. The match-up against the Chargers won't be easy, but if his seven targets last week are an indication of what's to come, we have to pay attention. We've been waiting for someone to step up and fill that Chris Godwin role and McMillan was one of the guys we were interested in when that injury first happened. Game Type: GPP Weather: Partly sunny | ||||
WR | Allen Lazard | NYJ @ JAC Sun 1:00 | 4300 | 5000 |
Right now Jon Impemba is rolling his eyes, but you cannot ignore Aaron Rodgers' real BFF. In his first game back from IR, Lazard played 78% of the snaps and while he only saw one target in that game, I expect him to play a larger role as Rodgers looks to pad his stats against a super-soft Jaguars defense. Game Type: GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
WR | Dyami Brown | WAS @ NO Sun 1:00 | 3100 | 4900 |
With Noah Brown out, the Commanders are in dire need of someone to step up and be the WR2. Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz will likely see the majority of targets, but Brown is expected to play a much bigger role in the offense. After Noah Brown got hurt, Dyami's snap share increased by about 25-percent from where it usually was and he finished with the second-most targets among the team's wideouts. Game Type: GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
WR | Kevin Austin | WAS @ NO Sun 1:00 | 3200 | 4700 |
I was pushing the Austin narrative last week and it didn't quite pan out, but this week could be a lot different. With Marshon Lattimore likely spending the majority of his time watching out for MVS, Austin will be seeing a lot more Benjamin St-Juste and anyone who has listened to me in the past knows just how little I respect St-Juste as a cover corner. Game Type: GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
TE | Brenton Strange | NYJ @ JAC Sun 1:00 | 2500 | 4600 |
We'll definitely be monitoring the DFS Ownership Projections because Strange could end up a super-popular pick and possible cash-game pay-down. With Evan Engram out, everyone will look to Strange and while I don't love the match-up against the Jets defense, if this is a cash game free square, we have to at least consider it. Game Type: GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy |
Justice Hill, RB | ||||
I know lots of people are still tying to make Keaton Mitchell a thing, but Hill has been the direct back-up to Derrick Henry since the season opened and should the Ravens go to their back-ups, I see Hill getting the majority of the close-out reps. If you wanted to go Mitchell, you certainly can as he is at the same price, but I'll side with the guy who is already up to speed. Game Type: GPP Weather: Cloudy | ||||
He's led the Broncos in carries in each of the last two weeks and while this backfield remains a hot mess, someone has to get the work. And no, I'm not buying Marvin Mims as a lead ball-carrier. If you are building 20-plus lineups, McLaughlin might be worth some exposure as the Colts are allowing the second-most rushing yards per game and have allowed 14 rushing touchdowns. They also rank 17th in DVOA against running back pass-plays. Game Type: GPP Weather: Sunny | ||||
Jalen McMillan, WR | ||||
His two touchdowns last week certainly put him on the radar. The match-up against the Chargers won't be easy, but if his seven targets last week are an indication of what's to come, we have to pay attention. We've been waiting for someone to step up and fill that Chris Godwin role and McMillan was one of the guys we were interested in when that injury first happened. Game Type: GPP Weather: Partly sunny | ||||
Allen Lazard, WR | ||||
Right now Jon Impemba is rolling his eyes, but you cannot ignore Aaron Rodgers' real BFF. In his first game back from IR, Lazard played 78% of the snaps and while he only saw one target in that game, I expect him to play a larger role as Rodgers looks to pad his stats against a super-soft Jaguars defense. Game Type: GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
Dyami Brown, WR | ||||
With Noah Brown out, the Commanders are in dire need of someone to step up and be the WR2. Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz will likely see the majority of targets, but Brown is expected to play a much bigger role in the offense. After Noah Brown got hurt, Dyami's snap share increased by about 25-percent from where it usually was and he finished with the second-most targets among the team's wideouts. Game Type: GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
Kevin Austin, WR | ||||
I was pushing the Austin narrative last week and it didn't quite pan out, but this week could be a lot different. With Marshon Lattimore likely spending the majority of his time watching out for MVS, Austin will be seeing a lot more Benjamin St-Juste and anyone who has listened to me in the past knows just how little I respect St-Juste as a cover corner. Game Type: GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy | ||||
Brenton Strange, TE | ||||
We'll definitely be monitoring the DFS Ownership Projections because Strange could end up a super-popular pick and possible cash-game pay-down. With Evan Engram out, everyone will look to Strange and while I don't love the match-up against the Jets defense, if this is a cash game free square, we have to at least consider it. Game Type: GPP Weather: Mostly cloudy |