Updated: Sunday, Dec 10 at 8:10am ET

At this point in time, your NFL Week 14 DFS research has led you to some amazing plays this week. Christian McCaffrey against the Seattle Seahawks? Yes, please! Justin Jefferson returns to action for the Minnesota Vikings? I gotta have me some of that in my GPP lineups, right? And how about this Buffalo Bills/Kansas City Chiefs game? The plays are as strong as they are abundant. The only problem is you can't fit these guys into your lineups without some premium NFL Week 14 DFS bargains. And I'm not just talking about throwing some random low-priced guy in there. You need someone who has a clear path to carries and/or targets. You need someone who has the upside to break a big, long touchdowns. Or maybe you just need someone who doesn't cost an arm and a leg and can provide you with a strong enough floor that even if he doesn't get into the end zone, he won't kill your GPP lineups with a snowflake emoji. Whatever the case, we've got you covered here with the NFL Week 14 DFS Dart Board.

 

 

If you're new to Fantasy Alarm, the DFS Dart Board is an add-on to the Playbook that I started several years ago. It came about when I was building GPP lineups and realized I needed more salary relief. As I dug through my notes to see who stood out the most among those players at a more affordable price, it hit me. When I put players in the Playbook, I am thinking primarily about cash lineup plays -- guys with a high floor who I could conceivably put into my core-group and build a lineup around. After those players, I would mix in a handful of guys who had boatloads of upside and were in soft match-ups, but I wasn’t paying as much attention to their salary as I should have. And that's where the Dart Board came into play.

Occasionally you may see a min-priced QB or TE in here, but more often than not, this space is reserved for running backs and wide receivers who are below $6,000 on FanDuel or $5,000 or lower on DraftKings. Also, while we call this a Dart Board, keep in mind that every player has been carefully researched. We're not up here picking players all willy-nilly, desperately hoping they hit. We're looking for the cheapest bargains possible who still have the strongest potential to give you at least a 3-5x return on what you pay.

All set? Great. Let's get to it and while you do, maybe give a listen to this week's NFL Week 14 DFS Show with me & Jon Impemba!

Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
RBClyde Edwards-HelaireCAR @ NO Sun 1:0042005500

Pete Sweeney of ArrowheadPricde.com reported that Chiefs coach Andy Reid confirmed that CEH is indeed the next man up, so he immediately gets the first look for us, at least on FanDuel with its half-point PPR scoring. It shouldn't come as much of a surprise as Isiah Pacheco was averaging 17 carries per game and CEH is built more for a bruising rushing attack than Jerick McKinnon is, especially with McKinnon coming off a two-game absence due to a groin injury. The Bills rank 22nd in DVOA against the run and are allowing an average of 116.7 rushing yards per game, so if we are to expect the Chiefs to continue utilizing their ground attack sans Pacheco, then CEH is going to be leaned on. He'll save you a boatload of money in some lineups, though I'm hesitant to use him in a Chiefs stack unless I'm just stacking this game.

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Sunny
RBJerick McKinnonBUF @ KC Sun 4:2548005300

And here's the pivot if you want to stack the Chiefs on DK and get some cheap pass-catching points into your lineup. While McKinnon has missed the last couple of games with an injury, he is not on the injury report at all and we all know how much the Chiefs have utilized him in the passing game. He was seeing close to a 30-percent snap-share when both Pacheco and CEH were on the field and I expect that number to rise significantly, especially if this game does become the proverbial shootout. Don't let Andy Reid's comments about who the next man up is, because we know if the Bills jump out to any sort of a lead, who the back on the field for KC will be.

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Sunny
WRQuentin JohnstonDEN @ LAC Sun 4:2540005700

Last week we wanted to pivot to Jalen Guyton so badly, but it was still Johnston who garnered the majority of snaps and targets. With Joshua Palmer not being activated and given this match-up against Denver, I'll give QJ one more look in the hopes that he can get some semblance of separation from coverage and can put up solid point totals for us whether he scores a touchdown or not. The potential game script has me looking t him probably a little more than I should, but even if he only gives us five catches for 52 yards again, I'd be very happy with it.

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Sunny
WRJonathan MingoPHI @ DAL Sun 8:2035005500

You've probably heard me talk about the increased role for Mingo and if you haven't, allow me to direct you to my most recent column in the New York Post. The primary excerpt to take away from the whole this is, “the Panthers are not building their future on the back of 33-year-old Adam Thielen, and they obviously have no further interest in Terrace Marshall Jr. That puts Mingo front-and-center, and his 16 targets, which he’s turned into 10 catches for 128 yards over the past two games, are exactly what you are looking for in a playoff bench stash,” except in this case, we're not doing any stashing. We're just playing him at this tasty delish discount.

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Mostly clear
WRCedric TillmanJAC @ CLE Sun 1:0034005400

So in the Playbook, I said I would look at Elijah Moore on if Joe Flacco is the QB and that stands here for Tillman as well. I like seeing the Browns increase his snap share so significantly over the last five games and now seeing him garner 11 targets over the last two games makes me smile even more. Of course, we also need Amari Cooper to sit in addition to Flacco starting for this to really take off, but if the stars align for us, we could have a real nice diamond in the rough.

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Cloudy
WRMarquez Valdes-ScantlingCAR @ NO Sun 1:0030005200

Fresh out of the Watch List, baby! No one is going to play this guy. No one. And why would they after watching him drop back-to-back touchdown catches over the last two weeks? OK, maybe the last one wasn't entirely his fault, but the first one is still fresh in everyone's minds. But we all know Buffalo is struggling with their outside coverage and they actually rank dead-last in DVOA against the opposing WR2. The price tag is fantastic and while we will only look at MVS for GPP lineups, it should be a spectacular payoff. Just ask Richard from Chicago who you probably heard on Tuesday's Fantasy Alarm Show on SiriusXM. 

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Sunny
WRParker WashingtonJAC @ CLE Sun 1:0030004100

LATE ADD – With news that the weather is looking better in Cleveland, we'll add Washington to the mix here in the Dart Board, especially if you're looking for a pay-down that could still give you a decent floor. He saw a near-60-percent snap share filling in for Christian Kirk last week and caught all six of his targets, including one red zone target caught for a touchdown. We're not sure if it's going to be Trevor Lawrence or C.J. Beathard under center, but Washington should work with either as there is likely to be a lean on the short-passing game to get the ball out of whichever QB's hands as quickly as possible. Some risk, yes, but that's what these plays are usually about anyway.

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Cloudy
TEKylen GransonIND @ CIN Sun 1:0026004700

Another Watch List mention – here's your TE dart-throw. Granson sees about a 35-40-percent snap share and he is routinely targeted in the passing game. I've spoken to Coop about the TE snap shares and the targets Will Mallory has seen and he still leans in the same direction as I do and that is Granson. Super-deep dart-throw, but if we're legitimately trying to get McCaffrey, Keenan Allen, Kelce and maybe Josh Allen into a lineup, he helps make it work..

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Cloudy

Pete Sweeney of ArrowheadPricde.com reported that Chiefs coach Andy Reid confirmed that CEH is indeed the next man up, so he immediately gets the first look for us, at least on FanDuel with its half-point PPR scoring. It shouldn't come as much of a surprise as Isiah Pacheco was averaging 17 carries per game and CEH is built more for a bruising rushing attack than Jerick McKinnon is, especially with McKinnon coming off a two-game absence due to a groin injury. The Bills rank 22nd in DVOA against the run and are allowing an average of 116.7 rushing yards per game, so if we are to expect the Chiefs to continue utilizing their ground attack sans Pacheco, then CEH is going to be leaned on. He'll save you a boatload of money in some lineups, though I'm hesitant to use him in a Chiefs stack unless I'm just stacking this game.

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Sunny

And here's the pivot if you want to stack the Chiefs on DK and get some cheap pass-catching points into your lineup. While McKinnon has missed the last couple of games with an injury, he is not on the injury report at all and we all know how much the Chiefs have utilized him in the passing game. He was seeing close to a 30-percent snap-share when both Pacheco and CEH were on the field and I expect that number to rise significantly, especially if this game does become the proverbial shootout. Don't let Andy Reid's comments about who the next man up is, because we know if the Bills jump out to any sort of a lead, who the back on the field for KC will be.

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Sunny

Last week we wanted to pivot to Jalen Guyton so badly, but it was still Johnston who garnered the majority of snaps and targets. With Joshua Palmer not being activated and given this match-up against Denver, I'll give QJ one more look in the hopes that he can get some semblance of separation from coverage and can put up solid point totals for us whether he scores a touchdown or not. The potential game script has me looking t him probably a little more than I should, but even if he only gives us five catches for 52 yards again, I'd be very happy with it.

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Sunny

You've probably heard me talk about the increased role for Mingo and if you haven't, allow me to direct you to my most recent column in the New York Post. The primary excerpt to take away from the whole this is, “the Panthers are not building their future on the back of 33-year-old Adam Thielen, and they obviously have no further interest in Terrace Marshall Jr. That puts Mingo front-and-center, and his 16 targets, which he’s turned into 10 catches for 128 yards over the past two games, are exactly what you are looking for in a playoff bench stash,” except in this case, we're not doing any stashing. We're just playing him at this tasty delish discount.

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Mostly clear

So in the Playbook, I said I would look at Elijah Moore on if Joe Flacco is the QB and that stands here for Tillman as well. I like seeing the Browns increase his snap share so significantly over the last five games and now seeing him garner 11 targets over the last two games makes me smile even more. Of course, we also need Amari Cooper to sit in addition to Flacco starting for this to really take off, but if the stars align for us, we could have a real nice diamond in the rough.

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Cloudy

Fresh out of the Watch List, baby! No one is going to play this guy. No one. And why would they after watching him drop back-to-back touchdown catches over the last two weeks? OK, maybe the last one wasn't entirely his fault, but the first one is still fresh in everyone's minds. But we all know Buffalo is struggling with their outside coverage and they actually rank dead-last in DVOA against the opposing WR2. The price tag is fantastic and while we will only look at MVS for GPP lineups, it should be a spectacular payoff. Just ask Richard from Chicago who you probably heard on Tuesday's Fantasy Alarm Show on SiriusXM. 

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Sunny

LATE ADD – With news that the weather is looking better in Cleveland, we'll add Washington to the mix here in the Dart Board, especially if you're looking for a pay-down that could still give you a decent floor. He saw a near-60-percent snap share filling in for Christian Kirk last week and caught all six of his targets, including one red zone target caught for a touchdown. We're not sure if it's going to be Trevor Lawrence or C.J. Beathard under center, but Washington should work with either as there is likely to be a lean on the short-passing game to get the ball out of whichever QB's hands as quickly as possible. Some risk, yes, but that's what these plays are usually about anyway.

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Cloudy

Another Watch List mention – here's your TE dart-throw. Granson sees about a 35-40-percent snap share and he is routinely targeted in the passing game. I've spoken to Coop about the TE snap shares and the targets Will Mallory has seen and he still leans in the same direction as I do and that is Granson. Super-deep dart-throw, but if we're legitimately trying to get McCaffrey, Keenan Allen, Kelce and maybe Josh Allen into a lineup, he helps make it work..

Game Type: GPP
Weather: Cloudy