NFL SNF Best Player Prop Picks: Falcons vs. Commanders - Sunday, 12/29
Just two weeks after being featured on Monday Night Football, the Atlanta Falcons have yet another prime time game on Sunday Night Football this weekend. They’ll be in the nation’s capital taking on the Washington Commanders, and we’ve broken down the matchup to provide our best NFL SNF player prop picks.
After we also provide some overall, popular Falcons vs. Commanders player props, we’ll also take you through the few steps needed to snag a huge $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook bonus!
Best NFL Sunday Night Football Player Prop Picks
Commanders rookie QB Jayden Daniels has been making waves since the start of the season, but perhaps his most stellar performance came just this past Sunday. En route to a comeback 36-33 win over the Philadelphia Eagles, the LSU product threw for five touchdowns!
On the flip side, but at the same position, we’ll see another rookie QB with the Falcons now starting Michael Penix after benching former starting QB Kirk Cousins. That sets us up for quite an interesting matchup, and with a potential playoff matchup, NFL SNF player prop picks may be the way to go instead. With that in mind, let’s take you through the two spots we found to attack for this NFC clash.
Falcons vs. Commanders Player Props: Michael Penix Under 200.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
Let’s get our Falcons vs. Commanders player props started with the Atlanta side of the matchup. We’ve already noted the rookie QB showdown, so it’s only fitting that we begin things there.
Penix Jr. got his first career start last weekend in what was an absolutely dominant 34-7 victory. Of course, it was largely carried by the defense, which scored multiple touchdowns themselves. That’s not too surprised given that the Giants are sitting at just 2-13 on the season and currently hold the #1 overall draft pick.
In other words, this is a massive step up in class for Penix Jr. So, this is not about us picking on a rookie, but more so relying on the Commanders defense. Specifically, Washington’s pass defense.
That unit has been among the biggest year-to-year turnarounds that most fans wouldn’t even think about. After allowing the absolute most passing yards per game just last season, they are now allowing the fourth-fewest! We’ll admit that they haven’t faced gunslingers week after week, but that’s not Penix Jr.’s calling card anyway.
Like Daniels for Washington, he’s known as a dual threat. That factor, along with the rest of the above, we’re kicking off our NFL SNF player prop picks with Michael Penix under 200.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Falcons vs. Commanders Player Prop Bets: Zach Ertz Anytime TD Scorer (+190 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
Flipping to the Washington side of the matchup allows us to provide you with some incredible value for our NFL SNF player prop picks. We’re grabbing some plus-money odds by targeting Commanders TE Zach Ertz to find the end zone.
He’s primed and ready to do so after Daniels has said that he relies on the veteran, and after battling through some injuries, this is a get-right game for the former Eagle. Prior to these last two weeks in which he’s had some off games, Ertz had scored in three straight games.
Two of those came agaisnt the Tennessee Titans and his former team in Philly; those are the top two pass defenses in the NFL. Although the Falcons have had the luxury of facing the Giants and Las Vegas Raiders in their last two games, let’s not forget that they allowed FIVE touchdown passes just before that to the Minnesota Vikings.
In other words, Atlanta still has their struggles when facing playoff-caliber competition. Let’s also not forget that Daniels just threw five touchdown passes himself last week against the Eagles, which is again, a top-two pass defense in the NFL.
As fantastic as WR Terry McLaurin has been, we’re adding to our NFL SNF player prop picks with Zach Ertz to score an anytime touchdown (+XXX at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Sunday Night Football Player Props At BetMGM Sportsbook
You could also consider adding to our NFL SNF player prop picks above with some of the Falcons vs. Commanders player props at BetMGM Sportsbook below:
Passing Yards:
- Michael Penix: Over 231.5 (-115) vs. Under 231.5 (-115)
- Jayden Daniels: Over 220.5 (-115) vs. Under 220.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards:
- Bijan Robinson: Over 50.5 (-115) vs. Under 50.5 (-115)
- Brian Robinson: Over 73.5 (-115) vs. Under 73.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards:
- Drake London: Over 71.5 (-115) vs. Under 71.5 (-115)
- Kyle Pitts: Over 30.5 (-115) vs. Under 30.5 (-115)
- Terry McLaurin: Over 68.5 (-115) vs. Under 68.5 (-115)
- Dyami Brown: Over 24.5 (-115) vs. Under 24.5 (-115)
Anytime TD Scorer:
- Bijan Robinson: -190
How To Bet On NFL Week 17 Sunday Night Football at BetMGM Sportsbook & Claim Your $1.500 Bonus With Promo Code ALARM
You’re welcome to fade or follow our NFL SNF player prop picks, but no matter what you’re looking to bet on, do so with $1,500 worth of protection from BetMGM with these steps:
- Sign up here for a new BetMGM account
- Enter the BetMGM promo code ALARM
- Make a first-time deposit of $10 or more
- Wager $10+ and up to $1,500 on anything
Having that initial wager protected means that if it loses, you’ll receive a full refund in bonus bets! If it wins, you’ll still be paid out normally, but first, be sure to create your new account today using the BetMGM promo code ALARM!
Player News
Cowboys signed OL Hakeem Adeniji, formerly of the Browns, to a contract.
The former 2020 sixth-round pick last took regular season snaps in 2022. Adeniji spent the 2023 season serving as a part-time special teams player, and although he was technically on the Browns’ 2024 roster, he missed the full season on injured reserve. Adeniji will likely handle a deep-backup/special teams role in Dallas this year.
Free agent QB Aaron Rodgers said on The Pat McAfee Show that he is currently focusing on matters in his personal life while mulling his future in the NFL.
In a wide-ranging discussion with McAfee, Rodgers said that he is still contemplating whether to play in 2025 or retire this offseason, though he has settled on a $10 million asking price, should he choose to stick around. Rodgers repeatedly, yet ambiguously, emphasized that caring for troubled members of his “inner circle” has been his offseason priority. Rodgers spoke positively of his recent visit with the Steelers, praising head coach Mike Tomlin, OC Arthur Smith, GM Omar Khan, QB coach Tom Arth and WR DK Metcalf, whom he called “a specimen” and a “great dude.” Rodgers downplayed reports about pitching Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell on a union, saying much ado has been made about two old “friends” remaining in regular contact. The free agent QB also notably complimented Giants head coach Brian Daboll’s “beautiful football mind” but kept Giants-talk relatively succinct. Rodgers made clear that the rapidly approaching 2025 NFL Draft will have no bearing on his decision-making timeline, and he understands if the Steelers determine that they must move on without him. In short, it appears as though Rodgers will either sign with the Steelers or move on from football. The enigmatic quarterback gave few indications as to which direction he is leaning.
FOX NFL’s Jordan Schultz reports “interested teams believe Philadelphia would be open to future picks” for TE Dallas Goedert.
Goedert has become a popular trade candidate in the rumor mill. He is on the final year of his current contract and is undoubtedly looking for a new deal. The Eagles, on the other hand, haven’t made much noise about extending him and have generally tried to get out ahead of new contracts in recent years. The timing of this report suggests the Eagles are still trying to field offers for Goedert and the price may be dropping.
Browns GM Andrew Berry said Alabama QB Jalen Milroe has “rare physical talent.”
Berry continued with his praise of Milroe’s physical traits, saying he is maybe the only quarterback faster than Lamar Jackson. Milroe ran for 729 yards and a jaw-dropping 20 touchdowns in his final season at Alabama. Though the Browns don’t appear to be taking a quarterback with the No. 2 overall pick, they are up again at No. 33 and could even package that selection with another pick to get back into the first round. The Browns have held visits with all of the major quarterback prospects, including Milroe. They currently have Joe Flacco and Kenny Pickett on the roster, neither of whom is a long-term option.
Browns GM Andrew Berry said Colorado CB/WR Travis Hunter’s skill set is best suited for wide receiver.
Berry still didn’t rule out Hunter playing both positions at the next level. He also noted that he doesn’t think Hunter needs to be a two-way player to be worth the No. 2 overall pick that Cleveland holds. Hunter is currently the favorite to be taken with the second pick ahead of Penn State EDGE Abdul Carter and Colorado QB Shedeur Sanders. Giants GM Joe Schoen talked about Hunter yesterday as well. He noted the risks of playing Hunter on both sides of the ball but sounded more than willing to give it a shot. Between Schoen, Berry, and other reports, all signs point to Hunter at least getting some run on both sides of the ball, though not as much as he did in college. The receiver-needy Browns would likely deploy him as a wide receiver first, much to the pleasure of the fantasy football community.
CBS Sports’ Aditi Kinkhabwala says free agent QB Aaron Rodgers “is not going to play just for the sake of playing.”
Kinkhabwala has had conversations with Rodgers and executives around the league trying to sign him. Based on those conversations, she says, “it’s extremely clear Rodgers is not going to play just for the sake of playing.” He remains unsigned with the 2025 NFL Draft on the horizon and multiple teams needing quarterback help. The Steelers are the most likely fit, but it seems Rodgers won’t force it if he does not find a good fit. This explains why Rodgers has been interested in the Vikings and has not yet signed. The 41-year-old may be headed for retirement if a situation he prefers, like the Vikings, does not want him back. His options remain limited and Rodgers may call it a career if he still does not like his options later in the offseason.