NFL Divisional Round Best Player Prop Picks: AJ Brown, Khalil Shakir Sunday, 1/19

While there may only be four games this weekend and eight teams remaining, the stage is heightened with the NFL Divisional Round. It also includes two teams that we didn’t get to see in action last weekend, so to have you covered from all angles for the second of the two days, we’ve got our best Divisional Sunday player prop picks for you.
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Best NFL Divisional Sunday Player Prop Picks
With the Sunday Divisional Round slate featuring two rematches of the regular season, there is so much to discuss, analyze and break down. That also helps target the best Divisional Sunday player prop picks possible, and could even be the preferred approach given some polarizing point spreads.
The Rams dominated on Monday Night Football, but are large road underdogs, and with the Ravens and Bills both dominating Wild Card Weekend, we have a game at nearly a pick ‘em! On top of all that, the earlier matchups from the regular season were both blowouts. Therefore, let’s get into our NFL Sunday player props to provide you with alternative approaches.
Rams vs. Eagles Player Props: AJ Brown Longest Reception Over 23.5 Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
It’s only fitting to begin our Divisional Sunday player prop picks with the first of the two games, which is in Philadelphia with the Eagles hosting the LA Rams. As mentioned, the Rams rolled in their Wild Card win, and Philly largely did the same by controlling their game over the Green Bay Packers.
So, which side should be the target for this Divisional Round clash? We’re going to stick with the home team and the topic of some memes this week. Of course, that’s Eagles WR AJ Brown and him reading a book on the sideline. Such a wild story will likely have him the target of many Divisional Sunday player prop picks, but our approach is a bit unique.
While we would suggest adding over 4.5 receptions to your NFL Sunday player props, that comes with quite a juicy price, and we see some great value here. There are several reasons for that, beginning with the fact that LA’s average yard per reception allowed is tied for the third-highest.
That corresponds perfectly to the explosive play potential of Brown, as he ranks among the best in the NFL in deep receptions. His average reception length is the fourth-highest in the league, and we know he’ll be looking to avenge a lackluster Wild Card performance. Even with the Rams having a blowout win, they still allowed several deep passes.
The Minnesota Vikings had three players with receptions of over 22 yards, and the best part of all - when these teams met in Week 12, Brown had a long reception of 28 yards. So, we’ll be starting our Divisional Sunday player prop picks with AJ Brown's longest reception over 23.5 yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Ravens vs. Bills Player Props: Khalil Shakir Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
For Wild Card Weekend, the Ravens and Bills both came through for us, as we targeted both QBs to go over their rush attempts prop. That’s quite a standard pick for Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, but we take value wherever we see it.
While those top two MVP candidates are always worth a look, we’re going to focus elsewhere for our Divisional Sunday player prop picks. Before diving in, we’d also consider Buffalo RB James Cook to stay under 59.5 rushing yards, but we’ve got another play that is much more exciting to root for than an under.
It’s still on the Bills side of the game, but in the passing game instead. That is where teams have exploited the Ravens this season, and while their pass defense has certainly been improving, WR Khalil Shakir’s receiving yardage line is simply too low in our opinion.
Fans may see that he didn’t lead the team in receiving last weekend, but that’s just surface level. Firstly, the Bills had no need to throw often in their 31-7 victory, and even still, Shakir led the team in receptions and had 61 yards to boot. When these AFC juggernauts met back in Week 4, he also easily eclipsed this number with 62 receiving yards.
He’s been able to do so with just a few receptions as well, which is why we’re avoiding a 4.5 reception line with -150 odds and opting for yardage instead. As Buffalo looks to get their revenge, we love adding to our Divisional Sunday player prop picks with Khalil Shakir over 51.5 receiving yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
NFL Divisional Sunday Player Props Player Prop Odds At BetMGM Sportsbook
It’s not just our Divisional Sunday player prop picks that are worth targeting; here are some other notable lines at BetMGM Sportsbook to check out:
Passing Yards:
- Lamar Jackson: Over 224.5 (-115) vs. Under 224.5 (-115)
- Josh Allen: Over 240.5 (-115) vs. Under 240.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards:
- Saquon Barkley: Over 107.5 (-115) vs. Under 107.5 (-115)
- Derrick Henry: Over 96.5 (-115) vs. Under 96.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards:
- AJ Brown: Over 69.5 (-115) vs. Under 69.5 (-115)
- Puka Nacua: Over 87.5 (-115) vs. Under 87.5 (-115)
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Player News
Dolphins signed No. 13 overall pick DT Kenneth Grant to a four-year contract.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Grant will sign his contract today. The former Michigan defensive tackle is expected to fill a major void left by Christian Wilkins, who left for the Raiders in the 2024 offseason. Grant totaled 32 tackles, three sacks, and seven TFLs in his final season at Michigan and excelled at stopping the run while also generating 27 pressures in his final season, per PFF.
Beat reporter John Hendrix reports that free agent WR Donovan Peoples-Jones is among the 16 players that the Saints will host for their rookie minicamp.
Peoples-Jones last played regular season snaps with the Lions back in 2023, when he caught 13-of-24 targets for 155 yards. He is highly unlikely to return to fantasy relevance at this point but could perhaps sign on as a special teams contributor.
Titans signed fourth-round pick WR Elic Ayomanor to a four-year contract.
Ayomanor will now begin learning behind Calvin Ridley. Although Ayomanor is unlikely to find a meaningful role in year one, dynasty managers should note his status as training camp gets underway this summer. The former Stanford receiver flashed big-play ability in his two college seasons.
Buccaneers signed seventh-round pick WR Tez Johnson to a four-year contract.
Johnson will serve as a rotational deep-threat option for Baker Mayfield. His thin frame (5'10/154) simply does not lend itself to the repeated hits one incurs in a full-time role. Johnson did earn 100-plus targets in his two seasons at Oregon, though. His big-play style make him a better fit in best ball for now, pending any major on-field breakthroughs.
Giants waived DT Casey Rogers.
Rogers was a 2024 undrafted free agent and logged 33 defensive snaps for the Giants in his rookie season. He is credited with zero tackles and/or sacks. He may find his way onto another roster as a practice squad option.
Vikings signed third-round pick WR Tai Felton to a four-year contract.
Felton is quietly in play to challenge Vikings No. 3 WR Jalen Nailor in training camp. Nailor (5'11/190) caught 28-of-42 targets for 414 yards and six touchdowns in his first season as a starter last year, with the latter category buoying his fantasy productivity. Felton (6'1/183), meanwhile, caught 96-of-143 targets for 1,119 yards and nine touchdowns while averaging 2.32 yards per route run in his final college season. Fantasy managers should monitor Felton’s training camp reports this summer, as he could have a matchup-based WR5 role if everything falls into place.