Our first losing day in a week. It does happen, especially when you place two wagers on one person and he doesn’t deliver. Gradey Dick could not get off the hook for his points, and he did not record one single rebound. 

That’s the way it goes sometimes, but Chris Paul did earn over 8.5 assists yesterday. Due to the fact that it was a plus odds prop, the loss was minimal, under one unit. Today we get back on the winning track with a bang of not one, but two double unit hammers!
 

 

 

NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 11/10

11 games take place on a wild Sunday for a sports fan, and the NBA starts at 3:05 PM ET and games will be played until right before 12:00 AM ET. Today’s NBA Best Bets have three different start times but all begin in the evening. Including the Bet of the Night.

 

 


 

Warriors vs Thunder Prediction: Stephen Curry Under 23.5 Points  (-115 on BET MGM) *2.0 U Bet Of The Night

Welcome back Stepen Curry, this time as the Bet of the Night. In his most recent game against the Cavaliers we took his under at 24.5 points, and in that game he earned 12. It was wise of the books to move the line down one, he has achieved 24 or more points twice this season…. But that is it.

In his highest scoring game he played 34 minutes, 7 more than he has in any other game this season. The Cavaliers are a wonderful scoring team, and have a good defense, the eleventh fewest points per game allowed. Today the Warriors are playing THE best defense in the league, the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Thunder only allow 100.2 points per game, a throwback to the older generations of this century. This is also the Warriors fifth road game in a row, and they are playing against the best team in the Western Conference.

It could be another blowout or it could be a close game, but in both scenarios it is unlikely that Curry will go over his point total. The sportsbooks are relying on popularity and people not looking at the data to set such a high point total. Hammer this under point prop with a double unit.

 

 

 

Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction: Daniel Gafford Under 7.5 Rebounds *2.0U  (-105 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

The Dallas Mavericks travel to the Mile High City, to take on the Denver Nuggets in what could be the game of the day. There are several tempting lines to take with two of the best players in the Association dueling it out.

However Nikola Jokic, nor Luka Doncic, are the double unit prop in the game. It is Mavericks center Daniel Gafford who gets the wager today. A rare second double unit bet, on a rare under prop day, but Gafford is running into one of the best front court rebounding teams in the league.

The Nuggets allow 51.1 rebounds per game, eighth fewest in the Association. Gafford has played without Dallas’ backup center,Dereck Lively the past three games, and will likely do that again tonight. 

However it has not caused his playing time to increase substantially, about three to four minutes more per game. He has earned eight rebounds only once in the last seven games, and his line is at 6.5 across several other sportsbooks. 

Hammer the rare double unit on Gafford under 7.5 rebounds, against a center who averages over 13 rebounds per game.

 

 

 

Best NBA Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 11/10

The last game of the night is the Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers are 10.5 favorites, and the Raptors are looking to stop a three game losing streak. The last Best Bet is a same game parlay.
 

Raptors vs Lakers Prediction: Same Game Parlay - Los Angeles Lakers ML and Anthony Davis Over 28.5 Points  (+106 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

A same game parlay is suggested to remove the juice from Anthony Davis’ point proposition bet. Davis has been a scoring machine this season, and is averaging 36.2 points per game. He is reminding everyone that the USA has a great center, and he is among the elites of the NBA.

His line is set at 28.5 points against a team playing in back-to-back road games. Granted the Raptors are playing against two teams in Los Angeles, but with the Clippers now in their own arena there is some travel involved.

Meanwhile the Lakers are rested. In my expectations article at WagerAlarm I predicted that the spread wasn’t safe in the Clippers versus Raptors match, and I am not sure it is tonight. That is why there is not a teased down line, and although I was correct last game, I still do not have the confidence to take the spread on a team without their best players.
 

 

 

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