How sweet it is for all four units to hit, returning 3.2 yesterday, and bringing the column back over double digit units. Consistency is one of the keys to betting, you must bet consistently to have those days ‘you clean house’. Today is a wonderful day for NBA betting as there are nine games throughout the afternoon and evening. Today there are three prop bets in three different statistical categories for Fantasy Alarm’s NBA Best Bets. There is a prop bet in the 1:00 PM ET slate between the San Antonio Spurs and Cleveland Cavaliers. The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to Dallas to play Luka Doncic and the Mavericks, and there is a position matchup which favors a betting angle. There is also an old favorite that makes a return as the Denver Nuggets host the Detroit Pistons. 

 

NBA BET OF THE NIGHT

VICTOR WEMBANYAMA OVER 2.5 BLOCKS (+100 BetMGM)

If one of the bets today is an old favorite, Victor Wembanyama over 2.5 blocks is a new favorite. Any and every time the sportsbooks offer this line at plus money we should be taking advantage as bettors. He has covered the over on this prop in six of his last seven games played, oftentimes doing so with less than twenty-seven minutes played. He has nine blocks in the last two games and will have a massive height advantage over the Cavaliers starting five players. The rookie truly is a marvelous sensation, and although the Spurs are losing, V. Wembanyama is still special to watch. The Cavs shooting amount and scoring has recently risen. They are at 113.1 per game on the season, but have 125.0 per game in their last three, and score 114.1 at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. This should lead to more opportunities for V. Wembanyama to cover this prop of three blocks. A plus money prop for a player who has 96 blocks on the season.

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS

RUDY GOBERT OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS (-125 BetMGM)

We are doubling down on the Frenchmen today! Rudy Gobert is having a reliable, all-star level season, much like his top form while with the Utah Jazz. Excellent defense, and attacking the glass is what R. Gobert has made a career of doing. He is averaging 11.9 rebounds on the season, and has covered this prop in only two of his last six games, but that does not detour the sportsbooks from moving his line up and putting it at negative odds. The reason is the Mavericks are a horrific rebounding team. Dereck Lively II has been a breath of fresh air for the Maverick faithful, but as of now he is listed as day-to-day. Even if he does play, he does not know the tricks of the trade like R. Gobert, nor is he the physical presence that Gobert is. The Mavericks allow 55.4 rebounds per game which is third most in the Association, and they have allowed an average of 56.7 in their last three games. Dallas allows the fourth most rebounds to opposing centers and second most points. Defensive rebounds, a few offensive putbacks, including off of his own shot, and R. Gobert covers the over with ease. 

MICHAEL PORTER JR. OVER 2.5 THREE'S MADE (-115 BetMGM)

Michael Porter Jr. (MPJ) has had a dip in his production as of late. The ball is predominantly in Jamal Murray or Nikola Jokic’s hands, and if not theirs than Reggie Jackson when he is off the bench. N. Jokic’s one-two game with Aaron Gordon is also improving as N. Jokic is receiving more double-teams inside the arch. The Denver Nuggets are hosting the Detroit Pistons tonight with a 8:00 PM ET tipoff, and they will be looking for a hot start after a disappointing loss to the Orlando Magic. After the loss MPJ was very vocal about needing the ball more, and believes it will benefit the team with the ball in his hands more often. He has scored twenty-two points in two of the last three games, and has shot twenty-two threes in that span. He has made ten threes, covering this prop twice and is averaging just over thirty minutes in those three games. The Pistons allow the fifth most points to opposing small forwards, and MPJ will be sitting behind the arc waiting for passes. He could cover this prop before halftime.

 

Thank you for reading and remember to check out Fantasy Alarm for all your Fantasy and Betting needs.

Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy

*All Bets to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise