NBA Best Bets Today, 5/27: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Tuesday

The Oklahoma City Thunder held off the Minnesota Timberwolves to go up 3 - 1 in the Western Conference Finals. Oklahoma City had an early lead, and as usual, that means a win for the first-place Thunder. Minnesota lost the first quarter wager, and Oklahoma was unable to cover the -2.5. A double loss on the straight bets.
Oklahoma City won by two points, and although Shai Gilgeous-Alexander made 12 of 14 free throws, he missed his last one. That missed free throw caused the spread to be unsuccessful by 0.5 points, a brutal loss on a missed free throw from the king of free throws.
Anthony Edwards only scored 16 points on a night he made just 5 of 13 field goals. Thus, safely securing the under 27.5 points best bet from yesterday. That kept the damage to a minimum, and we look to bounce back today.
NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 5/27
All three NBA best bets today come from the thriller that is the Eastern Conference Finals.
Knicks vs Pacers Prediction: Indiana Moneyline (-135 BOOSTED to -113 on BETMGM) *BET OF THE NIGHT
The Indiana Pacers host the New York Knicks at Gainbridge Fieldhouse for game four of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Pacers took their foot off the gas for the first time in this series, and it cost them. They had a 20-point lead before halftime, allowed a 5-point run to close out the half, and ended up losing the game 106 - 100.
The road team has won every game of this series, and both the Knicks and the Pacers have proven to be great teams away from their home court. Despite that, the Pacers are slight favorites, -3.5, to win the match. Instead of taking what could be a risky spread (not one team has covered as a favorite in this series), take the moneyline on the Pacers.
The Pacers allowed the Knicks to force the game into a half-court showdown. New York made several field goals and slowed the game down in doing so. They outscored the Pacers 61 to 44 to save their hopes. Now Indiana needs to play for four quarters to go up 3 - 1 before heading back to New York, because if they lose, they will give up the home court advantage they worked hard to earn.
Indiana will need more from Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam, but that is expected. Put a unit on this best bet at BETMGM and take advantage of their 20% NBA boost. For new customers, make sure to utilize Fantasy Alarm’s promotional offer for up to $1,500 in bonus bets.
Knicks vs Pacers Prediction: Total Over 220.5 (-110 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
The total of the last game was 206, as New York played excellent defense in the second half. The Pacers' offense has been elite, averaging 117.6 points per game in the 2025 NBA playoffs. That is with the 100-point performance of game three, and the second NBA best bet today is on this game to go over the set line of 220.5 points.
New York was fortunate to score so well in the second half, as they were down 13 at halftime. The Knicks were forcing the turnaround prior to the second half, as they were once again down 20 points in a road playoff match. They have done that now three times in this postseason, displaying the tsunami-like ability of their scoring.
What is crazy about the Knicks' most recent victory is that Jalen Brunson had his worst game of the postseason. He played slightly over 30 minutes and scored just 23 points. Haliburton had his fewest assists of the series, Siakam scored just 17 points, and Aaron Nesmith made just one three (he did play through a foot injury). Everyone mentioned in this paragraph is expected to have a more productive offensive night, which should contribute to the total going over the projected line.
Game four will return to a quicker pace game, and one the Knicks might embrace. Game two’s total was 223 points, game one’s total was 273, and today’s match should exceed 220.5 points. Put a unit on this wager at FanDuel Sportsbook and make sure to utilize Fantasy Alarm’s promotional offer for new customers.
Best NBA Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 5/26
The last NBA best bet today is a player proposition on a 2025 All-Star.
Knicks vs Pacers Prediction: Pascal Siakam Over 20.5 Points (-110 on Bet365)
Pascal Siakam scored 17 points in both game one and game three, and in both of those games he played 35 or more minutes. In game two, he scored a career high 39 points but played just 33 minutes. This is not to say that there is an inverse relationship between Siakam’s time and points, but that Siakam can score when the opportunities are presented.
He will need to create his own field goals like he did in game two when he was slashing to the paint, and popping the mid game. Siakam does not attempt several threes, eight in three games, but has the capability of making them. He has scored 21 or more points in three of his last five games, and the magic number is once again eight.
In games in which Siakam made eight or more field goals, he scored 21 or more points in six of them. He scored 18 in a match in which he went 1 of 3 from the free throw line, and 1 of 4 from the three-point line, but otherwise scored 21 or more points. Look for Siakam to take advantage of the Knicks' aggressive frontcourt and force smaller players into the paint.
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Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy
*All NBA odds accurate at time of writing and NBA best bets today to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise