We have a seven-game MLB DFS main slate on Monday, May 22nd, on DraftKings and FanDuel. It’s an interesting slate that includes Coors Field with the Miami Marlins coming to town. We don’t have much elite pitching, but we have elite offenses that are very expensive, so we’re going to need to get to some cheap options in order to spend up on them. Be sure to check out all of our tools including the MLB Lineups page, MLB DFS Projections – powered by FanJections –, MLB DFS Ownership, and all of the rest of our tools HERE! Let’s dive into our favorite daily fantasy baseball value plays of the day.

 

MLB DFS Value Pitchers

Michael Lorenzen, Detroit Tigers

My problem with both value pitchers I’m suggesting is that they face off with one another, so only one can potentially win the game. That said, you only have to pick one of them and there’s merit for both. Lorenzen has looked fantastic lately as he’s notched three consecutive quality starts including his last start in which he spanned seven innings of no-run baseball while striking out seven. The strikeouts haven’t been consistent for Lorezen, but the Royals host the third highest K-rate against right-handed pitching in the league while ranking 29th in OPS and 30th in ISO. 

Brady Singer, Kansas City Royals

Things have been improving for Singer as he’s now notched two consecutive quality starts and gets to face the Tigers on Monday. The Tigers are not a good offensive team and rank in the bottom-five in basically every single offensive category against right-handed pitching. They also have a 23.6% K-rate, which ranks 11th. Singer had a career year in 2022 and has run into some bad luck this season. His BABIP of .336 should see some positive regression come his way and his xFIP is 2.5 runs lower than his ERA. This is a good spot in which we could see Singer pitch well once again.


MLB DFS Value Hitters

Bryan De La Cruz, Miami Marlins

The Marlins are down a few of their hottest hitters due to injury but De La Cruz has picked up a lot of the slack they left recently. He’s hitting .382 with a 1.227 OPS over his last 10 games while belting three homers over that span. This game is being played in Coors Field and the Rockies are throwing Chase Anderson out there. I understand he’s been good through 10 innings, but the peripheral numbers suggest otherwise. He has a 4.67 xFIP and a .107 BABIP. Those are impossible to retain a 0.00 ERA with. The regression likely comes at home tonight with De La Cruz as a primary contributor.

Teoscar Hernandez, Seattle Mariners

Just like Sunday, Teoscar Hernandez is facing another lefty in the mid 3K range and he’s in my value plays article. He’s been a menace against southpaws from a power perspective over the past couple of seasons and this year has been no different. Despite struggling really everywhere else, he has a .317 ISO against southpaws. Last year he had a .948 OPS, .363 ISO, and .413 wOBA against them. His match-up against Kyle Muller is one he and everyone else should exploit. Righties have a .403 wOBA and a .196 ISO against him this season. Gear up for the Mariners to have some ownership coming their way as a pairing with Coors or a pivot away from them.

Mickey Moniak, Los Angeles Angels

Where you exploit Tanner Houck’s weaknesses are with lefty bats. Moniak is exactly that and we could and likely will see him lead off in this spot, especially with how poorly Taylor Ward has been. Moniak has started his 2023 campaign off white hot batting .417 with a 1.273 OPS through his first eight games. I mentioned lefties are getting to Houck and they really are, posting a .334 wOBA and .224 ISO against him. If Moniak leads off here, he’s a fantastic value.

Jared Walsh, Los Angeles Angels

We’re going to double down with Angels lefty value bats because Jared Walsh is back and all he’s done during his major league career is hit right-handed pitching. Directly above in Mickey Moniak’s write-up I explained lefties are the one’s giving Tanner Houck issues. Insert Walsh there. He’s just 1-for-8 at the major league level, but he hit .440 during his rehab assignment and for his career against righties, he has an .830 OPS, .223 ISO, and .350 wOBA. I love the near min salary price point for Walsh here.

Brenton Doyle, Colorado Rockies

It’s been an explosive couple of weeks for the Rockies outfielder since getting more and more time to play. It’s honestly been that way since getting called up as he has four home runs, three doubles, one triple, and six stolen bases in his first 22 games this year. He has multiple games already in which he’s homered and stolen a base as well. He faces Edward Cabrera who’s been a reverse splits pitcher struggling to retire right-handed bats. Right-handed hitters have a .379 wOBA and .164 ISO against him while Doyle himself has posted a .395 ISO and a .414 wOBA against RHP. Sure it’s only a 45 at-bat sample, but the splits correlate well and this game is in Coors Field.

 

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