MLB DFS Value Plays April 1: Top DraftKings & FanDuel Picks
This April Fools day gives us a pretty full main slate of MLB DFS action over on FanDuel and DraftKings on this fine Saturday. There are a few games with weather concerns, so make sure you have our MLB DFS Weather Center bookmarked and that you check it prior to first pitch. Many of these games are expected to have the winds blowing out, so we could see some high-scoring games on this slate. While a few aces are toeing the rubber today like Spencer Strider and Brandon Woodruff, you don’t have to roll with one of them in your MLB DFS lineups. There are three options that are less priced that I believe can pay off big for your DFS lineups today. Spencer Steer is arguably my favorite value play of the day, as the winds are blowing out in Cincinnati and he’s facing a southpaw. While building out your lineups, be sure to check out all of our great MLB DFS tools, including our MLB lineups page, MLB daily projections, and our MLB DFS Optimizer.
MLB DFS Value Pitchers
Patrick Sandoval, Los Angeles Angels
The Angels are heavy favorites today, and Sandoval has thrown the baseball well of late. He posted a 1.23 ERA across two starts in the World Baseball Classic and this Oakland lineup is nothing to be frightened by. He has a 1.84 ERA in his career against Oakland, and in the four starts he’s made in Oakland, his ERA is 0.87. Historically, Oakland hasn’t figured him out, Vegas is telling us that the Angels should win this game, and Sandoval should be able to give us five innings, five strikeouts, and a win. He can be your lone arm on FanDuel today.
Nick Lodolo, Cincinnati Reds
I’m really at a crossroads today. Lodolo was one of my guys for fantasy baseball this year, but the Pirates are my favorite team! However, we can’t ignore the numbers. The Pirates had the second-highest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching last season. This spring, Lodolo ramped up to about full capacity, and he posted a 2.45 ERA with 20 strikeouts across 14.2 IP in March. The walks were a bit out of control in spring, but Lodolo will get that ironed out. I like his price slightly better on DraftKings, where he is the eighth-highest priced starter, compared to being the fifth-highest pitcher on FanDuel.
Honorable Mention:
MLB DFS Value Hitters
Spencer Steer, Cincinnati Reds
Steer homered on Opening Day and now gets to face Rich Hill in the second game of the year. In the minors, his numbers against southpaws were better than against righties and he’s going to hit second in the lineup for today’s game, which is at Great American Ball Park may I remind you. Steer is very affordable on both sites and makes for an intriguing value option at third base.
Michael Conforto, San Francisco Giants
The wind is going to be blowing out in New York, and I’ll take a swing with Conforto going up against a right-hander. Despite a poor spring from a batting average perspective, Conforto did manage to hit four home runs and one double 47 at-bats this spring, and Schmidt posted a 5.60 ERA over his last five spring starts. With those winds blowing out, we could see some long balls in this game, and I’ll take a chance on Conforto being one that puts a ball in the bleachers, so long as the rain holds off.
Nick Gordon, Minnesota Twins
The first of two left-handed hitters for Minnesota here today! Lyles’ kryptonite has been left-handed hitting, and while Gordon didn’t have the best spring, Lyles is a familiar foe. Gordon is 3-for-4 with a home run in his career against Lyles, and against right-handed pitching in 2022, Gordon hit .289 with a .341 wOBA and .465 SLG. Minnesota has one of the higher implied run totals on the board, so expect parts of this offense to be popular today.
Riley Greene, Detroit Tigers
I can’t get behind the entire Detroit offense today, but Greene makes for a nice one-off play. Zach Eflin has allowed a .513 SLG for his career against left-handed hitters, and lefties hit him at a .277 clip with a .356 wOBA last season alone. While the guys around him may not be of much help, Greene could rack up the points today, whether it be by leaving the yard for the first time this season, or reaching base a couple of times and getting his first steal of the year.
Max Kepler, Minnesota Twins
Kepler has homered off Jordan Lyles in his career, and while the park isn’t the best for power, Jordan Lyles’ kryptonite has been left-handed hitters. Lyles struggled in his last two spring starts, walking nine batters in 7.1 IP. From 2020-2022, left-handed hitters have slashed .273/.346/.481 against Lyles, not to mention a 1.7 HR/9.
Honorable Mention:
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