Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks May 14: Aaron Nola starts against the Rockies
Welcome to another jam-packed Sunday of Major League Baseball action! Let's dive into some MLB player props and MLB picks on Underdog Fantasy tonight with 15 games on the schedule. Our top MLB Underdog Fantasy picks and plays to target feature Philadelphia Phillies starter Aaron Nola taking on the Colorado Rockies in an NL showdown. We're also looking at Boston Red Sox third baseman Rafael Devers in his matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals. Check out these free MLB player props and MLB daily picks on Underdog Fantasy for “Pick'Em” contests tonight. Don't forget to check out the latest MLB weather report and the confirmed MLB lineups when placing those MLB betting picks. Plus, the MLB daily projections and MLB Batter vs Pitcher page will help you find the best matchups for MLB player props and MLB DFS lineups. Now, let's dive into the top MLB player picks on Underdog Fantasy for Sunday, May 14th.
MLB Underdog Fantasy Top Picks May 14
Aaron Nola, Philadelphia Phillies - Over 5 Strikeouts
The Phillies ace had a tough start to the season, losing his first 3 starts while allowing 12 earned runs in the process. Since that bad start He is 4-1 and hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in a start while limiting walks and seeing an increase in strikeout production. More recently he has at least 5 strikeouts in the last 3 starts, topping the Underdog number twice with 6 punch-outs! I see the momentum continuing today in Colorado as the Rockies strikeout nearly 9 times per game, which is the 12th most in the MLB so far this season. Nola will also have the advantage of a cool day in Denver and the weather is showing that winds will be blowing into home plate to hopefully help suppress those rocky mountain long balls we are accustomed to seeing. Nola over 5 strikeouts today please.
Rafael Devers, Boston Red Sox - Over 2.0 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Hit on this style of prop last night with Adley Rutschman and it went way over the line that they gave on Underdog. I see a similar disparity tonight for Rafael Devers as the Red Sox take on the the Cardinals. Devers leads his team in total bases with 81 total over just 39 so obviously that's over 2 per game right now. He has 11 home runs on the season with 36 RBIs, the man is red hot and not appearing to slow down anytime soon. Devers also gets the advantage of facing off against Miles Mikolas who is starting for the Cardinals tonight. In 2 starts in the month of May Mikolas has allowed 12 hits and only lasted about 5 innings in each start. With that we know he won't be out there long plus the Red Sox score runs like crazy at home this season. To top it off the Cardinals team ERA this season is 4.56, which is the 9th highest in the MLB this season. Give me Devers for a big time game today in Fenway Park.
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Player News
Daulton Varsho picked up three hits, three RBI and a homer in a win over the Angels on Thursday.
Varsho has only played in seven games this year, but they’ve been seven good ones. He’s homered three times already, and his slugging percentage is a remarkable — and entirely unsustainable — .727 over 22 at-bats. Varsho has been a mediocre offensive player in his two seasons with the Blue Jays, but it’s possible at the age of 28 he’s having a breakout campaign. Far from a guarantee, but possible.
Taylor Ward hit a two-run homer in a loss to the Blue Jays on Thursday.
Ward, 31, gave the Angels a 2-0 lead with a two-run homer off Chris Bassitt in the first inning. He’s now gone deep in two of his last three games, and it ‘improves’ his slash to .181/.224/.391. Ward has been one of the most hot/cold players players in the sport over the last few years, so fantasy managers who can afford to make some roster moves may want to look at Ward while the going is good.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. picked up three hits and scored twice in an 8-5 win over the Angels on Thursday.
Guerrero also drew a walk. It gives the first baseman multiple hits in back-to-back games, and it’s the third time in May that he’s reached that mark. That’s helped raise his average from .268 to .295, and the only thing fantasy managers can be disappointed with is his .432 slugging percentage. That number should continue to climb as the season unfolds, but Vladdy Jr. has had some inconsistent seasons when it comes to power production.
Chad Green picked up his first save of 2025 with a scoreless ninth against the Angels on Thursday.
Green got the save after Jeff Hoffman worked in back-to-back games — and struggled — in the first two contests against the Angels. He struck out two and looked the part while needing just nine pitches to get through the inning. Hoffman should remain the closer, but Green is on his tail if the struggles were to continue.
Chris Bassitt allowed five runs — four earned — while working six-plus innings against the Angels on Thursday while picking up a win.
Bassitt allowed three runs over the first two innings on a pair of homers, but settled down over his next four frames. He came out to work the seventh, but ended up being charged for two more runs after leaving the contest. The 36-year-old veteran has forged a 3.35 ERA and outstanding 49/8 K/BB ratio over the first quarter of the season, but this wasn’t him at his best. He’ll get the Rays next week if the rotation order stays the same for Toronto.
José Soriano allowed three runs over five innings while not factoring in the decision Thursday against the Blue Jays.
Soriano left with a 4-3 lead, but it was erased quickly after his departure. The 26-year-old was not exactly dominant in his outing with eight hits allowed and four free passes, but he did strike out six to help balance things out a smidgen. Soriano takes an even ERA of 4.00 into a scheduled start against the Padres in San Diego on Tuesday. There should be better options for that one.