Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks March 30: Mike Trout & Max Scherzer are Top Plays on Opening Day
Happy MLB Opening Day, ladies and gentlemen! It’s the best time of the year and regular-season baseball is finally back! The MLB schedule today gives us a full board of MLB player props over at Underdog Fantasy. After combing through the numbers and crunching the data, I’ve uncovered some of my best MLB player props picks for Opening Day, highlighted by Mike Trout and Max Scherzer. Many of the guys below are likely to be popular in your MLB DFS lineups as well, so let's double-dip with their player props. Here are my favorite Opening Day MLB player props and top picks today over at Underdog Fantasy.
MLB Underdog Top Picks & Plays March 30 Opening Day
Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels – OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
We’ll get to Trout’s prowess against lefties here in a second. First, though, Oakland Athletics starter Kyle Muller was battered this spring to the tune of a 7.31 ERA, .384 BAA, and 28 hits in just 16 innings of work! Now, to Trout…He hit lefties at a .310 clip last year with a massive 1.058 OPS and .441 wOBA. There’s more thump in this Angels lineup, so not only should he have RBI chances, but I’m more confident in the guys behind him this year than last – especially against a southpaw. I love this line and will include it in every bet slip of mine.
Max Scherzer, New York Mets – OVER 6.0 Strikeouts
Am I missing something here? Scherzer is fully ramped up, as he worked up to a full workload at the end of spring, and this line is only at six!? I know the Miami Marlins added Luis Arraez and Jean Segura, which should help with their overall contact rate, but there’s still a ton of swing-and-miss in that lineup. Plus, Scherzer had 25 strikeouts across four starts (17.2 IP) this spring! For what it’s worth, here are Scherzer’s strikeout numbers in his most recent Opening Day starts: 9, 11, 12, and 10.
Austin Riley, Atlanta Braves – OVER 1.5 Total Bases
Patrick Corbin, a lefty, is pitching? Riley is a no-brainer, then. Not only is he 8-for-28 with a .387 wOBA in his career against Corbin, but he went 3-for-7 with two home runs against the veteran southpaw in last season alone. Riley hit southpaws at a .329 clip last year with a 1.084 OPS, and Corbin served up a .262 average to opposing hitters this spring. As if we needed more reasons to play Riley, Corbin allowed righties to post a .526 SLG and 1.79 HR/9 last year. Take the over on Riley, as he leads a big offensive day for Atlanta.
Honorable Mention: Sandy Alcantara OVER 4.5 Strikeouts
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