Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks For Today, 7/20: DFS Projections & Plays
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Today’s MLB picks over on Underdog Fantasy feature the two starting pitchers in today’s matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees as the Rays send Taj Bradley to the mound while the Yankees pitch southpaw Nestor Cortes in an entry with a 2.7x multiplier.
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Nestor Cortes Underdog MLB Pick: More Than 17.5 Pitching Outs
We’ve gone over this many times with Cortes this season so why not just keep the momentum going as we ride the home/road splits here with the Yankees southpaw.
As we have detailed, Cortes has dominated at home this season, posting a 1.81 ERA while holding opponents to a .190 average and a .225 wOBA.
This will be the second straight start for Cortes against the Rays but in that last start Cortes was on the road and we took the under on his projection.
With the home start we are going to look for him to finish with more than 17.5 outs which means we need at least six innings which he has done in eight of his 10 home starts this season.
- Pick: More Than 17.5 Pitching Outs
Taj Bradley Underdog MLB Pick: More Than 15.5 Outs
With the exception of a few outlier starts, Bradley has been a dominating starter for the Rays this season, allowing no more than two earned runs in 10 of his 12 starts. He is a high volume strikeout pitcher which tends to get him in some trouble when it comes to pitch counts but today all we need is 5.1 innings for him to finish with more than 15.5 outs.
This season Bradley has gone at least 5.1 innings in seven of his 10 starts which includes his debut start against the Yankees where he tossed six innings of one-run baseball.
Aside from Juan Soto and Aaron Judge, the Yankees offense is struggling a bit and while all it takes is Soto and Judge to do the damage, this is a spot I have confidence in Bradley to get the number of outs needed.
- Pick: More Than 15.5 Outs
Total Multiplier - 2.7x
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