It’s Friday night and we’ve got a full 15-game slate, so it’s time to start building those Underdog bankrolls with some MLB Underdog picks for today.

This is one of my favorite slates. Why? Because there are no day games. MLB players are creatures of habit, and they’re used to playing at night. Granted, their schedules are adjusting from life in Spring Training but talk to any player in the modern era and they’ll tell you they prefer to play in the evening. 

So, we’ve got night games, and we also have very few aces on the mound. Sure, we’ve got Jacob deGrom and Yoshinobu Yamamoto but based on some of the other pitching matchups, this should be a fun night for hitters. Let’s get to it.

 

 

 

Underdog Fantasy Picks For Friday, April 11: MLB DFS Projections

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Lawrence Butler MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Games played in West Sacramento have consistently gone over the game totals and with tonight’s action sitting at 9.5 runs, we know we want to invest in some offense. We can start by attacking Mets righthander Griffin Canning who has seemingly been fine with his 2.79 ERA over his first two starts, but he’s also allowed eight hits and five walks over just 9.2 innings. You’re just not going to get away with that many guys on-base in this park.

Butler was a hot commodity in the fantasy community during draft season and now he’s looking like a tasty treat in tis match-up. He’s already posting a .362 wOBA with more walks than strikeouts over 48 plate appearances against righties and he’s got one home run with five runs, three RBI and two stolen bases. With hits in five of his last six and three multi-hit performances in that span, this looks like a solid pick for tonight.

 

 

 

Jose Altuve MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

I was tempted to look at Yordan Alvarez here, but he let us down the last time and he’s still batting just .211 against righties. A stat to be corrected? Sure, but in the meantime, we’ll happily lean on a white-hot Altuve who not only has a .389 wOBA versus righties, but he’s also got three home runs, nine runs scored, six RBI and three steals against them. 

He’s facing Angels young righthander Jack Kohanowicz who may look good on the surface with his 3.27 ERA over his first two starts, but he’s serving up the long ball way too much – three over his first 11 innings of work. He fought hard against a soft White Sox team in his first start, struggled more against Cleveland who didn’t have Jose Ramirez and now he’ll take on an Astros team that is starting to wake up? We’ll invest in the hitters today.

 

 

 

Jackson Chourio MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Some people like to ride hitting streaks until they fizzle out and some avoid them due to expected regression. Which side am I on? Well, we wouldn’t be using Chourio if I wasn’t a part of the former. Sure, what goes up must come down, but Chourio is coming off 100-percent as advertised with a .340/.333/.717 slash line, four home runs, 11 runs scored and 16 RBI over this 12-game hit streak he’s riding. We’re hopping onboard.

Chourio may be facing a lefthanded strikeout specialist in Eduardo Rodriguez, but he’s also posting a .530 wOBA with a pair of home runs and eight RBI against southpaws this season. His strikeout rate is terribly close to 30-percent against them, but with ERod laboring through five innings each starts (average of 88 pitches per outing) and allowing baserunners like he does, it’s going to catch up to him. Chourio should take advantage. 

 

 

 

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