Sleeper MLB Fantasy Picks Today - Sunday, 8/11: DFS Baseball Projections
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The opportunities to bring home some cold hard cash are endless on Sunday, August 11th, with the first pitch of the day having already taken place at 11:35 this morning and going deep into the night with the last game starting at 7:00 pm ET.
Let’s dive into some of our favorite Sleeper Fantasy MLB picks including Tyler Glasnow of the Los Angeles Dodgers, Kyle Freeland of the Colorado Rockies, and Alex Bregman of the Houston Astros.
Sleeper MLB Fantasy Picks + Promo: Sunday, 8/11
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Tyler Glasnow Sleeper Fantasy MLB Pick: More Than 15.5 Pitching Outs (1.7x)
Take this sale price and do NOT look back! On different pick’em sites, this number is listed at 18.5, so start your lineup with this play and move on from there. On the year, Tyler Glasnow has averaged six innings per start and has completed at least six innings in 16 of 21 starts. He now draws a matchup against an offense in a complete rut. Pittsburgh ranks 24th in OPS and wRC+ and 23rd in wOBA against right-handed pitching over the last 30 days. Pair up Glasnow’s recent stretch of elite pitching with the Pirates struggling offense and the cherry on top is Glasnow’s discounted price and you have gold.
- Pick: More Than 15.5 Pitching Outs (1.7x)
Kyle Freeland Sleeper Fantasy MLB Pick: More Than 3.5 Strikeouts (1.5x)
I know…I know. Suggesting a pitching prop in Coors Field that doesn’t include runs or hits seems crazy, right? It does, but then you realize the spot and the matchup and the number that this strikeout line sits at. Over the last 30 days, do you know who’s struck out more than anyone else against left-handed pitching? If we expand that to the last 60 days, could you guess who’s second? That’s right. The Atlanta Braves. Over the last 60 days, that K-rate sits at 28.4%, and over the last 30, it’s 38.9%. Freeland’s been surprisingly good at missing bats lately notching a 25.6% K-rate in July and a 35% K-rate thus far in August.
- Pick: More Than 3.5 Strikeouts (1.5x)
Alex Bregman Sleeper Fantasy MLB Pick: More Than 1.5 Total Bases (1.6x)
Let’s use bats against James Paxton here, shall we? We shall, and Bregman is getting hot in the power department against southpaws. Over the last month, Bregman has a .481 SLG% and .259 ISO against left-handed pitchers. He’s also been really good in general lately posting four straight multi-hit games and five straight games of two or more total bases. His matchup against Paxton in Fenway Park is as good as it gets for righties. Paxton has a 5.65 xFIP, 47.2% flyball rate, 34% hard-hit rate, and has allowed 11 of his 12 bombs to righties. Bregman is a great option to pair with Freeland and Glasnow here.
- Pick: More Than 1.5 Total Bases (1.6x)
Multiplier: 4.5x
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