MLB DFS Sleeper Fantasy Picks Today, 8/30: Baseball Projections + More
Today’s MLB DFS Sleeper Fantasy picks feature two plays as we look at Boston Red Sox first baseman Triston Casas and Tampa Bay Rays starter Taj Bradley in an entry with a 3.7x multiplier.
MLB DFS Sleeper Fantasy Picks, Friday, 8/30: Fantasy Baseball Projections
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Triston Casas Sleeper Fantasy MLB Pick: More Than 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI
Triston Casas has been on fire since returning from the injured list, making him a strong candidate for more than 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs today. The Boston Red Sox first baseman is hitting .313 with a .379 wOBA and an .868 OPS since coming back into the lineup. Even more impressive, Casas has been lethal against right-handed pitchers, batting .353 with a .423 wOBA and a .980 OPS since his return.
Today's matchup looks favorable for Casas as he faces Casey Mize, a right-handed pitcher who is making his first start since being activated from the injured list. Mize is likely to be on a pitch count and could struggle with command and velocity as he shakes off the rust. This could create opportunities for Casas to continue his hot streak at the plate. Given his recent form and Mize's potential vulnerability in his first start back, betting on Casas to exceed 1.5 combined hits, runs, and RBIs seems like a smart play on Sleeper Fantasy.
Taj Bradley Sleeper Fantasy MLB Pick: More Than 2.5 Earned Runs
Taj Bradley has been struggling recently, making him a prime candidate for allowing more than 2.5 earned runs in today's game. The young right-hander has surrendered at least 2.5 earned runs in each of his last five starts, compiling a troubling 7.96 ERA over that span. Opposing hitters have been teeing off against Bradley, boasting a .600 slugging percentage and a .406 wOBA. This suggests that Bradley is not only allowing a lot of base runners but also giving up plenty of hard contact.
Today's matchup doesn't get any easier for Bradley as he faces the San Diego Padres, who have been one of the best teams against right-handed pitchers over the last 30 days. The Padres rank third in wRC+, fourth in wOBA, and third in batting average against right-handed pitchers during this period. These metrics indicate that the Padres are not just hitting for power, but also reaching base consistently and generating runs. Given Bradley's recent struggles and the Padres' current form, there is a high likelihood he will exceed the 2.5 earned runs threshold again. This makes Bradley an appealing pick for the "more than 2.5 earned runs allowed" prop line on Sleeper Fantasy.
Total Multiplier: 3.7x
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