MLB DFS Playbook August 10: Top Plays for DraftKings and FanDuel
Published: Aug 10, 2023
Hello and welcome to the MLB DFS Playbook for August 10! We have a tiny 4-game slate on both DK and FD on our hands today. We have a 6:40 pm ET start time, so you have plenty of time to get those lineups made! Make sure to check out all of our amazing MLB DFS tools as they are always worth going through before building your lineups as are the Vegas Odds. However, as I am sure you have figured out by now, the new playbook will be a one-stop shop that includes everything from easy-to-read player write-ups and suggestions to MLB Weather Reports to lineup construction tips to our best value plays for DraftKings and FanDuel. You will be given core plays around which to build your lineups, DFS stacks to consider for GPP tournaments and key statistics to help you in your DFS research. Let’s dive in!
MLB DFS Playbook August 10
MLB Weather Updates
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (possible rain)
Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox (possible rain)
Games that appear to have a decent wind blowing out:
None.
Games that appear to have a decent wind blowing in:
None.
DFS Lineup Construction Thoughts
This slate is WEAK. We only have 4 games and two of them have weather concerns. A mess. Of course too, those two games feature two of the only decent looking pitching options on the slate. Yeeesh. On the flip side, there’s a good bit offensive options for such a small slate, but this slate is going to be won (or lost) based on pitching.
Recommended DFS Starting Pitchers
Top Options for Strikeouts
Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers
Aaron Nola, Philadelphia Phillies
Best Odds for a Win
Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers -352)
James Paxton (Boston Red Sox -266)
Aaron Nola (Philadelphia Phillies -252)
Favorite Starters to Use for DFS Lineups
I am simply not spending down today. The options after the top three pitchers are awful. A bunch of bad pitchers who are facing top offenses… no thanks.
Aaron Nola, Philadelphia Phillies
Nola has struggled over his last two starts, but we are dealing with a thin slate tonight and he’s one of the better options tonight. Nola has been far better at home this year with a 3.75 ERA and 1.01 WHIP, compared to 5.15 and 1.23 on the road, respectively. The Nationals offense is far from a powerhouse, especially after trading away Jaimer Candelario.
Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers
Kershaw makes his return to action tonight and he is in a good spot against the Rockies tonight. The problem is that there has been no word on his pitch count tonight and I would not expect a full workload. However, if he can give us 80 pitches and 5 innings, he could still be one of the top plays on this slate. The Dodgers are the biggest favorites on the slate and Kershaw has been fantastic this season with a 2.55 ERA, 10-4 record, 1.05 WHIP, and 105 Ks across 95.1 innings.
Paxton has cooled off after having a crazy good stretch earlier in the year, but he’s still been good overall. He enters this game with a 3.60 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 84 Ks across 75 innings. He takes on a lousy Royals offense and is one of the biggest favorites on the slate. He has a 3.00 ERA at home this year, compared to 4.07 on the road. Based on his price, I expect Paxton to be the most popular pitcher used on this slate.
Recommended DFS Hitters
Highest Expected Run Totals
5.80 – Boston Red Sox
5.04 – Philadelphia Phillies
5.01 – Kansas City Royals
Favorite Hitters to Use for DFS Lineups
Freddie Freeman, 1B, Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers are the top stack tonight and Freeman is the focal point of it. He has been incredible lately, hitting .524 (yes you read that right) over his last 10 games with two home runs and FOUR steals. He is now hitting .344 with 23 home runs and 16 steals on the year as he is making NL MVP a very interesting two-man race.
Curtis Mead, 3B, Tampa Bay Rays
Mead hasn’t done much of anything through his first four games, but he is a nice prospect and nearly the minimum price and facing a bad pitcher in Matthew Liberatore. I will take my chances on him in this righty/lefty matchup as a salary-saving option. We are going to need cheap play likes Mead today if we are spending up on pitchers and using guys like Freeman and/or Betts.
Weston Wilson, 3B/SS, Philadelphia Phillies
Speaking of salary-saving plays, we have Wilson at the minimum price playing his second game for the Phils. He came out with a bang in his debut, going 1-3 with a home run, two walks, three runs, and a stolen base to finish with 27 dk points. He had 25 home runs and 23 steals across 100 games at AAA this year, so there is some intrigue here with his power/speed upside. It doesn’t hurt that he is facing Patrick Corbin tonight either.
James Outman, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers
Another day, another day of me touting Outman as one of my top plays. He should not be this cheap. He is hitting .345 with a 1.030 OPS over his last 10 games. He has 13 home runs and 14 steals on the year. He has had no issue hitting lefties this season either. Ty Blach has a 4.85 ERA and 1.58 WHIP through 26 innings this year and the Dodgers should only make that worse.
Player Pool
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Stacks
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