We've got our first Sunday of the MLB season on the horizon!

But before we get into the massive slate of games, let me introduce myself. I'm Jason Radowitz, an avid sports bettor and DFS player. My best and most profitable sport over the year has been baseball, so I'm extremely excited to share with you my tips and tricks for a successful and profitable MLB season.

We've got some early games on the Sunday slate, so let's waste no time and get right to my top DFS picks for FanDuel and DraftKings.

Make sure you subscribe to the Fantasy Alarm YouTube channel so you never miss a show! Also, join the Fantasy Alarm Discord to get your DFS lineup questions answered by our MLB DFS team! Plus, as always, be sure to check in with our MLB DFS Tools, with the Daily MLB Projections, MLB DFS Rostership Projections, and our MLB DFS Lineup Generator when building those lineups today to help you decide which players you should be targeting!

MLB DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook 

MLB Weather: Today, 3/31

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox

It's 40 degrees in Chicago, with lots of wind blowing in. There's also some chance of rain later in the game. However, it's still possible the game finishes before the rain gets there. The reality is these aren't the best conditions for hitters.

MLB DFS Lineup Construction Thoughts

The good news about today's slate is that we'll see several No. 3 and No. 4 starters on the mound.

Those types of pitchers are the ones we'll be attacking all season long. But when Opening Day starts, the first couple of games typically have really good pitchers. 

Now we can attack the not-so-good pitchers. Today's slate has a bunch of them. 

Recommended MLB DFS Starting Pitchers

Top Options for Strikeouts

Note: Will Update When Strikeout Props Are Available 

Best Odds for a Win

Note: Will Update When Pitcher Win Odds Are Available 

Jack Flaherty (+110) vs. Chicago White Sox

Chris Sale (+180) vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Bailey Ober (+180) vs. Kansas City Royals

Core MLB DFS Pitchers

Trevor Rogers, Miami Marlins

Trevor Rogers has been forgotten. He only threw four games in 2023 but struck out 19 batters in 18 innings.

In those 18 innings, he held 79 batters to a .100 ISO and a wOBA of .295. Rodgers also induced nearly 53% of ground balls and held line drive contact to below 20%.

While the Pirates are a sneaky offense, Pittsburgh's projected lineup still has eight batters who struck out more than 17% of the time against lefties last season. Rodgers should earn at least a strikeout per inning and have a high chance of winning, going up against Bailey Falter of the Marlins. 

Tylor Megill, New York Mets

Tylor Megill began last season red-hot. But he started to fatigue and lost that success later into the season.

Maybe that'll happen again this season. Perhaps it won't. But this year's red-hot start to the season would be ideal for today. 

Megill also has a high chance of winning today's game against the Brewers. The Mets are facing Colin Rea, who was awful against lefties last season. Meanwhile, Megill struck out 23 batters in 20.2 innings in Spring Training. He added a new pitch to his arsenal and held batters to a .197 average in those 20.2 innings. 

Milwaukee's lineup will have many guys that lack power against righties.

Nick Martinez, Cincinnati Reds

Another value play could be Nick Martinez. Martinez is now a starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds. Like the other two pitchers, Martinez has a high chance of winning today's game. 

The right-hander was primarily a relief pitcher last season, but he's stretched out enough to go at least five innings if not six. Martinez held 461 batters to a .114 ISO and wOBA of .296 last season. He also induced 54% of ground balls and struck out 23% of batters. 

He's got some really underrated stuff that could make him a quality starter this season.

He'll also face a Nationals lineup that only hit a .160 ISO last season against righties. Other than Joey Gallo and Eddie Rosario, there's not much pop in that Nationals lineup. Those two guys are also heavy strikeout hitters. 

Recommended MLB DFS Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals  

Cincinnati Reds (5.5 -105)) vs Washington Nationals

Texas Rangers (4.5 -125) vs Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees (4.5 -120) vs Houston Astros

Minnesota Twins (4.5 -120) vs Kansas City Royals

Core MLB DFS Hitters

Note: Will Be Updated as Official Starting Lineups Are Released

OF Will Benson, 3B Jeimer Candelario, OF Jake Fraley, SS Elly De La Cruz, OF Nick Martini

The Cincinnati Reds stack is the way to go. 

They're facing Jake Irvin of the Washington Nationals, who allowed a .222 ISO and wOBA of .372 to 286 lefties last season.

Irvin induced just 42% of ground balls and allowed 35.1% of fly balls to lefties. He also allowed 43.9% of hard contact and rarely earned whiffs against lefties. 

Meanwhile, Will Benson turned heads last season, hitting a .255 ISO and wOBA of .409 against 282 righties. Jeimer Candelario smashed a .229 ISO and wOBA of .353 (and also hit a home run last night).

Going down the line, Jake Fraley hit a .201 ISO and wOBA of .361, ELly De La Cruz smacked a .218 ISO and wOBA of .346, and Nick Martini, in just 67 plate appearances against righties last season, hit a .361 ISO and wOBA of .406. He's also off to a historic start for the Reds, with two home runs and seven RBIs in two games. 

1B/3B Jake Burger, 1B Josh Bell, Miami Marlins

I spoke about the Marlins facing Bailey Falter earlier. That was one of the reasons I liked Trevor Rogers as a starting pitcher. 

The Marlins haven't won a game this season, but I think Rodgers and Jake Burger can change that. 

Burger hit a .331 ISO and wOBA of .391 against 136 lefties last season. Meanwhile, Bailey Falter gave up a .215 ISO and wOBA of .362 to 346 batters last season.

That said, Burger has one home run against Falter in just two at-bats.

In addition, Josh Bell hit a .231 ISO and wOBA of .381 against lefties last season. He's a switch hitter, but he'll bat right-handed against Falter. Bell has two home runs and four RBIs against Falter in five at-bats.

Brandon Nimmo, OF, New York Mets

The New York Mets' lead-off hitter should make at least five plate appearances today. Nimmo and the Mets are facing Colin Rea of the Milwaukee Brewers. 

Last year, Rea allowed a .251 ISO and wOBA of 351 against 247 lefties. While walks were down, his strikeouts were also down, earning only 19.4% of strikeouts against lefties last year. 

On the other hand, Brandon Nimmo smashed a .235 ISO and wOBA of .380 in 448 plate appearances against righties. 

The Mets need a win badly after falling in their first two games. Look for lefties like Nimmo to set the table and help earn the Mets a win.
 

Player Pool

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