Welcome to our 2024 MLB Home Run Derby predictions at Fantasy Alarm! We’re going to go through all of the HR Derby contestants first before we break down any of our HR Derby best bets. 

 

 

 

MLB Home Run Derby Participants 2024

Using our friends at BetMGM Sportsbook, here are the updated betting odds for each participant:

We could have our second-ever three-time Home Run Derby winner if Pete Alonso takes home the crown. Adolis Garcia represents the hometown team Texas Rangers in this competition, and right-handed batters have an advantage based on some ballpark data we’ll talk about during the breakdown. Let’s dive straight into my MLB Home Run Derby picks and best bets for 2024!

 

 

 

2024 MLB HR Derby Picks - Player To Hit Longest Home Run: Bobby Witt (+175 at BetMGM)

The shortest odds in this category is for Bobby Witt, but I really like the favorite to hit the longest blast of the night. Of all the contestants, Bobby Witt has hit the longest home run of the year (468 ft) and averages the furthest distance on all of his home runs hit (418 ft).

 

 

 

2024 MLB HR Derby Best Bets - Jose Ramirez First Round Total Home Runs: Under 19.5 (-105 at BetMGM)

Amongst all participants, Jose Ramirez not only has the second longest odds to win the whole thing, but all of his statcast data is really against him. With a three-minute timer for every hitter, it pays to have elite bat speed and a fast swing to move onto the next pitch.

Well, Ramirez is dead last in both of those categories. He’s also last in average distance on his home runs amongst all contestants. He’s participated once in the Home Run Derby and fell way short of this number if you care about historical data at all.

 

 

 

2024 MLB Home Run Derby Winner Prediction: Bobby Witt (+500 at BetMGM)

I already staked my claim that Bobby Witt is going to hit the longest home run of the 2024 Home Run Derby, but why stop there? He’s going to win the whole damn thing! He leads the field in distance, longest home run this year and exit velocity.

Right-handed hitters have had far more success in Globe Life Field this year too as it ranks 10th according to Baseball Savant, while lefties rank just 20th.

 

 

 

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