MLB Best Bets Today, 9/29: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Sunday
Welcome back to another Sunday of MLB picks as we take a closer look at all of today’s games. Let’s dive into MLB Best Bets and Props as you enjoy the weekend action!
Our top MLB predictions today feature Marlins vs. Blue Jays picks in an interleague showdown to wrap up the MLB regular season. Plus, we finish up our Sunday baseball betting card with some top MLB props today. Enjoy the weekend baseball as we cash our plays!
MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 9/29
As always, be sure to shop around for the best Vegas Odds and Lines at different sportsbooks. The odds in this article below are accurate as of this writing.
Without further ado, let’s check out my MLB best bets and props for Sunday, September 29th.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Sunday, September 29th
The Miami Marlins and Toronto Blue Jays are both looking ahead to next season as neither are playoff bound. Even so, Sunday’s matchup to wrap up the regular season is still worth betting on with a clear angle.
Ryan Weathers starts for Miami in his third outing back from injury. The left-hander tossed 5 strong innings of one-run ball last time out against the Twins. Although he got knocked around by the Dodgers prior, Weathers still boasts a 2.74 ERA over his past 10 outings spanning the majors and minors. He’s also been excellent on the road with a 2.12 ERA in 8 road starts this season.
Weathers will face a Toronto lineup with subpar numbers vs. left-handed pitching lately. The Blue Jays have a .265 wOBA, 72 wRC+, .221 BA, and 27.0% K rate against southpaws in the month of September. It’s a good spot for the Miami lefty, who’s allowed only 1 earned run over his past 3 road starts.
On the other side, Toronto starter Chris Bassitt has been inconsistent and shaky for three months now. He has a 4.83 ERA over his past 8 starts and a 5.38 ERA since the beginning of July. Bassitt’s 4.56 ERA at home is also a full run higher than his 3.38 ERA on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Marlins have been a top-10 offense against right-handers this month (.336 wOBA, 113 wRC+, .279 BA).
Note that as of this writing, the moneyline for the first five innings and full game have not yet been posted. So check your sportsbooks for the best odds.
- Expert Marlins vs. Blue Jays MLB Picks:
- Marlins Moneyline
- Marlins 1st 5 Innings ML
Best MLB Player Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 9/29
- New York Mets Moneyline (-120 BetMGM)
- Mitchell McGreevy 5+ Strikeouts (+130 DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 Runline (+116 FanDuel Sportsbook)
Player News
Daulton Varsho picked up three hits, three RBI and a homer in a win over the Angels on Thursday.
Varsho has only played in seven games this year, but they’ve been seven good ones. He’s homered three times already, and his slugging percentage is a remarkable — and entirely unsustainable — .727 over 22 at-bats. Varsho has been a mediocre offensive player in his two seasons with the Blue Jays, but it’s possible at the age of 28 he’s having a breakout campaign. Far from a guarantee, but possible.
Taylor Ward hit a two-run homer in a loss to the Blue Jays on Thursday.
Ward, 31, gave the Angels a 2-0 lead with a two-run homer off Chris Bassitt in the first inning. He’s now gone deep in two of his last three games, and it ‘improves’ his slash to .181/.224/.391. Ward has been one of the most hot/cold players players in the sport over the last few years, so fantasy managers who can afford to make some roster moves may want to look at Ward while the going is good.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. picked up three hits and scored twice in an 8-5 win over the Angels on Thursday.
Guerrero also drew a walk. It gives the first baseman multiple hits in back-to-back games, and it’s the third time in May that he’s reached that mark. That’s helped raise his average from .268 to .295, and the only thing fantasy managers can be disappointed with is his .432 slugging percentage. That number should continue to climb as the season unfolds, but Vladdy Jr. has had some inconsistent seasons when it comes to power production.
Chad Green picked up his first save of 2025 with a scoreless ninth against the Angels on Thursday.
Green got the save after Jeff Hoffman worked in back-to-back games — and struggled — in the first two contests against the Angels. He struck out two and looked the part while needing just nine pitches to get through the inning. Hoffman should remain the closer, but Green is on his tail if the struggles were to continue.
Chris Bassitt allowed five runs — four earned — while working six-plus innings against the Angels on Thursday while picking up a win.
Bassitt allowed three runs over the first two innings on a pair of homers, but settled down over his next four frames. He came out to work the seventh, but ended up being charged for two more runs after leaving the contest. The 36-year-old veteran has forged a 3.35 ERA and outstanding 49/8 K/BB ratio over the first quarter of the season, but this wasn’t him at his best. He’ll get the Rays next week if the rotation order stays the same for Toronto.
José Soriano allowed three runs over five innings while not factoring in the decision Thursday against the Blue Jays.
Soriano left with a 4-3 lead, but it was erased quickly after his departure. The 26-year-old was not exactly dominant in his outing with eight hits allowed and four free passes, but he did strike out six to help balance things out a smidgen. Soriano takes an even ERA of 4.00 into a scheduled start against the Padres in San Diego on Tuesday. There should be better options for that one.