Welcome back to another Sunday of MLB picks as we take a closer look at all of today’s games. Let’s dive into MLB Best Bets and Props as you enjoy the weekend action!

Our top MLB predictions today feature Mets vs. Phillies picks and Reds vs. Twins best bets. Plus, we wrap up our Sunday baseball betting card with some top MLB props today. Enjoy the afternoon and night baseball as we cash our plays! 

 

 


 

MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 9/15

As always, be sure to shop around for the best Vegas Odds and Lines at different sportsbooks. The odds in this article below are accurate as of this writing. 

Without further ado, let’s check out my MLB best bets and props for Sunday, September 15th.

 

 


 

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Sunday, September 15th

This series between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets has seen two high-scoring games already. The NL East rivals combined for 14 runs on Friday and 10 more on Saturday. In today’s finale, expect another run-filled afternoon. 

Mets starter David Peterson is due for negative regression with a 4.93 xERA and 4.00 FIP compared to his 2.98 ERA this season. The left-hander’s .298 BABIP and 80.1% strand rate both suggest he’s been a tad lucky. That luck could run out on the road here against a dangerous offense. The Phillies boast a .344 wOBA, 122 wRC+, and 15.9% K rate vs. left-handed pitching over the past two weeks. 

Plus, Peterson has a 4.17 FIP and 4.79 xFIP on the road this season. His low 14.7% K rate on the road is also worrisome compared to a 24.2% K rate at home. Peterson ran into trouble last time out with 5 runs allowed in 4.1 innings on the road in Toronto. He’s also sporting a career 5.30 ERA against the Phillies. 

Meanwhile, Cristopher Sanchez starts for Philly. Though he has settled down recently with two straight impressive outings, the Phillies left-hander has not been as sharp as he was earlier in the season. Sanchez has a 3.52 ERA over his past 6 starts and a 4.52 ERA since the beginning of July (12 starts). 

Sanchez gets a tough matchup here against a Mets offense that’s lighting up opposing lefties lately. Over the past two weeks vs. southpaws, New York has a .384 wOBA, 153 wRC+, and .300 ISO. It’s a small sample size, but the Mets are a top-5 offense against left-handers over the past month as well (.330 wOBA, 116 wRC+). 

Expert Mets vs. Phillies MLB Picks

  • Over 8.5 Total Runs (-105 DraftKings Sportsbook)
  • 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 Runs (+100 DraftKings Sportsbook)

 

 


 

Reds vs. Twins Prediction: Sunday, September 15th

Sunday afternoon brings us an interesting interleague matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Minnesota Twins. Although the home Twins are the better team by record and by current Wild Card standing, the road squad has value here to complete the weekend sweep. 

Rhett Lowder starts for Cincy as he looks to continue his impressive rookie stint in the big leagues. The right-hander has a 0.59 ERA through three starts so far and has tossed 11.1 scoreless innings combined in his past two outings. Lowder now has a 0.54 ERA over his past 9 starts going back to the minors. 

The rookie righty is on a strong run right now and can be effective in a favorable matchup – despite being on the road. The Twins are struggling vs. right-handed pitching lately with a .279 wOBA, 81 wRC+, and .219 BA. It’s also worth noting that Minnesota has a huge four-game set with Cleveland starting up tomorrow, so priorities and motivation may be elsewhere for the Twins hitters. 

Meanwhile, Twins starter David Festa has struggled with consistency this season. He has a 5.08 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and 2-6 record across 11 outings so far. Though the right-hander has been effective at times, he just allowed 4 runs in his last start and has a 5.30 ERA over his past 4 starts. The Reds have been an average offense vs. righties over the past two weeks (.307 wOBA, 91 wRC+). This is more of a fade of Festa. 

Expert Reds vs. Twins MLB Picks

  • Reds Moneyline (+142 FanDuel Sportsbook)
  • 1st 5 Innings Reds ML (+130 FanDuel Sportsbook)

 

 


 

Best MLB Player Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 9/15

  • Houston Astros Team Total Over 5.5 Runs (+105 BetMGM)
  • Mackenzie Gore 7+ Strikeouts (+125 DraftKings Sportsbook)