MMA DFS Playbook: UFC On ABC 3
The UFC gets its third installment on ABC for an afternoon affair. Nothing wrong with some midday UFC! We’re out of the smaller APEX cage so make sure your finisher has a real chance to win ITD.
Check out all of the latest UFC on ABC 3 odds, stats, predictions, and matchup breakdowns for the entire fight card below. Now let's look at some UFC DFS top picks and plays for Saturday's UFC on ABC 3 event. Good luck in your MMA daily fantasy lineups!
MMA DFS Playbook for UFC on ABC 3
| Main Event | |||||
| Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
| Brian Ortega vs Yair Rodriguez | 8500/7700 | - | Stackability: Moderate | -165/ +140 | +140/+330 |
| Both of these fighters never have a disappointing fight. Yair is a dynamic and unorthodox striker with a super tough chin. Ortega is a BJJ wizard that has improved his striking leaps and bounds. Both fighters tend to get hit too much and both have been in recent wars. I see Ortega snatching up a sub sooner or later unless he's knocked unconscious. | |||||
| Expensive | |||||
| Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
| Punahele Soriano | 9200 | Dalcha Lungiambula | Somewhat-Safe | -215 | +120 |
| Puna looks to rebound after losing two tough fights. He's improving for a fairly raw fighter each time, which is encouraging. Plus his power sleeps people if they aren't minding their Ps and Qs. | |||||
| Su Sumudaerji | 9100 | Matt Schnell | Somewhat-Safe | -265 | -110 |
| Su looks likely to KO the chinny Schnell here. He'll have to avoid being taken down, though. | |||||
| Shane Burgos | 9000 | Charles Jourdain | Somewhat-Safe | -165 | +165 |
| Burgos is a warrior who always comes to bang. That gets him in trouble occasionally but his offensive striking is very good. He just lets his hands down too often. | |||||
| Amanda Lemos | 9400 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Moderate | -295 | +200 |
| Playing Lemos at this price is a major risk. Yes, she has power for the division but Waterson is super hard to land clean on. | |||||
| Mid-Range | |||||
| Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
| Jack Shore | 8400 | Ricky Simon | Moderate | -150 | +250 |
| Shore is a wrestling machine. People hold his Welsch background against him for quality in that department but it's the volume we care about. Simon hasn't been all that defensively sound against other wrestlers. | |||||
| Emily Ducote | 8200 | Jessica Penne | Somewhat-Risky | -155 | +250 |
| Ducote is a well-rounded fighter with a lack of name recognition since she's been fighting in Belator. Penne has continued to be a punching bag that's bailed herself out with grappling. I don't think that's enough to stop Ducote. | |||||
| Dustin Jacoby | 8300 | Da-Un Jung | Somewhat-Risky | +100 | +300 |
| There's a good chance Jacoby just kickboxes Jung from range for 15 minutes. His grappling has improved a good amount and as long as Jung doesn't hang on him for large stretches he'll land volume. | |||||
| Muslim Salikhov | 8600 | Li Jingliang | Somewhat-Risky | -155 | +240 |
| Salikhov should be able to out-strike Li in this one. He'll have to avoid getting tied up for large stretches, though. | |||||
| Dwight Grant | 8900 | Dustin Stoltzfus | Somewhat-Risky | -105 | +200 |
| Playing Grant would be hanging your hopes on an early KO. He doesn't do enough to be a DFS play otherwise. His power is freakish, however. | |||||
| Pay-Downs | |||||
| Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 6800 | Amanda Lemos | Somewhat-Risky | +245 | +750 |
| This line is way off. Waterson is a much better bet than this indicates. Maybe her lack of motivation is playing into the odds. She's always in great shape and has only lost to the best. Lemos is not the best. She might even be the worst. | |||||
| Ricky Simon | 7800 | Jack Shore | Somewhat-Risky | +130 | +600 |
| Simon is Shore's toughest test to date and someone that can match and maybe even exceed his pace. We'll see what the Welschman is made of in this fight. | |||||
| Li Jingliang | 7600 | Muslim Salikhov | Somewhat-Risky | +135 | +275 |
| The Leech just finds ways to suck up a victory. Salikhov isn't someone with super high output so it's possible he does it here. | |||||
| Dalcha Lungiambula | 7000 | Punahele Soriano | Risky | +185 | +300 |
| Dalcha would probably need to land a haymaker to be of much use to us in DFS. | |||||
| Matt Schnell | 7100 | Su Sumudaerji | Risky | +225 | +450 |
| Schell COULD out-grapple Su. The question is WILL he do it? He hasn't shown a big commitment to wrestling. It's dangerous to predict one here. The path is there, however. | |||||
| Charles Jourdain | 7200 | Shane Burgos | Risky | +140 | +300 |
| Wild brawlers clash and the underdog has to be live. Burgos gets hit too much and Jourdain has some crazy KOs from his regional days. | |||||
| Da-Un Jung | 7900 | Dustin Jacoby | Risky | -120 | +200 |
| Jung could take a boring control grappling decision in this one. Not all that likely to score well considering the price. | |||||
MMA DFS Example Lineup for UFC on ABC 3
UFC on ABC 3 Live Dogs
Waterson-Gomez, Simon, Rodriguez, Jinglang, Jung, Jourdain, Schnell
UFC on ABC 3 Stats & Picks
| Brian Ortega | vs | Yair Rodriguez |
| $8,500 | DFS Salary | $7,700 |
| Record: 15-2-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 14-3-0 (1 NC) |
| 3 | Knockouts | 4 |
| 7 | Subs | 3 |
| -165 | Vegas Odds | +140 |
| 7/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | vs | Amanda Lemos |
| $6,800 | DFS Salary | $9,400 |
| Record: 18-9-0 | Record | Record: 11-2-1 |
| 3 | Knockouts | 7 |
| 9 | Subs | 2 |
| +245 | Vegas Odds | -295 |
| 5/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
| Li Jingliang | vs | Muslim Salikhov |
| $7,600 | DFS Salary | $8,600 |
| Record: 18-7-0 | Record | Record: 18-2-0 |
| 9 | Knockouts | 12 |
| 4 | Subs | 2 |
| +135 | Vegas Odds | -155 |
| 3/10 | Lineup Pool | 5/10 |
| Matt Schnell | vs | Su Sumudaerji |
| $7,100 | DFS Salary | $9,100 |
| Record: 15-6-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 16-4-0 |
| 2 | Knockouts | 13 |
| 8 | Subs | 1 |
| +225 | Vegas Odds | -265 |
| 3/10 | Lineup Pool | 5/10 |
| Shane Burgos | vs | Charles Jourdain |
| $9,000 | DFS Salary | $7,200 |
| Record: 14-3-0 | Record | Record: 13-4-1 |
| 5 | Knockouts | 8 |
| 5 | Subs | 4 |
| -165 | Vegas Odds | +140 |
| 5/10 | Lineup Pool2 | 4/10 |
| 0 | ||
| Lauren Murphy | vs | Miesha Tate |
| $7,400 | DFS Salary | $8,800 |
| Record: 15-5-0 | Record | Record: 19-8-0 |
| 8 | Knockouts | 4 |
| 1 | Subs | 7 |
| +165 | Vegas Odds | -195 |
| 3/10 | Lineup Pool | 5/10 |
| Punahele Soriano | vs | Dalcha Lungiambula |
| $9,200 | DFS Salary | $7,000 |
| Record: 8-2-0 | Record | Record: 11-4-0 |
| 5 | Knockouts | 7 |
| 2 | Subs | 2 |
| -215 | Vegas Odds | +185 |
| 4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
| Ricky Simon | vs | Jack Shore |
| $7,800 | DFS Salary | $8,400 |
| Record: 19-3-0 | Record | Record: 16-0-0 |
| 6 | Knockouts | 4 |
| 3 | Subs | 8 |
| +130 | Vegas Odds | -150 |
| 4/10 | Lineup Pool | 6/10 |
| Bill Algeo | vs | Herbert Burns |
| $8,700 | DFS Salary | $7,500 |
| Record: 15-6-0 | Record | Record: 11-3-0 |
| 3 | Knockouts | 1 |
| 6 | Subs | 8 |
| -200 | Vegas Odds | +170 |
| 4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
| Dustin Jacoby | vs | Da-Un Jung |
| $8,300 | DFS Salary | $7,900 |
| Record: 17-5-1 | Record | Record: 15-2-1 |
| 10 | Knockouts | 11 |
| 1 | Subs | 2 |
| +100 | Vegas Odds | -120 |
| 4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
| Dwight Grant | vs | Dustin Stoltzfus |
| $8,900 | DFS Salary | $7,300 |
| Record: 11-5-0 | Record | Record: 13-4-0 |
| 7 | Knockouts | 2 |
| 0 | Subs | 5 |
| -105 | Vegas Odds | -115 |
| 4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
| Jessica Penne | vs | Emily Ducote |
| $8,000 | DFS Salary | $8,200 |
| Record: 14-6-0 | Record | Record: 11-6-0 |
| 2 | Knockouts | 3 |
| 8 | Subs | 4 |
| +135 | Vegas Odds | -155 |
| 4/10 | Lineup Pool | 5/10 |
| #N/A | vs | #N/A |
| #N/A | DFS Salary | #N/A |
| Record | ||
| 0 | Knockouts | 0 |
| 0 | Subs | 0 |
| #N/A | Vegas Odds | #N/A |
| 2/10 | Lineup Pool | 6/10 |
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