MMA DFS Playbook: UFC Fight Night London
The UFC heads across the pond to London this weekend. We get to see a smattering of European talent. This card is loaded for a Fight Night product so enjoy the free fireworks. Start time is noon eastern.
Check out all of the latest UFC Fight Night London odds, stats, predictions, and matchup breakdowns for the entire fight card below. Now let's look at some UFC DFS top picks and plays for Saturday's UFC on ABC 3 event. Good luck in your MMA daily fantasy lineups!
MMA DFS Playbook for UFC Fight Night London
Main Event | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Curtis Blaydes vs Tom Aspinall | 7900/8300 | - | Stackability: Moderate | +120/ -140 | +215/+100 |
These two heavies are liking facing off for the next shot at the belt. Blaydes relies more on his smothering wrestling than ever. Aspinall is dangerous everywhere and fights with explosiveness. We've seen Blaydes clipped enough recently that it's a real worry. I just can't get away from backing the dedicated wrestler, though. It's the skillset that prevails more often. Both are excellent GPP plays, though. | |||||
Expensive | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Muhammad Mokaev | 9500 | Charles Johnson | Somewhat-Safe | -500 | +100 |
There's a lot to like about Mok as a prospect. He's getting another favorable matchup as he builds up. It's a sky high price on a young fighter, however. | |||||
Mason Jones | 9200 | Ludovit Klein | Somewhat-Safe | -390 | +100 |
Jones looks to continue his accession in the UFC ranks. Klein is a dangerous striker but he's not well-rounded enough to handle Jones game. | |||||
Nathaniel Wood | 9400 | Charles Rosa | Somewhat-Safe | -600 | +215 |
We'll see if Wood's aggressive style can outweigh Rosa's run away approach. Aggressive fighters have had success against him and Wood is nothing if not aggressive. | |||||
Molly McCann | 9300 | Hannah Goldy | Moderate | -435 | |
Meatball Molly is always of interest in DFS. She has to constantly move forward to keep from getting hit. That can make for a great score. It's just a lot of risk to take at this price on a mediocre fighter. | |||||
Marc Diakiese | 9100 | Damir Hadzovic | Moderate | -410 | +130 |
Diakese is a solid fighter but not always a finisher. Hadzovic has been finished a bit in the UFC, especially on the ground. Diakese does have some wrestling if he chooses to deploy it. | |||||
Mid-Range | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Jonathan Pearce | 8700 | Makwan Amirkhani | Moderate | -175 | +140 |
Pearce drowns opponents with pace. That's a major problem for Makwan, who gases out every fight he doesn't finish. That aggression will also put Pearce right in the danger zone for Makwan's BJJ. | |||||
Nikita Krylov | 8600 | Alexander Gustafsson | Moderate | -205 | +120 |
Krylov has had a disappointing UFC return. He's still a better fighter than where Gus currently is. The Swede should have stayed retired. | |||||
Volkan Oezdemir | 8500 | Paul Craig | Somewhat-Risky | -150 | +130 |
I really want to load up on Volkan here. He's a sharp boxer with good power and not a big risk taker. That's an excellent recipe against the very hittable Craig. If Craig does manage a takedown Volkan is toast, however. | |||||
Jai Herbert | 9000 | Kyle Nelson | Somewhat-Risky | -285 | -125 |
Herbert can certainly out-strike Nelson with his slick style. Nelson doesn't go away easily, though. We've seen opponents wilt Herbert as the fight goes on. | |||||
Paddy Pimblett | 8900 | Jordan Leavitt | Somewhat-Risky | -250 | -135 |
Paddy certainly puts on a show. He's going to hit the wall in the UFC at some point but they're being careful how fast they expose him. Leavitt is kind of a discount version of Pimblett. It will be interesting to see how Paddy does if he can't grapple his way out of trouble. | |||||
Chris Curtis | 8200 | Jack Hermansson | Somewhat-Risky | -110 | +200 |
We love the Action Man and have backed up the Brinks truck with him on this UFC run. It's hard not to wonder if this is too big of a leap in competition, though. He's the better boxer but will have to avoid the ground where Hermansson thrives. | |||||
Jack Hermansson | 8000 | Chris Curtis | Somewhat-Risky | -110 | +275 |
It's easy to forget Hermansson has excellent ground and pound, as well as solid BJJ. The fighters who've had success against Curtis have taken him down. That's very likely part of the Jokers game plan. | |||||
Pay-Downs | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Paul Craig | 7700 | Volkan Oezdemir | Somewhat-Risky | +130 | +165 |
The man is a meme fighter but he's one of the best at luring opponents into his BJJ traps. Oezdemir has little grappling to fall back on. | |||||
Makwan Amirkhani | 7500 | Jonathan Pearce | Somewhat-Risky | +150 | +250 |
Another BJJ wizard who's other skills are deficient. If you slip up anywhere he chokes you out. | |||||
Hannah Goldy | 6900 | Molly McCann | Risky | +350 | +800 |
This is a drastic misprice. McCann doesn't really do anything that much better than Goldy and they're probably close to even strength wise. Plus McCann just has a way of putting herself in to trouble. | |||||
Ludovit Klein | 7000 | Mason Jones | Risky | +320 | +550 |
The one knock on Jones can be that he brawls too much and gets hit. Klein has the kind of kicks that can change the entire fight should one land cleanly. | |||||
Kyle Nelson | 7200 | Jai Herbert | Risky | +240 | +330 |
If the hard-nosed Nelson can keep himself upright there's a definite chance he can just out-tough Herbert and win the later rounds. | |||||
Claudio Silva | 7400 | Nicolas Dalby | Risky | +180 | +380 |
Silva had quite the run but the luck has run out after two losses. Still, if he finds a way to bail himself out with a finish he'd be in winning lineups. | |||||
Victoria Leonardo | 7800 | Mandy Bohm | Risky | +100 | +350 |
We can expect Leonardo to come out aggressive, which is the one skill she has. That was too much for Bohm in her debut loss to Arianne Lipski. Had she fixed things or is she just not a good fighter? | |||||
Charles Johnson | 6700 | Muhammad Mokaev | Risky | +400 | +800 |
Rock bottom price and facing an unproven opponent. Sometimes you just root for chaos. |
MMA DFS Example Lineup for UFC Fight Night London
UFC Fight Night London Live Dogs
Blaydes, Craig, Amirkhani, Goldy, Klein, Nelson, Leonardo
UFC Fight Night London Stats & Picks
Curtis Blaydes | vs | Tom Aspinall |
$7,900 | DFS Salary | $8,300 |
Record: 16-3-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 12-2-0 |
11 | Knockouts | 0 |
0 | Subs | 0 |
+120 | Vegas Odds | -140 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 5/10 |
Jack Hermansson | vs | Chris Curtis |
$8,000 | DFS Salary | $8,200 |
Record: 22-7-0 | Record | Record: 29-8-0 |
9 | Knockouts | 14 |
3 | Subs | 2 |
-110 | Vegas Odds | -110 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 5/10 |
Paddy Pimblett | vs | Jordan Leavitt |
$8,900 | DFS Salary | $7,300 |
Record: 18-3-0 | Record | Record: 10-1-0 |
16 | Knockouts | 6 |
1 | Subs | 8 |
-250 | Vegas Odds | +210 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Nikita Krylov | vs | Alexander Gustafsson |
$8,600 | DFS Salary | $7,600 |
Record: 27-9-0 | Record | Record: 18-7-0 |
1 | Knockouts | 11 |
6 | Subs | 15 |
-205 | Vegas Odds | +175 |
6/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Molly McCann | vs | Hannah Goldy |
$9,300 | DFS Salary | $6,900 |
Record: 12-4-0 | Record | Record: 6-2-0 |
11 | Knockouts | 5 |
3 | Subs | 0 |
-435 | Vegas Odds | +350 |
3/10 | Lineup Pool2 | 5/10 |
0 | ||
Paul Craig | vs | Volkan Oezdemir |
$7,700 | DFS Salary | $8,500 |
Record: 16-4-1 | Record | Record: 17-6-0 |
1 | Knockouts | 3 |
1 | Subs | 13 |
+130 | Vegas Odds | -150 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 6/10 |
Mason Jones | vs | Ludovit Klein |
$9,200 | DFS Salary | $7,000 |
Record: 11-1-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 18-4-0 |
12 | Knockouts | 8 |
1 | Subs | 8 |
-390 | Vegas Odds | +320 |
6/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
Marc Diakiese | vs | Damir Hadzovic |
$9,100 | DFS Salary | $7,100 |
Record: 15-5-0 | Record | Record: 14-6-0 |
8 | Knockouts | 7 |
8 | Subs | 3 |
-410 | Vegas Odds | #N/A |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
Nathaniel Wood | vs | Charles Rosa |
$9,400 | DFS Salary | #N/A |
Record: 17-5-0 | Record | Record: 14-7-0 |
7 | Knockouts | 3 |
3 | Subs | 8 |
-600 | Vegas Odds | +450 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
Makwan Amirkhani | vs | Jonathan Pearce |
$7,500 | DFS Salary | $8,700 |
Record: 17-7-0 | Record | Record: 12-4-0 |
3 | Knockouts | 1 |
8 | Subs | 12 |
+150 | Vegas Odds | -175 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 6/10 |
Muhammad Mokaev | vs | Charles Johnson |
$9,500 | DFS Salary | #N/A |
Record: 7-0-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 11-2-0 |
8 | Knockouts | 2 |
2 | Subs | 3 |
-500 | Vegas Odds | +400 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 2/10 |
Jai Herbert | vs | Kyle Nelson |
$9,000 | DFS Salary | $7,200 |
Record: 11-4-0 | Record | Record: 13-4-0 |
9 | Knockouts | 9 |
1 | Subs | 1 |
-285 | Vegas Odds | +240 |
6/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Mandy Bohm | vs | Victoria Leonardo |
$8,400 | DFS Salary | $7,800 |
Record: 7-1-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 8-5-0 |
5 | Knockouts | 2 |
4 | Subs | 2 |
-120 | Vegas Odds | +100 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
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