MMA DFS Playbook: UFC Vegas 56
The UFC gives us an afternoon card this week with UFC Vegas 56 getting underway at 1 pm ET on Saturday, June 4. There's nothing wrong with some mid-day MMA DFS lineups, though, and that's what we have on DraftKings and FanDuel! Check out this UFC DFS playbook and example daily fantasy lineups before the fight card gets going. The heavyweight bout between Alexander Volkov and Jairzinho Rozenstruik headlines the slate as the main event of UFC Vegas 56. There are plenty of live underdogs, though, so don’t feel the need to reach on any particular matchup. Check out all of the latest UFC Vegas 56 odds, stats, predictions, and matchup breakdowns for the entire fight card below. Now let's look at some UFC DFS top picks and plays for Saturday's UFC Vegas 56 event. Good luck in your MMA daily fantasy lineups!
MMA DFS Playbook for UFC Vegas 55
Main Event | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Alexander Volkov vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 8600/7600 | - | Stackability: Moderate | -160/ +140 | +250/+180 |
These two almost contenders will look to make some waves in the rankings at the expense of one another. Both are coming off losses. Both are solid vets. Volkov will have his usual length advantage and then some against the six-foot Jair. Rozenstruik will bide his time looking to land that one-hitter quitter. If that comes before the third he's a fantasy hit. If not it isn't guaranteed value. That makes Volkov the side to favor for volume and occasional grappling. | |||||
Expensive | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Erin Blanchfield | 9600 | JJ Aldrich | Somewhat-Safe | -510 | +250 |
The UFC may have found their next hype train in Blanchfield. She tore through Invicta at a young age and hasn't slowed down in the UFC. She's got strong grappling which will be tested her against the sound Aldrich. It should be a good opportunity to see how solid her striking is. | |||||
Damon Jackson | 9500 | Dan Argueta | Somewhat-Safe | -600 | -150 |
Jackson has quietly been on a tear. He's only lost to solid UFC competition and he's beaten some good names. Argueta is coming in on short notice, up a weight class, and will wrestle right into Jackson BJJ danger zone. | |||||
Movsar Evloev | 9400 | Dan Ige | Somewhat-Safe | -425 | +380 |
It's been a smart progression for Evloev, who came in as a polished prospect. He has all the tools to beat Ige. The one concern is that previous wrestlers have pushed takedowns and chokes at him with moderate success. That means they delayed their own losing but still, Evloev was in some hairy spots. | |||||
Rinat Fakhretdinov | 9200 | Andreas Michailidis | Moderate | -265 | -110 |
Rinat's 20-2 record is fairly manufactured with only a couple of recognizable names and those being UFC cast-offs. I try not to hold that against fighters too strongly since they are occasionally tigers waiting to be uncaged. It's still a concern at this price, however. | |||||
Mid-Range | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Jeff Molina | 9000 | Zhalgas Zhumagulov | Moderate | -180 | +275 |
What is there not to like about Molina? He's all action, using pace to break his opponents will. Tough as nails too if things do get scrappy. Double Z is equally scrappy and will give him his best test to date. It's going to be hard to take a decision from Molina so you better finish him. | |||||
Tony Gravely | 8400 | Johnny Munoz | Moderate | -135 | +175 |
We love Gravely for his output, his wrestling, and his ever improving striking. What we don't love is his occasional defensive shortcomings. Going to hard has burned him in the past. Munoz is outgunned everywhere in this fight but may be able to snag a neck or arm. Otherwise is all Grav(el)y. | |||||
Joe Solecki | 8800 | Alex Da Silva | Somewhat-Risky | -165 | +200 |
We still haven't seen the best version of Joe Solecki and he's taking lessons from some great fighters in the Octagon. He should be able to break Da Silva with pace. If that comes via an early sub he'll be a smash play. | |||||
Alonzo Menifield | 8700 | Askar Mozharov | Somewhat-Risky | -250 | -190 |
The UFC owes Mozharov a fight for him trying to get a short notice visa. They don't owe him an easy one, though. Zo has continued to improve his MMA game. His endurance is better and he can defend a takedown a bit now. His power is show-stopping and should be on display. | |||||
Ode Osbourne | 8900 | Zarrukh Adashev | Somewhat-Risky | -190 | +165 |
If Ode doesn't walk into a haymaker he should be able to grapple with Adashev and probably submit the shorter man. | |||||
Benoit Saint Denis | 8500 | Niklas Stolze | Somewhat-Risky | #N/A | #N/A |
Germany vs France is a great world cup match. Not the best MMA fight, though. Saint Denis is getting a bit of a rub coming on short notice and getting shellacked by Elizeu Zaleski. | |||||
Karine Silva | 8200 | Poliana Botelho | Risky | -125 | +275 |
Silva may be a decent UFC fighter, we just don't know yet. Botehlo is likely getting cut with a loss. At the price, it's worth a stab. | |||||
Pay-Downs | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Zhalgas Zhumagulov | 7200 | Jeff Molina | Somewhat-Risky | +155 | +400 |
ZZ is slightly overlooked at this price. He's the veteran and a hard nut to crack. Most fighters break themselves on him but Molina may be a special one. | |||||
Alex Da Silva | 7400 | Joe Solecki | Somewhat-Risky | +145 | +275 |
Da Silva's bitten off more than he can chew in the UFC for the most part. This is a more appropriate test but still a dangerous spot. He'll have to get it done early and that makes him an interesting GPP play. | |||||
Dan Ige | 6800 | Movsar Evloev | Risky | +320 | +800 |
The line is probably too wide for someone in Ige that has shown a consistent ability to outperform his athletic shortfalls. His main path to a big upset is to get things on the mat and work a choke. Evloev has been put in danger there by other vets during his UFC run. | |||||
Johnny Munoz | 7800 | Tony Gravely | Risky | #N/A | #N/A |
We always want some exposure to the other side of a Gravely fight for the volume and variant nature. Munoz probably needs to sub Gravely to win but that's not out of the question given how hard Tony pushes the pace. That leaves openings for opponents. | |||||
Andreas Michailidis | 7000 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | Risky | +215 | +450 |
The most intriguing thing here is Michailidis's drop down to 170. He's a journeyman but well-rounded. We've seen Russian debuts go poorly before, as well. | |||||
Niklas Stolze | 7700 | Benoit Saint Denis | Risky | +135 | +300 |
Stolze isn't long for the UFC but he may find a way against Saint Denis. The Frenchman has plenty of holes in his striking the Stolze can exploit. | |||||
Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 7900 | Felice Herrig | Risky | -105 | +500 |
KK just can't walk away from the UFC checks. She's beaten Herrig before and knows the formula is stuff takedowns and piece her up. That was a lifetime ago, though. | |||||
JJ Aldrich | 6600 | Erin Blanchfield | Risky | +375 | +800 |
Can Blanchfield still thrive when her grappling edge isn't there? That's what Aldrich is hoping to find out. She has underrated takedown defense and is a gritty vet. It's also women's MMA so it's the spot to play some underdogs. |
MMA DFS Example Lineup for UFC Vegas 55
UFC Vegas 56 Live Dogs
Rozenstruik, Zhumagulov, Da Silva, Ige, Munoz, Michailidis, Aldrich, Kowalkiewicz
UFC Vegas 56 Stats, Picks & Predictions
Alexander Volkov | vs | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
$8,600 | DFS Salary | $7,600 |
Record: 34-10-0 | Record | Record: 12-3-0 |
22 | Knockouts | 11 |
3 | Subs | 0 |
-160 | Vegas Odds | +140 |
6/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Dan Ige | vs | Movsar Evloev |
$6,800 | DFS Salary | $9,400 |
Record: 15-5-0 | Record | Record: 15-0-0 |
4 | Knockouts | 3 |
5 | Subs | 4 |
+320 | Vegas Odds | -425 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 6/10 |
Michael Trizano | vs | Lucas Almeida |
$9,100 | DFS Salary | $7,100 |
Record: 10-2-0 | Record | Record: 12-1-0 |
2 | Knockouts | 8 |
2 | Subs | 5 |
-225 | Vegas Odds | +185 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Karine Silva | vs | Poliana Botelho |
$8,200 | DFS Salary | $8,000 |
Record: 14-4-0 | Record | Record: 8-4-0 |
9 | Knockouts | 6 |
5 | Subs | 0 |
-125 | Vegas Odds | +105 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
Ode Osbourne | vs | Zarrukh Adashev |
$8,900 | DFS Salary | $7,300 |
Record: 10-4-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 4-3-0 |
4 | Knockouts | 2 |
4 | Subs | 0 |
-190 | Vegas Odds | +160 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool2 | 4/10 |
0 | ||
Alonzo Menifield | vs | Askar Mozharov |
$8,700 | DFS Salary | $7,500 |
Record: 11-3-0 | Record | Record: 19-12-0 |
8 | Knockouts | 11 |
2 | Subs | 6 |
-250 | Vegas Odds | +200 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
Felice Herrig | vs | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
$8,300 | DFS Salary | $7,900 |
Record: 14-9-0 | Record | Record: 12-7-0 |
1 | Knockouts | 3 |
4 | Subs | 4 |
-115 | Vegas Odds | -105 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Joe Solecki | vs | Alex Da Silva |
$8,800 | DFS Salary | $7,400 |
Record: 11-3-0 | Record | Record: 21-3-0 |
1 | Knockouts | 13 |
7 | Subs | 7 |
-165 | Vegas Odds | +145 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 5/10 |
Damon Jackson | vs | Dan Argueta |
$9,500 | DFS Salary | $6,700 |
Record: 20-4-1 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 8-0-0 |
3 | Knockouts | 2 |
15 | Subs | 4 |
-600 | Vegas Odds | +435 |
7/10 | Lineup Pool | 2/10 |
Niklas Stolze | vs | Benoit Saint Denis |
$7,700 | DFS Salary | $8,500 |
Record: 12-5-0 | Record | Record: 8-1-0 (1 NC) |
4 | Knockouts | 1 |
5 | Subs | 7 |
+135 | Vegas Odds | #N/A |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Johnny Munoz | vs | Tony Gravely |
$7,800 | DFS Salary | $8,400 |
Record: 11-1-0 | Record | Record: 22-7-0 |
2 | Knockouts | 9 |
7 | Subs | 3 |
#N/A | Vegas Odds | -135 |
3/10 | Lineup Pool | 7/10 |
Jeff Molina | vs | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
$9,000 | DFS Salary | $7,200 |
Record: 10-2-0 | Record | Record: 14-6-0 |
4 | Knockouts | 7 |
4 | Subs | 1 |
-180 | Vegas Odds | +155 |
6/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Rinat Fakhretdinov | vs | Andreas Michailidis |
$9,200 | DFS Salary | $7,000 |
Record: 18-1-0 | Record | Record: 13-5-0 |
11 | Knockouts | 7 |
5 | Subs | 4 |
-265 | Vegas Odds | +215 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
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