We get a rematch of the fight everyone expected Amanda Nunes to coast through but didn't. It will be fun to see if Pena can weather the storm again and come out with a second win over the Lady GOAT. We're in the bigger Octagon so finishes will be at a premium.
MMA DFS Playbook for UFC 277
Main Event | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Julianna Pena vs Amanda Nunes | 7000/9200 | - | Stackability: Moderate | +230/ -275 | +450/-125 |
Expensive | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Michael Morales | 9500 | Adam Fugitt | Somewhat-Safe | -600 | -190 |
Magomed Ankalaev | 9400 | Anthony Smith | Somewhat-Safe | -560 | +150 |
Drew Dober | 9000 | Rafael Alves | Somewhat-Safe | -165 | +130 |
Drakkar Klose | 9100 | Rafa Garcia | Moderate | -200 | +275 |
Mid-Range | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Brandon Moreno | 8900 | Kai Kara-France | Moderate | -210 | +225 |
Alexandre Pantoja | 8700 | Alex Perez | Moderate | -195 | +180 |
Matthew Semelsberger | 8600 | Alex Morono | Somewhat-Risky | -155 | +215 |
Ihor Potieria | 8400 | Nicolae Negumereanu | Somewhat-Risky | +100 | +175 |
Joselyne Edwards | 8300 | Ji Yeon Kim | Somewhat-Risky | #N/A | #N/A |
Sergei Pavlovich | 8200 | Derrick Lewis | Risky | -145 | -110 |
Derrick Lewis | 8000 | Sergei Pavlovich | Risky | +125 | +150 |
Pay-Downs | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Alex Perez | 7500 | Alexandre Pantoja | Somewhat-Risky | +165 | +425 |
Rafael Alves | 7200 | Drew Dober | Somewhat-Risky | +140 | +250 |
Anthony Smith | 6800 | Magomed Ankalaev | Risky | #N/A | #N/A |
Kai Kara-France | 7300 | Brandon Moreno | Risky | #N/A | #N/A |
Hamdy Abdelwahab | 7700 | Don'Tale Mayes | Risky | +175 | +250 |
Blood Diamond | 7400 | Orion Cosce | Risky | +175 | +300 |
Rafa Garcia | 7100 | Drakkar Klose | Risky | +170 | +450 |
Favorite Plays for UFC 277
High Priced: Magomed Ankalaev. For all the toughness Anthony Smith has he eats a ton of punishment. Especially if he doesn't hold a wrestling advantage, which I doubt he does here. Ank can be a little too cautious at times but Smith leaves far too many openings and has a lot of miles on his chin.
Mid-Range: Matthew Semelsberger. This, again, comes down to an opponent that lets too much through his defense. And again, if Morono can't bail himself out with wrestling he's become a sitting duck. Semelsberger has shown the ability to capitalize on those opportunities.
Low Priced: Rafael Alves. This is a solid discount on a dangerous fighter. Alves has huge power and goes for broke early. Dober has shown an excellent chin but has needed that toughness far too often. Dober should be the favorite but an Alves win comes with big points.
UFC 277 Example Lineup
Live Dogs for UFC 277
Pena, Perez, Alves, Smith, Kara-France, Abdelwahab, Diamond
UFC 277 Stats & Picks
Julianna Pena | vs | Amanda Nunes |
$7,000 | DFS Salary | $9,200 |
Record: 12-4-0 | Record | Record: 21-5-0 |
3 | Knockouts | #N/A |
5 | Subs | |
+230 | Vegas Odds | -275 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 6/10 |
Brandon Moreno | vs | Kai Kara-France |
$8,900 | DFS Salary | $7,300 |
Record: 19-6-2 | Record | Record: 24-9-0 (1 NC) |
13 | Knockouts | 3 |
4 | Subs | 11 |
-210 | Vegas Odds | #N/A |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
Derrick Lewis | vs | Sergei Pavlovich |
$8,000 | DFS Salary | $8,200 |
Record: 26-9-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 15-1-0 |
11 | Knockouts | 21 |
3 | Subs | 1 |
+125 | Vegas Odds | -145 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Alexandre Pantoja | vs | Alex Perez |
$8,700 | DFS Salary | $7,500 |
Record: 24-5-0 | Record | Record: 24-6-0 |
12 | Knockouts | 8 |
0 | Subs | 9 |
-195 | Vegas Odds | +165 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Magomed Ankalaev | vs | Anthony Smith |
$9,400 | DFS Salary | $6,800 |
Record: 17-1-0 | Record | Record: 36-16-0 |
5 | Knockouts | 8 |
7 | Subs | 0 |
-560 | Vegas Odds | +430 |
6/10 | Lineup Pool2 | 3/10 |
0 | ||
Alex Morono | vs | Matthew Semelsberger |
$7,600 | DFS Salary | $8,600 |
Record: 21-7-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 10-3-0 |
19 | Knockouts | 6 |
14 | Subs | 6 |
+135 | Vegas Odds | -155 |
3/10 | Lineup Pool | 5/10 |
Drew Dober | vs | Rafael Alves |
$9,000 | DFS Salary | $7,200 |
Record: 24-11-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 20-10-0 |
6 | Knockouts | 3 |
1 | Subs | 11 |
-165 | Vegas Odds | +140 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Don'Tale Mayes | vs | Hamdy Abdelwahab |
$8,500 | DFS Salary | $7,700 |
Record: 9-4-0 | Record | Record: 5-0-0 |
7 | Knockouts | 5 |
8 | Subs | 1 |
-205 | Vegas Odds | +175 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Drakkar Klose | vs | Rafa Garcia |
$9,100 | DFS Salary | $7,100 |
Record: 12-2-1 | Record | Record: 14-2-0 |
5 | Knockouts | 5 |
0 | Subs | 0 |
-200 | Vegas Odds | +170 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Michael Morales | vs | Adam Fugitt |
$9,500 | DFS Salary | $6,700 |
Record: 13-0-0 | Record | Record: 8-2-0 |
1 | Knockouts | 10 |
8 | Subs | 1 |
-600 | Vegas Odds | +450 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Joselyne Edwards | vs | Ji Yeon Kim |
$8,300 | DFS Salary | $7,900 |
Record: 11-4-0 | Record | Record: 9-5-2 |
4 | Knockouts | 5 |
3 | Subs | 3 |
#N/A | Vegas Odds | +110 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
Nicolae Negumereanu | vs | Ihor Potieria |
$7,800 | DFS Salary | $8,400 |
Record: 12-1-0 | Record | Record: 19-2-0 |
2 | Knockouts | 7 |
3 | Subs | 3 |
-120 | Vegas Odds | +100 |
3/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Orion Cosce | vs | Blood Diamond |
$8,800 | DFS Salary | $7,400 |
Record: 7-1-0 | Record | Record: 3-1-0 |
9 | Knockouts | 6 |
6 | Subs | 1 |
Vegas Odds | +175 | |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
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