Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters Prediction, Free Picks & Odds: Tournament Overview

The Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters returns to the ATP Tour calendar from April 6–13, 2025, serving as the first major clay-court event of the season and the unofficial start to the European dirt swing. Played at the scenic Monte-Carlo Country Club, this ATP Masters 1000 tournament brings together the world’s top players and serves as a key momentum-builder ahead of Roland Garros.
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters Prediction & Tournament Overview For 2025
Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic, and Stefanos Tsitsipas headline the field, while players like Casper Ruud, Andrey Rublev, and Jack Draper enter as legitimate threats in these slower, more physical conditions. With a full week of action and daily betting opportunities, this tournament provides a strong edge for bettors who understand surface-specific form.
Monte-Carlo clay plays slower than most, with a higher bounce and slick conditions along the baseline. It’s a tournament that rewards point construction, endurance, and variety—not raw power. Past winners here have shared three key traits: elite movement, patience in long rallies, and the mental edge to outlast opponents in grinding matches.
With all of that in mind, here’s our best bet for the tournament, plus two more picks to round out your betting card.
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters Free Pick & Best Bet: Carlos Alcaraz To Win Outright
Carlos Alcaraz is the most dangerous player in this field, particularly on clay. His career win percentage on the surface is among the highest on tour, and he enters this stretch of the season healthy, rested, and locked in. His heavy topspin, quick first step, and ability to construct points with both patience and aggression make him the most complete player in Monte-Carlo.
There are no red flags heading into this tournament: no recent injury issues, no dip in clay-specific form, and no unfavorable projected matchups.
This is the bet to build your card around.
- Best Bet: Carlos Alcaraz to win outright
How To Watch The Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters
Coverage of the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters will be available on Tennis Channel in the United States, with streaming through Tennis Channel Plus. International viewers can follow the action via Tennis TV or through local partners such as Sky Sports (UK), Eurosport (Europe), and TSN (Canada).
Daily play begins at 11:00 a.m. local time with singles and doubles matches throughout the week.
2025 Rolex Monte-Carlo Best Bets and Picks
Once the draw is set, betting lines typically become available for outright winners, quarterfinal appearances, and player props. Here are three bets that offer strong value entering this year’s tournament:
Best Outright: Carlos Alcaraz to Win
Alcaraz owns the surface edge, matchup edge, and physical edge. If you’re playing only one outright this week, this is it.
Best Dark Horse: Stefanos Tsitsipas to Win
Tsitsipas enters Monte-Carlo with three titles at this event and a strong recent return to form. His serve and forehand remain dangerous on clay, and he’s one of the few players in the field who seems to find another gear when playing in Monaco.
Tsitsipas has the experience, the surface comfort, and the confidence to make another deep run—and his track record here speaks for itself.
Best Round-by-Round Value: Casper Ruud to Reach Semifinals
Ruud has quietly been one of the most consistent clay-court players on tour over the past three seasons. A finalist in Monte-Carlo in 2024 and a two-time Roland Garros finalist, Ruud thrives in long rallies and rarely beats himself.
This is the type of prop to target if you’re looking for a lower-risk, positive-return play based on form and consistency.
When Is The Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters
The tournament runs from Sunday, April 6 through Sunday, April 13, 2025, with the main draw beginning on April 6 and the finals set for April 13. Matches will be played at the Monte-Carlo Country Club in Roquebrune-Cap-Martin, France.
Monte-Carlo is the first Masters 1000 event on clay each year and historically serves as a strong predictor for players who will contend deep into the European swing.
Player News
Ty France is batting fourth against a righty for the first time this season Tuesday against the Mets.
The Twins’ prolonged slump here has meant a lot of lineup shuffling of late. France hit fourth once previously, but that was versus a lefty. Matt Wallner moves up one spot to third tonight. Willi Castro is batting eighth after mostly hitting second and third lately. France is batting .288/.354/.441 with two homers through 65 plate appearances.
Dalen Terry (calf) is probable for Wednesday’s game against the Heat.
Terry has been one of the Bulls’ key bench players in recent weeks and has a good chance to be one of the first players off the pine on Wednesday. However, he’s unlikely to have significant impact in such an important game.
Austin Hays is DHing and batting fifth in his 2025 debut after coming off the injured list Tuesday.
Gavin Lux remains in left field tonight. Hays, returning from a calf strain, played the outfield in two of his three games at Triple-A Louisville and DH’d in the other. Spencer Steer, who is still struggling offensively while being limited to DH duties by his troublesome shoulder, is taking a seat tonight.
Brewers recalled RHP Logan Henderson from Triple-A Nashville.
It’s not a surprise to see Henderson in the majors, but there had been nothing in recent days to suggest he was about to be added. That suggests this might be a brief stay as someone who can immediately provide innings if needed. Henderson, 23, is one of the Brewers’ top prospects, and there’s a good chance he’ll be a part of the rotation at some point this summer. Maybe it will even happen now, but we’ll see. He had a 3.21 ERA and a 24/10 K/BB over 14 innings in three starts for Nashville.
Brewers optioned RHP Elvin Rodríguez to Triple-A Nashville.
As tends to happen, Rodríguez loses his spot after saving the Brewers pen by throwing 68 pitches in relief last night. He pitched well, too, allowing one run and striking out seven. Still, he did have a 7.53 ERA through two starts and two relief appearances.
Pelle Larsson (ankle) and Nikola Jovic (hand) are questionable for Wednesday’s game against the Bulls.
Larsson is looking to return from a three-game layoff while Jovic hasn’t played since February. The Heat could need to rely on Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Anderson, and Jaime Jaquez off the bench if Larsson and Jovic are ruled out.