Miami Open Finals Prediction, Free Picks & Odds: Djokovic vs. Mensik and Sabalenka vs. Pegula
Welcome to the debut of the tennis betting side on Fantasy Alarm! We’re fired up to bring you expert analysis and predictions for the Miami Open finals. The semis are wrapped, and we’ve got two electrifying matchups lined up for Sunday. Let’s break it all down and cash in on some winning bets!
Men’s Final: Novak Djokovic vs. Jakub Mensik
Background and Recent Form
Here we go—Novak Djokovic is chasing his 100th career title, and the way he’s playing, it’s tough to see anyone standing in his way. The Serbian superstar has been in vintage form all tournament, cruising through every round without dropping a single set. His latest victim was Grigor Dimitrov, who barely put up a fight in a 6-2, 6-3 beatdown. Djokovic is locked in, and with that century mark on the line, expect nothing less than his absolute best.
On the other side, we’ve got a Cinderella story in Jakub Mensik. The unseeded 18-year-old Czech has shocked everyone with his deep run to his first Miami Open final. He’s been fearless, taking out higher-seeded opponents left and right. His biggest statement came in the semis when he survived a marathon match against Taylor Fritz, winning 7-6, 4-6, 7-6. The kid’s got fire, but facing Djokovic on the big stage? Different ballgame.
Head-to-Head Record
This is their first meeting, so there’s no history to go off—but if you think Djokovic is sweating this one, think again. The big question—can Mensik handle the pressure of his first major final against a living legend?
Playing Styles
Djokovic is a chameleon on the court—he adapts, adjusts, and dominates. His ability to turn defense into offense is second to none. Mensik relies on a big serve and aggressive baseline game, but Djokovic eats big servers for breakfast. If the Czech can’t consistently paint the lines, it’ll be a long night.
Men’s Final: Novak Djokovic vs. Jakub Mensik Prediction
Novak Djokovic to win in straight sets.
Why: The experience gap is huge. Mensik’s serve might keep him in rallies, but Djokovic’s court coverage and relentless pressure will break him down. Look for Djokovic to start strong and never look back as he collects title No. 100.
- Best Bet: Djokovic to win in straight sets at -125 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Bolder Prediction: Over 21.5 games at +110. Mensik’s serve might keep things competitive early, but Djokovic will pull away.
Women’s Final: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula
Background and Recent Form
Sabalenka’s been steamrolling her opponents like it’s all just routine, barely breaking a sweat on her way to the final. She bulldozed Jasmine Paolini 6-2, 6-2 in the semis and hasn’t shown a single sign of weakness. The Belarusian’s power game is absolutely locked in, and if she keeps striking the ball like this, it’s going to be a quick afternoon.
Pegula, on the other hand, has taken the scenic route to the final. The American scrapped her way past Alexandra Eala in three sets and showed grit in a tough quarterfinal against Emma Raducanu. Pegula’s game is built on consistency and problem-solving, but Sabalenka’s pure power might just blow those plans out of the water.
Head-to-Head Record
Sabalenka leads 6-2, and most of those wins came on hard courts. Pegula will have to play at her peak to stand a chance.
Playing Styles
Sabalenka’s power game is no joke—when she’s connecting, her groundstrokes are lethal. Pegula’s defensive skills and consistent rallying will need to be flawless to withstand the barrage. It’s going to come down to whether Pegula can force Sabalenka into enough errors to extend rallies. Sabalenka’s power game could go off the rails if Pegula frustrates her.
Women’s Final: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula Prediction
Sabalenka to win, but Pegula could make it a fight.
Why: The biggest factor is Sabalenka’s ability to stay composed. If Pegula can frustrate her and force long exchanges, this could get interesting. But if Sabalenka dictates from the baseline, it’ll be over fast.
- Best Bet: Over 20.5 total games at -135 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Bolder Prediction: Sabalenka to win 2-1 +275 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
2025 Miami Open Finals Odds & Betting Lines via. DraftKings Sportsbook
Mens:
- Money Line: Jakub Mensik (+290) vs. Novak Djokovic (-380)
- Total Games (Over/Under): Over 22.5 games (-105) vs. Under 22.5 games (-125)
- Games Spread: Mensik +2.5 games (+175) vs. Djokovic -2.5 games (-225)
Women’s:
- Money Line: Aryna Sabalenka (-330) vs. Jessica Pegula (+250)
- Total Games (Over/Under): Over 21.5 games (-110) vs. Under 21.5 games (-120)
- Games Spread: Sabalenka -4.5 games (-110) vs. Pegula +4.5 games (-120)
How To Watch The Miami Open
Where: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida
When: Women’s Final at 3pm ET on 03/29 | Men’s Final on 03/30
Watch on TV: Tennis Channel
Where to stream: TennisTV
How To Bet On Miami Open Finals at DraftKings Sportsbook & Claim Your $200 Bonus
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As long as that qualifying wager hits, you’re cashing in $200 in bonus bets! Want a safe play? Pick the biggest money line favorite you can find—maybe Djokovic to dominate Mensik!— and still get a 40/1 payout! No DraftKings promo code needed when you sign up through us.
Player News
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